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re: How imminent is a housing crisis in this country?

Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:03 am to
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
31234 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:03 am to
Per Zillow:

Plano TX Real Estate & Homes For Sale
707 results


Seven years ago people were getting 45-50 walk throughs a day for any home they listed.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
41091 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:03 am to
quote:

I don't believe that if you live along the Gulf coast



ran it specific to the Gulf Coast. Insurance in 1981 for a house in median house in florida would be 740-$1,300 annually

so like all things in the Housing market, it is more local than national

Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
13279 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Just checked, and the 1BR/1BA dump I lived in in 1998 is still there. Rent was $425/month then and it's $800 now. Doesn't seem that out of line for 28 years.
So your telling me it was a dump in 1998. Imagine how much of a dump it is now 28 years later
Posted by BoudinChicot
Member since Sep 2021
2409 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:04 am to
quote:

So, go find a starter house, fix it up and stop crying like a 2 year old.


I grew up in a 'starter house' like that. Safe working class neighborhoods dont exist anymore. I wouldnt even get out of my fricking car there today. Quit pretending like we still live in leave it to beaver land.

None of us give a shite about house size. Its about escaping certain demographics so our kids have a safe place to live and go to school.
Posted by Cracker
in a box
Member since Nov 2009
19376 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:06 am to
Economics ? The rates are about average over the past 40 years. I see dirt moving daily new construction. There is not a problem.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
88509 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Oilfieldbiology
Idiot
Posted by DrrTiger
Gulf of America
Member since Nov 2023
2792 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

I make more money and have a nicer house than you.


I'm retired in my 40s you fricking idiot. You think that impresses me?
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
38596 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:11 am to
quote:

I'm retired in my 40s you fricking idiot. You think that impresses me?


I’m just giving factual evidence to refute your statement

And living on disability isn’t “retired”
This post was edited on 10/21/26 at 9:12 am
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
16004 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:11 am to
quote:

I'm retired in my 40s you fricking idiot. You think that impresses me?



I mean this explains why you are so out of touch with the reality of things

You gonna give us the "let them eat cake" treatment?
Posted by Rockne
Member since Jul 2021
29 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:13 am to
We’re having a respectable discussion. I’d never downvote a gentleman that cares to have a civil discourse.

I think we may be talking past each other.

My point is that 7% mortgages aren’t an anomaly historically, as some want to claim. That’s probably the new reality.

Yeah, 30 years ago, I had a a 7%, $200,000 mortgage. Which seemed like a lot back then.

Now, the median price of a home has probably doubled since then, but wages have increased greatly too.

I guarantee that I wasn’t working a fast food job to pay my mortgage back then, just as a fast food worker probably can’t afford a mortgage now.

And I maintain that younger people seem to expect more, and I believe it’s driven by what they see online.

Many seem to want it all at an early age, without putting in the hard work to earn it, which has never been easily attainable by the vast majority of the population. Yet, the bitching because it’s not handed to them on a silver platter.

As I said earlier, our priorities after getting married was the house, kids, and friends and family. And betting that our wages would increase over time to make things a little easier. That takes time, and I don’t believe a lot of young people have that patience, without strong parental guidance.

Thankfully, my two kids graduated college in the mid two thousand teens, before the internet craziness really got out of hand.

They both have excelled, and each own homes way bigger than mine.

The American Dream is not dead, but you have to go get it.

The Constitution offers Equal Opportunity, not Equal Outcomes.

Go get you some






Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
13279 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Boomers own their fricking houses because they started in teeny, tiny little starter house
To be fair, builders aren’t making these anymore. Builders making sub 1500sqft homes are a needle in the haystack.
quote:

You spoiled crybabies want to just start by buying their houses as your first home because, well, you deserve luxury everything
The average age for a first time homebuyer has jumped to 40 years old. So yeah, at that point they have multiple kids and need something more than the 1100 sqft POS you are talking about.
quote:

Now, you want their home for a lesser price because you say it's not worth what they think it's worth anymore.
Well it probably isn’t. Majority of boomer homes have antiquated designs, extremely outdated kitchens and bathrooms, and wallpaper/carpet that hasn’t been replaced in 30 years. Yet they want a price that is marginally different than a new build.

You may not accept this premise, but if there were low fixer uppers in safe neighborhoods with good school districts, millennials and Gen Z would be pouring into them. However they don’t exist. Those neighbors are filled with crime and failing school districts.
This post was edited on 10/21/26 at 9:15 am
Posted by DrrTiger
Gulf of America
Member since Nov 2023
2792 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:16 am to
quote:

And living on disability isn’t “retired”


Wrong again.

Try not living above your means and perhaps some day you too can achieve it.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
87027 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:16 am to
quote:

You may not accept this premise, but if there were low fixer uppers in safe neighborhoods with good school districts, millennials and Gen Z would be pouring into them. However they don’t exist. Those neighbors are filled with crime and failing school districts.


this is the point that they fail to recognize in all of these threads

and they are told this in this thread, that happens every 2 weeks, so they just have to be willfully ignoring this point for some very weird reason

Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
38596 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:18 am to
quote:

My point is that 7% mortgages aren’t an anomaly historically, as some want to claim


They are not, but home prices are WAY higher as a percentage of real income while rates remain consistent to historical averages. Ie - they are way less affordable. Not debatable - fact.

quote:

I guarantee that I wasn’t working a fast food job to pay my mortgage back then, just as a fast food worker probably can’t afford a mortgage now


Teachers and tradesman and accounting clerks can’t afford mortgages now, which is the entire point of the discussion.

quote:

And I maintain that younger people seem to expect more, and I believe it’s driven by what they see online.


Younger people are renting multi family housing that are built like shite until well into their 30s. Again, fact, not opinion.

quote:

As I said earlier, our priorities after getting married was the house, kids, and friends and family.


Young people are shifting those priorities because they can barely afford rent, much less raising a family.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
16004 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Many seem to want it all at an early age, without putting in the hard work to earn it, which has never been easily attainable by the vast majority of the population. Yet, the bitching because it’s not handed to them on a silver platter.

As I said earlier, our priorities after getting married was the house, kids, and friends and family. And betting that our wages would increase over time to make things a little easier. That takes time, and I don’t believe a lot of young people have that patience, without strong parental guidance.


families are getting smaller (i.e. less people having kids), community dynamics have changed, hardcore drug usage and depression are at all time highs, people have lost their religion, etc.

The days of the families/communities as seen in the 60s-90s are over and have been over for a quick minute.

Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
16004 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Young people are shifting those priorities because they can barely afford rent, much less raising a family.



yup
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
38596 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:21 am to
quote:

families are getting smaller (i.e. less people having kids), community dynamics have changed, hardcore drug usage and depression are at all time highs, people have lost their religion, etc.


I do think unaffordability plays into this. “frick it, I’ll never be able to afford a house so I’ll just spend my money traveling”
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
16004 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:21 am to
quote:

I do think unaffordability plays into this. “frick it, I’ll never be able to afford a house so I’ll just spend my money traveling”



yeah that's exactly it!
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
44237 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Paid cash for what I could afford. Not worried about it.


Posted by Supermoto Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2010
11019 posts
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:36 am to
quote:

home sales are at multi decade lows.
TRUE
quote:

Mortgage rates are rapidly approaching 8%
TRUE

So even though home sales are down, the Fed raises interest rates in an attempt to control inflation.
- Normally, raising the interest rates on mortgages slows down home sales and building in general.
- Normally, with lower home sales and a lower number of building permits,
over time inflation becomes more manageable.

Here is the problem with that approach in today's world:


Besides labor higher rates, higher fuel cost, basically higher cost on absolutely everything from insurance, taxes, cost of goods, cost of land, everything - - now we have 2 NEW factors (never experienced before) that are skewing and distorting inflation:


#2 Tariffs - driving up cost of goods and skewing inflation. We are not buying more products. But, the prices are rising because the items are
taxed/tariff more. It's not inflation - remove the tariffs, cost will drop.

AND NUMBER 1:

#1 DATA CENTERS
They don't care what it cost.
They don't care what the interest rate climbs to
They don't care what the land cost
They don't care about labor rates
The cost could triple and they still couldn't build them fast enough.

It makes it seem like the general public purchasing has driven up inflation.
No, tariffs and the billions spent suddenly almost over night on data centers that's what is driving up inflation.

We're fricked. I don't know how this can get under control.


Tell me I'm wrong.

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