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re: Here's why the country is freaking out and under virtual lock down - mathematical reason
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:14 am to Street Hawk
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:14 am to Street Hawk
quote:
Comparing Coronavirus to the flu is idiotic.
This is true.
The flu is much deadlier.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:19 am to Pettifogger
quote:
China welded people's buildings shut and tore up the roads so you couldn't leave your city - that's why it's not doubling in China
So what's the reasoning in South Korea as to why new cases have been going down over the last week?
The rate of cases per 1M people in S. Korea is the 2nd highest rate in the world behind Italy, so it's not like it was mild over there.
This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 8:21 am
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:22 am to TeddyPadillac
Testing so the can find and quarantine those who have it.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:24 am to TeddyPadillac
quote:
So what's the reasoning in South Korea as to why new cases have been going down over the last week?
The rate of cases per 1M people in S. Korea is the 2nd highest rate in the world behind Italy, so it's not like it was mild over there.
SK has done the most testing by far
so they are actually finding the infected people and isolating them
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:25 am to Street Hawk
Winner winner !!! Now start your model with. About 10,000 which is a very very conservative estimate of where we are now and tell me in how many weeks we hit 50 million
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:25 am to TutHillTiger
You think 50,000,000 people will be infected?
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:31 am to DevilDagNS
quote:
It could be pure coincidence, but everyone I know who is out of their heads over this also happen to have extreme TDS. Just a casual observation I made over the past few days.
All you morons on both sides have to politicize everything then us normal people are sitting here annoyed af.
The adage of the truth lying in between 2 sides of the same story applies bigly here. Liberals are acting like this is nuclear Holocaust so the right says "stupid fricking dems, this isn't even worse than the flu!!"
The truth is that this is a big deal that we should be concerned about and take measures to slow the spread. We don't have to act like death is imminent, but we can also acknowledge that large gatherings are pretty risky so cancelling them is probably the smart move. We don't have to stock up a years supply of toilet paper, but we also don't have to intentionally play dumb and act like this is just a common cold.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:31 am to TH03
People are going to be here shortly to tell you to jumpin your bunker.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:32 am to TH03
quote:
us normal people
Please. Nobody on this message board is in the slightest way normal.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:32 am to ell_13
0.0001.5% of S. Korean's tested positive for Corona. Again, S. Korea has the 2nd highest rate per capita of positive tests. The last few days over there, they've seen just around 100 new cases daily, and that number keeps getting lower.
At that rate, about 50,000 Americans will test positive for Corona, which isn't 50,000,000 like the media would have you believe, or over 1 million like the moron that started this thread would have you believe.
Can we use these numbers or do they not fit the narrative?
At that rate, about 50,000 Americans will test positive for Corona, which isn't 50,000,000 like the media would have you believe, or over 1 million like the moron that started this thread would have you believe.
Can we use these numbers or do they not fit the narrative?
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:34 am to FulshearTiger
quote:
People are going to be here shortly to tell you to jumpin your bunker.
And those people are as dumb as the "WELL THE FLU KILLED MORE PEOPLE SO WHY DON'T WE QUARANTINE THEM" people.

One side said one so the other has to say the complete opposite. Obama and Trump have done a number on this country to where people can't agree with the other party on anything.

This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 8:36 am
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:34 am to TH03
quote:Whats the end game? When can people gather again?
The truth is that this is a big deal that we should be concerned about and take measures to slow the spread. We don't have to act like death is imminent, but we can also acknowledge that large gatherings are pretty risky so cancelling them is probably the smart move. We don't have to stock up a years supply of toilet paper, but we also don't have to intentionally play dumb and act like this is just a common cold.
Just wondering if anyone has a plan
China, who welded doors shut, did that for a month. They are just coming out and about and its very limited.
Admittedly by you, we arent taking those measures. So our cancellations and measures would need to be longer correct? So maybe 2 months? 3? People are going to keep dying. People are going to keep getting infected. This virus isnt going to just disappear. Whats the end game to continuing to live normal life?
This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 8:35 am
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:35 am to Napoleon
quote:
Statistically speaking a couple of posters here WILL die
Statistically speaking all posters here will die. Just not necessarily from the Coronavirus
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:37 am to SaintsandTigers
quote:
Whats the end game? When can people gather again?
when the curve flattens or stops doubling
seems pretty obvious

Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:38 am to SaintsandTigers
We will see. They're learning more about this thing every day and trying to develop a vaccine.
I don't think it's unwise to say "hey let's not congregate thousands of people in one place then fly back to homes across the country." It's literally how you win the game plague Inc.
I don't think it's unwise to say "hey let's not congregate thousands of people in one place then fly back to homes across the country." It's literally how you win the game plague Inc.

Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:38 am to TH03
quote:
The truth is that this is a big deal that we should be concerned about and take measures to slow the s
The only reason its a big deal is because it is likely to overwhelm the healthcare system for a couple of weeks or months. Its not going to kill a lot of people or have long term health effects most likely.
So we are taking drastic measures to hurt the economy in order to prevent the healthcare system from being overwhelmed and possibly prevent a couple 1,000 less people from dying.
That may be worth it, I'm not sure. We'll only know in hindsight. People can say preventing deaths is enormous and generally I agree, but if this has a significant economic impact and we have millions without jobs opinions on that will certainly vary.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:38 am to Salmon
quote:I dont think it does
when the curve flattens or stops doubling
seems pretty obvious
When the curve flattens, people will still be dying and getting infected. I dont see the fear being gone.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:39 am to SaintsandTigers
quote:
When the curve flattens, people will still be dying and getting infected. I dont see the fear being gone.
We won't have a completely overrun healthcare system like Italy. Far fewer people will be dying if the curve flattens rather than the alternative.
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