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Message
re: Hurricane Ernesto - Not a Gulf Threat
Posted on 8/4/24 at 12:59 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 8/4/24 at 12:59 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
When have we had a nothing-burger this season?
sorry, I didn't realize we were tracking and naming thunderstorms.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 1:01 pm to Turnblad85
quote:
sorry, I didn't realize we were tracking and naming thunderstorms.
Nice sidestep there, bud.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 2:10 pm to Turnblad85
quote:
sorry, I didn't realize we were tracking and naming thunderstorms.
I loath people who take hurricane season for entertainment value. If I never see another named storm in my life it will be too many.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 2:22 pm to Purple Spoon
quote:
loath people who take hurricane season for entertainment
I loath people that make broad statements.
You can enjoy hurricanes for the amazing display of nature while also not wanting anyone to be harmed and/or displaced. They are not mutually exclusive.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 2:23 pm to rds dc
quote:
No Rest this Season
Not til mid September, I'd guess
Posted on 8/4/24 at 3:07 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Beryl wasn't a 5 when it hit Houston so nothingburger to them
I didn’t have power for 8 days and some were out longer than that, if that’s a nothing burger to you, I’d hate to see what you think is a big deal.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 3:09 pm to jbird7
quote:
Where’s that a-hole that started the “where’s all the hurricanes ?” Thread at?
This is all his fault.
Yeah but where are all the hurricanes? Atleast a Cat 5.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 3:10 pm to rds dc
Always early data has at least one with a direct hit to Nola. 
Posted on 8/4/24 at 3:31 pm to Purple Spoon
quote:
I loath people who take hurricane season for entertainment value. If I never see another named storm in my life it will be too many.
And yet you chose to comment in a thread about something you loath. Interesting.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 3:33 pm to Turnblad85
quote:
probably another nothing-burger. sorry climate-freaks.
Really need “wingcucked poster shoves politics into the thread” on the bingo card
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 8/4/24 at 3:47 pm to Dire Wolf
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:56 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
East of the Windward Islands:
A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the
Windward Islands continues to produce an area of showers and
thunderstorms, and earlier satellite wind data showed winds of 30
to 35 mph just north of the wave axis. Environmental conditions
appear generally favorable for some slow development over the next
week while the system moves quickly westward at around 20 mph,
crossing the Windward Islands Monday morning and moving into the
central and western Caribbean by the middle to latter part of this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Roberts
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
East of the Windward Islands:
A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the
Windward Islands continues to produce an area of showers and
thunderstorms, and earlier satellite wind data showed winds of 30
to 35 mph just north of the wave axis. Environmental conditions
appear generally favorable for some slow development over the next
week while the system moves quickly westward at around 20 mph,
crossing the Windward Islands Monday morning and moving into the
central and western Caribbean by the middle to latter part of this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Roberts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 2:11 pm to rds dc
Seems it will be a while before we will get a concensus on this. Also see the Euro is trying to develop thta wave off Afica but seems it would curve down the road
This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 8/5/24 at 6:09 pm to lsuman25
It’s still not an Invest. Does anyone have an updated map for this potential storm?
GFS seems to alternate between this going towards Texas and not developing.
GFS seems to alternate between this going towards Texas and not developing.
Posted on 8/5/24 at 6:13 pm to Keys Open Doors
The 18z GFS doesn't even develop it. It buries the associated vorticity into Mexico.
Posted on 8/6/24 at 2:52 pm to LegendInMyMind
I know they still have it at 30% for development but none of the models do anything with it.
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