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Message

re: How climate change could swallow Louisiana's Avery Island

Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:51 am to
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17754 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Putting levees around the Mississippi river and prohibiting spoil from being deposited across South Louisiana isn't climate change...



I hate how people try to dumb it down to one simple cause.

The retreat of our coastline has a variety of causes and will require a variety of solutions to counteract.

The longer we delay the solutions by arguing its existence or cause will only see us lose even more valuable coastline ecosystems.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91874 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:51 am to
quote:

I'll trust the guys who've been working there and looking at the same depth markers for decades over people who've faked data and been busted doing it more than once.


You expect those guys to notice less than 1.25" of sea level rise over the last 30 years?

Come on man.

Scientist also estimate sea levels 100 million years ago were 750 feet higher than they are today. The reason for the rise is where you should be skeptical. The actual rise itself isn't debatable.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
71200 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:53 am to
If sea level is rising, why isn't it rising at the same levels all along the coast? Why is it only "rising" in areas with severe subsidence and sediment deprivation issues?

Maybe it's because global mean sea level rise due to climate change is a crock of sh%t and that Louisiana's coastal erosion issues are caused by a completely different source called the Army Corps of Engineers.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37542 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:55 am to
quote:

but to think that we as humans aren't having a significant effect on the change cycle is asinine


But how much 1%, 5%, 50%? We don't know, but climate change people will tell you it's all humans fault. We have no idea if that's true or not which makes their arguement disingenuous and disqualifies their opinion. I'm willing to listen if we can figure it out, but them acting like they know the answer it just as dumb as people that say the climate isn't changing.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:56 am to
quote:

completely different source called the Army Corps of Engineers.


Well that's stated in the article too..
Posted by DeathValley85
Member since May 2011
19376 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:58 am to
quote:

If a single fisherman along the coast said the sea level had changed even a little bit over the past few decades, this would be believable.


wtf?
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
71200 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Putting levees around the Mississippi river and prohibiting spoil from being deposited across South Louisiana isn't climate change...


I hate how people try to dumb it down to one simple cause.


It's ok when that cause is probably contributing at least 90%. It's clearly the largest cause by all actual measures.
Posted by Mudminnow
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2004
34216 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:01 am to
People on the poli board said its fake news
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17754 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:06 am to
quote:

It's ok when that cause is probably contributing at least 90%. It's clearly the largest cause by all actual measures.



I totally agree. I'm just saying it is frustrating seeing posters claim a singular cause or debunk one part of the equation all in the name of fulfilling their preconceived bias towards the subject.
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17754 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:20 am to
quote:

If sea level is rising, why isn't it rising at the same levels all along the coast?


If conditions were equal throughout the globe you would see an even distribution of water but instead you have factors that affect water volume distribution such as:

Location of the source of the additional liquid water in our seas
Earth's gravity
Lunar Gravity
Ocean currents
Sea Temperatures
Volcanoes
Wind
Ease at which to settle


One additional (minor) factor to global sea level rise is the mass of the existing ice actually has a slight gravitational pull. As the mass of the existing ice lessens so does its gravitational pull meaning water molecules that were held closer to the ice are now released
This post was edited on 3/28/18 at 10:22 am
Posted by swamplynx
Lake Chuck
Member since Oct 2014
1277 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Putting levees around the Mississippi river and prohibiting spoil from being deposited across South Louisiana isn't climate change...


This.

I've ready many studies which say that this is one of the main contributing factors towards erosion. Every time someone is complaining of climate change and the effects on the coast, I mention this and you can tell it never crossed their mind.

Louisiana isn't going under water, it's simply (not so simply) eroding.
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
23296 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:23 am to
It is fake news...I grew up on a farm in Bob Acres, LA...to say that the highest point in the gulf coast will be swallowed up is dumb.

The marshland around it has been being washed away by erosion but Avery island will just finally be a real expensive island!!!!
This post was edited on 3/28/18 at 10:25 am
Posted by NC_Tigah
Ray Bans for Max Polarization
Member since Sep 2003
140762 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:26 am to
quote:

"The Avery Island marshes are retreating by around 30ft a year as salt water seeps in, ushered in by canals dug by the oil and gas industry and the level of the land itself, which is gradually sinking by around a third of an inch a year. The salty brine kills off vegetation, loosens soils and accelerates erosion."
None of which has one damn thing to do with climate change. It has to do with channel dredging, and erosion.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:26 am to
As someone who deals with this stuff daily, believe me relative sea level rise is occurring. Obviously this accounts for sinking and rising water levels. Not to go all green, but water levels have risen somewhat
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17754 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:29 am to
quote:

I've ready many studies which say that this is one of the main contributing factors towards erosion. Every time someone is complaining of climate change and the effects on the coast, I mention this and you can tell it never crossed their mind.

Louisiana isn't going under water, it's simply (not so simply) eroding.


So if we all agree man changed the way our coastline protects itself, why are we so skeptical humans could impact the global ecosystem in other ways?
Posted by chew4219
Member since Sep 2009
3236 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:29 am to
Being that I have property that just about touches theirs, Hurricane Rita did 99% of the damage to the marsh and it’s not going to recover.

Our family also had litigation against some major O&G companies regarding accelerated degradation and contamination of water quality and soil quality due to their gross neglegant practices. We win the lawsuit, 10 years of litigation, judge finds each company guilty and orders only lawyers fees and court cost be paid.

We wanted all old canals and location canals to be closed off to saltwater intrusion. Nothing was done at all. There was video of a certain operator discharging 10,000 BBL of saltwater brine directly out of tank batteries into the open canals killing off all fish and vegetation. Another saltwater brine pipeline ruptured in our 46 acre impoundment and 196 acre impoundment. Destroying all vegetation and wildlife.

But we aren’t a very large landholder out there, only 786 acres compared to the thousands help by the fine folk who bring us tobasco.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:30 am to
That graphic doesn't look right. The birdsfoot is by far seeing the most subsidence. Not pecan island.
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17754 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:30 am to
quote:

It is fake news...I grew up on a farm in Bob Acres, LA...to say that the highest point in the gulf coast will be swallowed up is dumb.

The marshland around it has been being washed away by erosion but Avery island will just finally be a real expensive island!!!!


The loss of the marshland is not concerning to you at all? Just wait til a hurricane hits
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91874 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:31 am to
quote:

One additional (minor) factor to global sea level rise is the mass of the existing ice actually has a slight gravitational pull. As the mass of the existing ice lessens so does its gravitational pull meaning water molecules that were held closer to the ice are now released


Something like 80-90% of global sea level rise is from to the expansion of the top 50-100m of oceans due to slightly higher global temperatures. People go crazy about glacier melts, but they're of minimal concern to sea levels.
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
23296 posts
Posted on 3/28/18 at 10:32 am to
Have you been in those parts lately? My dads house sits at 19 feet above sea level...almost every house has been raised to meet Rita specs.

I’m not concerned about that. I’m concerned that the Iberia parish levee district couldn’t pass a damn tax to create levee protection. Citizens don’t see into the future in those parts. Like 50 bucks per year could have dropped flood premiums by 750.
This post was edited on 3/28/18 at 10:34 am
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