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Posted on 8/31/19 at 1:12 am to slackster
He is a drunk troll
Bless his little heart
Bless his little heart
Posted on 8/31/19 at 1:21 am to Cosmo
00z Euro
00z GFS
A northward turn in/near Florida is a tough prediction. If you're off by 100 miles you could miss the whole state and hit SC. If you miss Morgan City by 100 miles 3 days out, no one notices.
00z GFS
A northward turn in/near Florida is a tough prediction. If you're off by 100 miles you could miss the whole state and hit SC. If you miss Morgan City by 100 miles 3 days out, no one notices.
This post was edited on 8/31/19 at 1:26 am
Posted on 8/31/19 at 1:27 am to slackster
Makes a little through of his own between the ridges.
The first through comes in a little deeper (588 line dips down into SC). Takes the oppertunity. Then gets squeezed in by the western ridge and eastern ridges building.
Looks a whole lot like the GFS solution out to 120 hours.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 1:30 am to slackster
To give you an idea of how much a subtle change in the turn has impacted Florida, here is the 00z guidance from 24 hours ago - THIS IS NO LONGER VALID FOR NOW:
Very similar agreement, but 75 miles to the east makes a significant difference in Florida impacts.
Very similar agreement, but 75 miles to the east makes a significant difference in Florida impacts.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 1:45 am to Duke
quote:
Makes a little through of his own between the ridges.
The first through comes in a little deeper (588 line dips down into SC). Takes the oppertunity. Then gets squeezed in by the western ridge and eastern ridges building.
Looks a whole lot like the GFS solution out to 120 hours.
I know hurricanes are steered st all heights, so I wonder how much the lower currents matter. This is the MSLP anomalies.
Ridge steering it west for 48 hours...
Trough digging out a path north at 72 hours...
And more pronounced at 94 hours...
As rds mentioned, if you feel the need to shite on the NHC, remember that the weather event that is currently allowing Dorian to potentially escape out to sea is still a few hundred miles west of Oregon and still 3+ days away. That's pretty damn impressive imo.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 1:58 am to slackster
Hopefully it will get pushed out. It looks awful
Posted on 8/31/19 at 2:24 am to slackster
English, slackster, do you speak it?!
Please put, in to layman's terms, where this storm is headed in the next 24-48 hours.
Please put, in to layman's terms, where this storm is headed in the next 24-48 hours.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 4:23 am to liz18lsu
Looks like the eye wall got alot thicker and way more symmetrical in the last few frames of the GOES imagery.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 4:28 am to Chatagnier
Another HH Aircraft has taken off to fly into Dorian.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 4:32 am to lsuman25
keep going east hurricane away from any state .come on Gulf stream pull this thing out to sea.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 4:44 am to FLObserver
See you tonight for the game but this hurricane is stressing me out man.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 5:26 am to FLBooGoTigs1
Mean looking storm. Eye is impressive.

This post was edited on 8/31/19 at 5:29 am
Posted on 8/31/19 at 5:38 am to LSU Fan SLU Grad
Can someone seance w Coolidge?
Posted on 8/31/19 at 5:46 am to DawgCountry
Welp Georgia/South Carolina you’re up
Posted on 8/31/19 at 5:59 am to DawgCountry
This feels like a repeat of Hurricane floyd in 1999. Apparently Florida’s east coast has a natural defense, a jet stream of some sort thats parallel to Fl that helps steer hurricanes north of us.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 6:04 am to MrBige
Are you thinking of the Gulf Stream?
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