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re: Here's why the country is freaking out and under virtual lock down - mathematical reason

Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:14 am to
Posted by Slingin Pickle
Fancy side of the North Shore
Member since Jun 2008
3036 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:14 am to
quote:

Comparing Coronavirus to the flu is idiotic.


This is true.

The flu is much deadlier.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
28679 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:19 am to
quote:

China welded people's buildings shut and tore up the roads so you couldn't leave your city - that's why it's not doubling in China



So what's the reasoning in South Korea as to why new cases have been going down over the last week?

The rate of cases per 1M people in S. Korea is the 2nd highest rate in the world behind Italy, so it's not like it was mild over there.
This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 8:21 am
Posted by White Bear
Yonnygo
Member since Jul 2014
16359 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:22 am to
#manufacturedcrisis
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86748 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:22 am to
Testing so the can find and quarantine those who have it.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85116 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:24 am to
quote:

So what's the reasoning in South Korea as to why new cases have been going down over the last week?

The rate of cases per 1M people in S. Korea is the 2nd highest rate in the world behind Italy, so it's not like it was mild over there.


SK has done the most testing by far

so they are actually finding the infected people and isolating them
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
46138 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:25 am to
Winner winner !!! Now start your model with. About 10,000 which is a very very conservative estimate of where we are now and tell me in how many weeks we hit 50 million
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
39909 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:25 am to
You think 50,000,000 people will be infected?
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85116 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:26 am to
You need to calm down
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171891 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:31 am to
quote:

It could be pure coincidence, but everyone I know who is out of their heads over this also happen to have extreme TDS. Just a casual observation I made over the past few days.



All you morons on both sides have to politicize everything then us normal people are sitting here annoyed af.

The adage of the truth lying in between 2 sides of the same story applies bigly here. Liberals are acting like this is nuclear Holocaust so the right says "stupid fricking dems, this isn't even worse than the flu!!"

The truth is that this is a big deal that we should be concerned about and take measures to slow the spread. We don't have to act like death is imminent, but we can also acknowledge that large gatherings are pretty risky so cancelling them is probably the smart move. We don't have to stock up a years supply of toilet paper, but we also don't have to intentionally play dumb and act like this is just a common cold.
Posted by FulshearTiger
Member since Jul 2015
5287 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:31 am to
People are going to be here shortly to tell you to jumpin your bunker.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
39909 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:32 am to
quote:

us normal people


Please. Nobody on this message board is in the slightest way normal.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
28679 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:32 am to
0.0001.5% of S. Korean's tested positive for Corona. Again, S. Korea has the 2nd highest rate per capita of positive tests. The last few days over there, they've seen just around 100 new cases daily, and that number keeps getting lower.
At that rate, about 50,000 Americans will test positive for Corona, which isn't 50,000,000 like the media would have you believe, or over 1 million like the moron that started this thread would have you believe.

Can we use these numbers or do they not fit the narrative?
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171891 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:34 am to
quote:

People are going to be here shortly to tell you to jumpin your bunker.


And those people are as dumb as the "WELL THE FLU KILLED MORE PEOPLE SO WHY DON'T WE QUARANTINE THEM" people.

One side said one so the other has to say the complete opposite. Obama and Trump have done a number on this country to where people can't agree with the other party on anything.
This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 8:36 am
Posted by SaintsandTigers
Member since Feb 2020
461 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:34 am to
quote:

The truth is that this is a big deal that we should be concerned about and take measures to slow the spread. We don't have to act like death is imminent, but we can also acknowledge that large gatherings are pretty risky so cancelling them is probably the smart move. We don't have to stock up a years supply of toilet paper, but we also don't have to intentionally play dumb and act like this is just a common cold.
Whats the end game? When can people gather again?

Just wondering if anyone has a plan

China, who welded doors shut, did that for a month. They are just coming out and about and its very limited.

Admittedly by you, we arent taking those measures. So our cancellations and measures would need to be longer correct? So maybe 2 months? 3? People are going to keep dying. People are going to keep getting infected. This virus isnt going to just disappear. Whats the end game to continuing to live normal life?
This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 8:35 am
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Statistically speaking a couple of posters here WILL die


Statistically speaking all posters here will die. Just not necessarily from the Coronavirus
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85116 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:37 am to
quote:

Whats the end game? When can people gather again?


when the curve flattens or stops doubling

seems pretty obvious
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171891 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:38 am to
We will see. They're learning more about this thing every day and trying to develop a vaccine.

I don't think it's unwise to say "hey let's not congregate thousands of people in one place then fly back to homes across the country." It's literally how you win the game plague Inc.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22464 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:38 am to
quote:

The truth is that this is a big deal that we should be concerned about and take measures to slow the s


The only reason its a big deal is because it is likely to overwhelm the healthcare system for a couple of weeks or months. Its not going to kill a lot of people or have long term health effects most likely.

So we are taking drastic measures to hurt the economy in order to prevent the healthcare system from being overwhelmed and possibly prevent a couple 1,000 less people from dying.

That may be worth it, I'm not sure. We'll only know in hindsight. People can say preventing deaths is enormous and generally I agree, but if this has a significant economic impact and we have millions without jobs opinions on that will certainly vary.
Posted by SaintsandTigers
Member since Feb 2020
461 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:38 am to
quote:

when the curve flattens or stops doubling

seems pretty obvious
I dont think it does

When the curve flattens, people will still be dying and getting infected. I dont see the fear being gone.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171891 posts
Posted on 3/12/20 at 8:39 am to
quote:

When the curve flattens, people will still be dying and getting infected. I dont see the fear being gone.


We won't have a completely overrun healthcare system like Italy. Far fewer people will be dying if the curve flattens rather than the alternative.
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