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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:02 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:02 pm to
quote:

Leaving from Br going to Kentucky


If you can get out early tomorrow, you'll be ok. There shouldn't be massive evacuations. Just want to be clear into central MS at least by nightfall.

Going Wednesday morning risks running into some damage on I59 and the storm it's self up I55.
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:03 pm to
If you HAVE to make a decision tonight, better to be ready to go tomorrow than having this thing strengthen and shift west some, then you’re towing a horse trailer through nasty weather on Wednesday.
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 9:04 pm
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16123 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:03 pm to
What does the wind field look like on this thing?
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:04 pm to
Hell I don’t know.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

If you can get out early tomorrow, you'll be ok


Can you leave after lunch or so? This would be the best thing
Posted by QuietTiger
New Orleans
Member since Dec 2003
26256 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

55 is probably going to be a better bet than 59.

The longer you can wait the less traffic you might catch, if it's a CF then you shouldn't go. It should be on the downgrade by then, we hope.
Good luck.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:05 pm to
Problem is we can’t leave early.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21477 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

looks like the center is on the western edge of the convection blowup.


Next recon pass will confirm but it looks like the LLC is slipping out almost due west.

Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:06 pm to
LLC...?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177204 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:06 pm to
quote:

out almost due west.

Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:06 pm to
Earliest may be 6:00pm.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177204 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

LLC...?


Low level circulation. You could see it on radar around 7pm that it was shifting west.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78302 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

LLC...?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:09 pm to
The late run Tuesday is risky but you might get out ahead of it on I55 and miss the weather, assuming light traffic. I wouldn't risk I59 since the worst of the storm will trail over it at an earlier point. It'll be weaker and later over I55.

Now later on Wednesday, you'll know where the storm went and the open road options but you might have a closure or two to worry about.

It's not ideal either way.
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 9:10 pm
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59224 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:09 pm to
So what are you asking? If the storm doesn’t directly strike Baton Rouge, leave whenever you feel would be the best time. Use your route and the news to plan accordingly. Nobody here has a correct answer
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 9:10 pm
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:09 pm to
Depending on your route but I’d think it might be a little rough in SW Miss on Wed.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21477 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

LLC


Low Level Circulation
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15744 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

What does the wind field look like on this thing?


Posted by LSU5508
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3769 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:10 pm to
Is that good?
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16123 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 9:12 pm to
Thanks for some reason I couldn’t find it.
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