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Started By
Message
9
Posted on 8/26/19 at 8:47 pm to rds dc
frick.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 8:47 pm to Fun Bunch
frick what? They have no idea where its going past Hispaniola 
Posted on 8/26/19 at 8:51 pm to rds dc
Ooooh thats spicier than a popeyes chicken sandwich.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:02 pm to rds dc
Today’s shifts in all the models is concerning to say the least. Thankfully it’s still so far away that it’s going to change so much more.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:03 pm to rds dc
This post was edited on 8/26/19 at 9:04 pm
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:30 pm to TDsngumbo
That wouldn’t be good if it shoots the Florida Straits into the Gulf. It would have all that time from Hispaniola to the Gulf Coast to strengthen.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:32 pm to The Boat
The last few hours have put numerous forecasters on alert, which is concerning.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:32 pm to NorthEndZone
Love those natural color loops! Also, can seen the "popcorn" nature of the convection that is consistent with a storm dealing with dry/stable air.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:52 pm to 4LSU2
quote:
The last few hours have put numerous forecasters on alert, which is concerning.
Wtf are you talking about?
All reasonable forecasters have it as a weak cat 1, at best, before approaching PR/Hispaniola. After that nobody knows shite.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:14 pm to rds dc
12z NOAA experimental HAFS has the system emerging into the Gulf from S. FL at 999mb
It also shows the storm struggling over the next couple of days and then coming back to life in the Bahamas and moving westward. This is similar to what the HWRF is showing, just a bit faster forward motion then the HWRF.
It also shows the storm struggling over the next couple of days and then coming back to life in the Bahamas and moving westward. This is similar to what the HWRF is showing, just a bit faster forward motion then the HWRF.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:21 pm to rds dc
I'd prefer Dorian enter the gulf not so far south.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:28 pm to rds dc
I don't know much about hurricanes, but I've learned two things.
1. The tracks are wrong, but gradually change to not look as wrong.
2. Hurricanes try like hell to find a way to Louisiana.
1. The tracks are wrong, but gradually change to not look as wrong.
2. Hurricanes try like hell to find a way to Louisiana.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:33 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
I'd prefer Dorian enter the gulf not so far south.
Ain't that the truth. I'm still seeing the majority of the data pointing towards this dissipating as it moves across the higher terrain of the Islands. However, it is a bit concerning seeing some of the hi-res hurricane models essentially showing that and then reformation in the Bahamas with the westward motion.
Recon this evening combined with radar and sat doesn't show a very organized system. It appears as though the MLC is moving NW across the northern coast of Barbados while the LLC moved nearly due west along the southern coast. Barbados isn't very big and this could just be a brief disruption from the island and things could spin back together later on.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:59 pm to RougeDawg
quote:
2. Hurricanes try like hell to find a way to Louisiana.
It more like:
Forecasters try like hell to find a way to position a storm track to Louisiana.
FIFY
Posted on 8/27/19 at 12:34 am to Tarps99
Posted on 8/27/19 at 12:39 am to lsugolfredman
That will wake up a few people.
Posted on 8/27/19 at 12:42 am to Mudminnow
Hopefully Louisiana will be in the west side of the storm because frick all that! Oh yea and I’m off to buy some bread.
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 12:46 am
Posted on 8/27/19 at 4:09 am to rds dc
If it’s southern decadence weekend, New Orleans better get ready for a direct hit.
Posted on 8/27/19 at 6:29 am to MsGarrison
Looks like this storm is going to break all the rules of forecasting. 
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