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Posted on 8/28/19 at 9:56 am to TDsngumbo
Euro has a hard-on for bad news for GOM every year it seems like.
Typical late August/Sept storm. Looking good, then you wake up to bad news.
Typical late August/Sept storm. Looking good, then you wake up to bad news.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 9:57 am
Posted on 8/28/19 at 9:57 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
50_Tiger
Good day to bust out the radarscope. The San Juan radar has the core of Dorian in range.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 9:58 am to Duke
Sure looks like its gonna pass a bit east of PR
Posted on 8/28/19 at 9:59 am to Duke
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 64.5W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 64.5W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
Posted on 8/28/19 at 9:59 am to Cosmo
Agreed. Which is definitely for the best. Not that the Virgin Islands needs it.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:02 am to Chad504boy
showing up on wu now as hitting cat 3 briefly
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:02 am to Duke
I hate that in Euro ensembles you don't see any northward turn so if it did enter the GOM and those ensembles are correct, it puts the entire Gulf at risk.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:03 am to CBarkleytruth
quote:
Starting to resemble Katrina’s path
Just stop with this BS. This path so far looks nothing like Katrina. Or Betsy. Or Andrew.
Paths don’t mean shite and the only reason people use those names is for drama. It’s starting to look like Dorian. That’s what it looks like.
Quit comparing it to past storms because every level-minded individual here knows what people who do this are trying to do.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:04 am to CBarkleytruth
quote:
Starting to resemble Katrina’s path
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:06 am to TDsngumbo
What effect will this cold front have on anything? I've been under a rock
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:06 am to Motorboat
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:07 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Just stop with this BS. This path so far looks nothing like Katrina. Or Betsy. Or Andrew.
Paths don’t mean shite and the only reason people use those names is for drama.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:08 am to deuce985
quote:
I hate that in Euro ensembles you don't see any northward turn so if it did enter the GOM and those ensembles are correct, it puts the entire Gulf at risk
They only go out like 90 hours I think. So it wouldn't see a north turn yet.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:09 am to rds dc
dorian is small, it can be fierce, but not as bad as a larger storm at the same category
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:11 am to CBarkleytruth
Shut up. You clutter the thread with crap when many appreciate the good input from some of really talented weather nerds.
All love nerds. No hate.
All love nerds. No hate.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:12 am to roadGator
Experts:
Do you think we will know if this storm is going out into the Gulf by Friday?
Do you think we will know if this storm is going out into the Gulf by Friday?
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:13 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Do you think we will know if this storm is going out into the Gulf by Friday?
Look at the official NHC path, note how it's on the coast of east coast of Florida Monday morning.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 10:17 am to Duke
I know you follow models a lot which one do you think is the best at dealing with ridges? Euro? I know all the models lose accuracy after each day just curious which one you think is most consistent on predicting the ridge influence?
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