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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:30 pm to
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35891 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Any trees close? Plenty of ice? Generator? Alternative heat for cooking? Condoms? Gas? Tarps for covering when the shingles fly off? Weights to hold the tarps down?



Posted by liz18lsu
Member since Feb 2009
18042 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

I am assuming you are close to there.



Exit 101, we are 116. Close, but staying put.
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
70321 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

 but came down 1 mb to 928 in the 4th drop


Isnt this the fear?

It starts dropping again over open hot water?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

The water will be dropped off by the truckload right after.


I wouldn't bank on that after a major hurricane cuts up the length of the penensula. Trees, flooding, and other bullshite will make getting supplies around much more difficult.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:31 pm to
liz yall are nuts.

Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:32 pm to
Exit 111 on I-75 is Immokallee rd. Get off of 75 and go east about a half mile. There is a Mobil station with gas.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Projected 70 mph sustained with 120+ gusts. I feel like that is manageable.


Umm, 120mph gusts are anything but manageable.

Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
118230 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Looks like it might be too late to get out. Traffic maps look terrible.


Yep and it doesn't look like Florida has contra-flow.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
37846 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

When they get there, they should expect it to look like Walley World looked when the Griswalds got there, just with a little more rain and wind.


Was the first thought that crossed my mind. Even the adventures on the way there.


Well, if Aunt Edna dies on the car ride, they can leave her body somewhere in a rainstorm...

RIP Aunt Edna
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

liz yall are nuts.

if you ride it out... at least give us some good blue shed video

TIA
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

What's the prognosis for Tampa or Orlando areas? Cat 3 or 4 going through still?


That's the thinking right now but the intensity forecast aren't great to begin with and now depend on how much Cuba fricks with the circulation.

Everything from a weak Cat 2 to strong Cat 4 for those areas is still in play.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104011 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Exit 111 on I-75 is Immokallee rd. Get off of 75 and go east about a half mile. There is a Mobil station with gas.


Go get gas now. Get an extra gas can or two (if possible) and fill them as well. Wait until the middle of the night and then GTFO.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:34 pm to
The problem is roof damage. I would be buying tarps if I stayed. It's going to be months before anyone can get to your home.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
39553 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:34 pm to
I'm trying to decide what would possibly compel a human being to fly into fricking Florida with their family right now
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:35 pm to
So if you're in the middle of those cities away from the bay, would you be good to stay?
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
37846 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

I'm trying to decide what would possibly compel a human being to fly into fricking Florida with their family right now




Aren't the airports closed, or in the process of closing?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:35 pm to
Who is doing that???????
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

Yep and it doesn't look like Florida has contra-flow.



They don't which is pretty stupid
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
40847 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

I'm trying to decide what would possibly compel a human being to fly into fricking Florida with their family right now


Not that it is any better, but they are driving, not flying.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 12:37 pm to
quote:


It starts dropping again over open hot water?


It will if this pressure drop is indicating the eyewall replacement impacts are done, but at least the close approach to Cuba will limit the potential to some extent.

My personal expection is a big eye clears out going into tonight and we see a slow and steady strengthening unless it runs up on Cuba. Down the road to a Florida landfall, it's hard to ignore the potential for rapid intensification in the last twelve to eighteen hours on approach. GFS and last Euro run drop the pressure pretty rapidly as it turns north ward.
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