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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:33 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

For the life of me I still can not comprehend how you fly an airplane through the middle of a hurricane with 100+ mph winds.


They typically try to fly into the winds as they approach the center. Airplanes have 500+ mph winds flowing over them at altitude, so 100 mph isn't a big deal. They just adjust the path to eliminate ad much cross wind as feasible.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:46 pm to
00z GFS taking a bit more of a southerly track, pretty much outside of the 18z GEFS spread through 54hrs (except for one crazy south member).
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:48 pm to
I know Blake was curious in his discussion if the southern trend would continue or not especially with the data from the HH in these runs.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

I know Blake was curious in his discussion if the southern trend would continue


GFS from 00z yesterday to 00z today

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:58 pm to
That Southern Plains ridge

Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:58 pm to
And a lot slower too.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

pulls an Irma and slides down into Cuba before turning north.

Fort Myers residents should still be sending thank you notes to Cuba for this.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:00 pm to
Looks like a stout ridge
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:01 pm to
That gif was tripping me our for a minute until I realized it was a trend gif.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33450 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:02 pm to
Made me

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:02 pm to
quote:

And a lot slower too.

that caught my eye too

wonder if that'll open up the out to sea option a little more... which I'm sure everyone wants

ETA: now that I see the ridge gif... I guess that doesn't really open up out to sea

but what do I know
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 11:06 pm
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25504 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

That gif was tripping me our for a minute

Same, looks like it shift to reverse
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:04 pm to
I don't think so not looking at the model run but the ridge is building in stronger hence the darker orange color. Eta..don't pay attention to me pay attention to Duke and Rds Dc along with GeauxMedic and Slackter in this thread lol.
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 11:06 pm
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
5046 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:08 pm to
quote:

Gotcha. That helped. I can't imagine flying through a freaking hurricane.


I'm surprised it's at such low altitude. I'm not a pilot, but 1000 feet doesn't seem like much to work with if something goes bad in that environment. Big huevos no matter who's flying.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
48339 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:13 pm to
I'm in Jacksonville and I'm relying on this thread for updates. It's significantly better than anything I see on TV. Thanks to rds dc, Duke, deltaman, etc... for keeping us informed.
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
5046 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

Keep up the female driver jokes. They really are amusing.


CHICKS IN FRONT!
Posted by Tbobby
Member since Dec 2006
4358 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:15 pm to
quote:

Fla should be a 3rd world country


compared to Louisiana?
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:26 pm to
GFS Rainfall forecast over next 9 days

Still early to pinpoint exactly where the highest amounts will be but this gives an idea of the potential amounts somewhere.

This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 11:27 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:41 pm to
Last few fixes suggesting the WNW to W turn is likely not far from materializing.
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12620 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:48 pm to
Avila got Former NHC director Bill Read fired.
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