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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:36 pm to Golfer
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:36 pm to Golfer
The eye wall replacement is really taking a toll on Irma's intensity right now, at least from a maximum wind standpoint. Looks like the pressure will be up to 923-927 once a dropsonde confirms.
2
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:36 pm to rt3
I'm still nervous about this thing here in Louisiana. At least until it turns north.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:38 pm to LSUlefty
quote:
I'm still nervous about this thing here in Louisiana. At least until it turns north.
hey Mitch... how's the pumps?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:38 pm to slackster
quote:
Looks like the pressure will be up to 923-927 once a dropsonde confirms.
Inner eyewalls has probably fully collapsed based on the sharp pressure hike.
If so, the pressure will start falling in the next couple of hours. Just something to watch for without a proper microwave pass to look at.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:38 pm to LSUlefty
It would take a colossal frick up by NHC and computer models for it to make that far of a shift west. I know Katrina happened but computer models have come a LONG way since 12 years ago.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:39 pm to deuce985
Why do people keep saying this like they got Katrinas track wrong?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:40 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:Right up 75 from you in Palmetto. May try my hand at doing some periscoping as well.
Naples
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:40 pm to LSUlefty
quote:
I'm still nervous about this thing here in Louisiana.
You really shouldn't be. You have to assume every single computer model, the NWS, and the NHC have completely wiffed on the steering with features that currently exist for this to be a real concern.
Or that Irma will violate the laws of physics.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:41 pm to MrSmith
Probably because of that huge shift west overnight when Florida was in the sights.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:41 pm to LSUlefty
quote:
I'm still nervous about this thing here in Louisiana. At least until it turns north.
It's not supposed to turn until tomorrow night or Saturday.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:42 pm to MrSmith
quote:
Why do people keep saying this like they got Katrinas track wrong?
that drastic Friday shift of the cone I think irks a lot of people
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:43 pm to MrSmith
quote:
Why do people keep saying this like they got Katrinas track wrong?
I don't get it either.
A) Buras, LA stayed inside the cone the entire time. People just focused on the line, not the cone.
B) It was 12 years ago. The NHC is 40% more accurate in their forecasting now.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:44 pm to rt3
I get that but they weren't wrong. It was still in the original cone
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:46 pm to MrSmith
quote:
I get that but they weren't wrong. It was still in the original cone
you're talking extreme outer edge of the cone to the center of the cone just 3 days before landfall
was it in the cone? yes... but you go from "ehhhh" to "oh shite we have to go NOW" in no time flat
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:46 pm to slackster
Hope it doesnt recover well, coming ashore as a Cat 3 will lower the impacts immensely to inland areas especially.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:48 pm to rt3
quote:
you're talking extreme outer edge of the cone to the center of the cone just 3 days before landfall
was it in the cone? yes... but you go from "ehhhh" to "oh shite we have to go NOW" in no time flat
Sure, but that is not the NHC's fault people didn't take it seriously.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 11:49 pm
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:48 pm to TunaTigers
ERC is completed and a new larger eyewall has developed.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:49 pm to ihometiger
quote:
ERC is completed and a new larger eyewall has developed.
Nah, not yet. Still an inner eye wall present in that scan.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:50 pm to Rhino5
quote:
Pissed an admin off too
Yeah, I'm sooooo pissed.
Grrrrrr....
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:50 pm to ihometiger
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