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Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:23 pm to rds dc
Are we still so sure this isn’t a gulf threat. It’s beginning to look like it’s possible.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:24 pm to rds dc
That's why I was asking Duke about the ridge earlier because it seemed exaggerated in some models. This is what's worrying to me that it gets trapped under that ridge and drifts further westward.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:24 pm to GeauxTigers80
quote:
Are we still so sure this isn’t a gulf threat.
We very much aren't sure. It appears to be a Gulf threat at this point, and a major one.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:25 pm to Chad504boy
After all the drama and stress with Barry I’m going to wait until Saturday night after the game and then start following this thing.
But.... the Euro was pretty spot on with Barry about 5 days out so it’s worth getting concerned
But.... the Euro was pretty spot on with Barry about 5 days out so it’s worth getting concerned
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:40 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
I don't see why anyone would really pay specific attention to the models past 3 or 4 days outside of "it might be in the general area, so keep an eye out".
While I completely agree, people would lose their shite if you waited to tell them about a hurricane heading their way until it was 72 hours out.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:41 pm to hubertcumberdale
quote:
For whatever it's worth, a friend works in the maritime industry and he told me that their private weather service is thinking that Dorian will curl North in East Florida and move up the East coast, Georgia, SC, NC. This was as about 8 this morning.
You need to tell your company to save money and stop feeding the professionally paid weather guessers. They need to read this board instead, and it is free. It even comes with a Money Back Guarantee.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:41 pm to slackster
The grocery stores are packed out here in Ponte vedra beach it’s gonna be a shitshow all the way thru Labor Day
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:42 pm to slackster
12z Euro Ensembles - notable intensity uptick for Gulf tracks. And of course, further west
Contrast it with the 0z Euro ensemble:

This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 2:43 pm
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:45 pm to Tarps99
quote:
They need to read this board instead, and it is free.
My TD Premium fee gets me super duper special accurate models and no Oweo or peej.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:47 pm to lsugolfredman
Looks like I'll be watching it rain at the lake, south of Birmingham, Sept 5th- 8th.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:48 pm to LSUvegasbombed
quote:
We’ll know more in 24-48 hours
The go to phrase for doctors, meteorologists, stock brokers, and politicians.
Meanwhile while you wait, they are headed out of town.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:50 pm to lsugolfredman
Damn I didn't see the NHC saying that there was a sustained 82mph wind and gust of 111 on Buck Island (the St. Thomas one, not the St. Croix one).
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:53 pm to lsugolfredman
The ensembles earlier were tightly clustered in their confidence. This one is tightly around florida but it still leaves the possibility on board the ridge could push it further west into somewhere like Louisiana. Fairly large difference in intensity probably because it wasn't projecting that well earlier.
Both the Euro/GFS are showing some potential stalling on land. If it gets trapped under that ridge it's pucker arse time on it potentially ramping up on intensity.
Both the Euro/GFS are showing some potential stalling on land. If it gets trapped under that ridge it's pucker arse time on it potentially ramping up on intensity.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 2:57 pm
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:53 pm to FLBooGoTigs1
They'll be out of Coronas in Daytona
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:55 pm to deuce985
This looks much different than the 11am model


Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:57 pm to anewguy
quote:
Well shite. I am supposed to go to Destin this weekend.
It would be late next week before it made landfall there
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:59 pm to tgrbaitn08
Praying this thing takes the upper part of that cone
Posted on 8/28/19 at 2:59 pm to tgrbaitn08
I wouldn’t mind some light rain in BR next weekend to water the grass and plants. Plus the game is in Austin.
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