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re: How many more years does coastal Louisiana have before everyone has to leave?

Posted on 8/7/17 at 9:48 pm to
Posted by HeadBusta4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
11362 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 9:48 pm to
Blow all the levees south of Laplace and everything will be built back up in no time
Posted by Izzy Mandelbaum Sr
Think you're better than me, huh?
Member since Jul 2017
514 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 9:50 pm to
It's only a model.
Posted by League Champs
Bayou Self
Member since Oct 2012
10340 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 9:57 pm to
I guess you're not aware that NASA recently reported that sea levels have actually fallen over the past 2 years?


Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21693 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 9:57 pm to
quote:

Blow all the levees south of Laplace and everything will be built back up in no time


That will slow things dowm, but you still lose. Theres more soil erosion and subsiding than soil flowing down river.

The only way to fix the problem is to blow all the dams, weirs, and water control structures upstream of New Orleans and release all of the trapped soil/turbidity.

Eta:in other words, it'll never happen, and New Orleans becomes an island in a generation or 2.
This post was edited on 8/7/17 at 10:09 pm
Posted by Bullfrog
Running Through the Wet Grass
Member since Jul 2010
60322 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

I suppose you could include metro NOLA in this discussion as well, since a city kept dry only by levees is sorta worthless, and won't last long.
Nah. NOLA is a great city, well protected by dykes and happily serviced by fairies.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
25112 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 9:59 pm to
Probably not too unrealistic to think that in the next 20-30 years, if the diversions and state's current coastal master plan doesn't work, that the government may buy out people in Plaquemines Parish and blow all the levees south of the intercoastal
Posted by Rekamyah
Ovadalevee
Member since Jun 2008
1866 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

How long do we have?


Hopefully, not too long. I could go for some beachfront property around here.
Posted by sheek
New Albany, OH
Member since Sep 2007
44131 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 10:59 pm to
I remember in the late 80's, many scientists, coastal specialists, etc predicted much of the areas would be under water today but all presently dry and is under no immediate threats. In some areas, some of the costal Parishes are having success with revitalizing their coastal marshes right along the gulf . I think the government will have to eventually blow up the levees south of Belle Chase. I might be wrong but I think that will happen during our lifetime
This post was edited on 8/7/17 at 11:26 pm
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
148203 posts
Posted on 8/7/17 at 11:22 pm to
Straight up, the USA needs to drop some bunker buster or something similar on the levees just below the joint airbase in Belle Chase and across the river in Braithwaite and let the river take over from there instead of letting it blow off the continental shelf
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
53685 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 4:10 am to
bye bye Buras...
Posted by lbj1808
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2016
56 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 6:28 am to
Before the floods my son and I found the LSU ag map ( that's impossible to find now) that stated I'd have waterfront property by 2035, and it was dead on about how I would flood in Shenandoah. I do not plan on being here past 2021.
Posted by Ba Ba Boooey
Northshore
Member since May 2010
4729 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 6:36 am to
I go run our boat with my stepdad out of bienvenue twice a year and out of Lafitte 2-3 times a year and I can see the amount of land being lost each time we go in those areas. Depending on how many more big hurricanes come this way to speed things up, probably in my child's lifetime.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20533 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 6:46 am to
There is no reason for anyone to have a permanent residents south of Bell, only camps and industry support should be down there. Same goes for a lot of the costal areas to the west. Build an elevated roadway like in Fouchon and blow the levees.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 7:27 am to
No one knows.

Huge variables.
Volcano spew into air slows warming. Mt Tuba supposedly killed off most humans. Dna trail says only few thousand human couples survived.
Position of sun and earth in galaxy is supposed in cool cycle.
Coal use in china and india on the rise.

Sudden change due to methane in siberia is a possible game changer.

You dont really need to permanently submerge l.c. and laffy. Just heat up northern gulf enough that a series of hurricanes destroys Houston, tampa st pete, mobile, pensacola and l.c.
That will happen long before alex is beach town.


Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 7:31 am to
The dutch announced long tern plan is to give up western 1/4 of country.
Frisian language will be no more.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
53904 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 7:39 am to
Coastal LA, might as well take it all the way up to Ascension.
100 years

Major hurricanes will determine New Orleans fate.
I can't see how New Orleans survives another Katrina and you could have 4 of those in the next 50 years.
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 7:43 am to
quote:

White Castle beach may be a hot tourist destination in 50 years


My camp will be on the gulf! guess I need to start looking at center consoles now since the camp will be worth 10x's what it is now.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
37722 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 7:56 am to
quote:

Major hurricanes will determine New Orleans fate.
I can't see how New Orleans survives another Katrina and you could have 4 of those in the next 50 years.



Or you may not have another Katrina at all, right? No one can say for sure. NOLAs fate will be determined by the voters who have a much bigger role in destroying that city than nature. If they keep electing officials like Mitch the Bitch, there won't be anything left to worry about.

I grew up in Houma. I've been being told for 40 years that the coast is vanishing and "within the next 2 decades" most of Terrebonne & Lafourche parish will be gone. Yet its still there. Grand Isle, Cocodrie, etc are all still there. NOt denying the land loss, but it sure as hell isn't as dire as its alleged to be.

Posted by lowhound
Effie
Member since Aug 2014
9615 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 8:32 am to
How long has Venice, Italy been around? They aren't under water yet
Posted by sta4ever
Member since Aug 2014
17403 posts
Posted on 8/8/17 at 9:37 am to
Looks like I can catch some reds and specks out of my backyard in a few years!
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