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Started By
Message
re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/18/24 at 7:29 am to GeorgeTheGreek
Posted on 9/18/24 at 7:29 am to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
My second house is in 30A. Is it worth me flying down this weekend to secure our porch furniture and cover the koi pond?
Quit flexing for us.
We all know you're just going to get your Filipino pool boy/fun toy to handle that.
0
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:02 am to rds dc
Here comes Helene
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:05 am to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
My second house is in 30A. Is it worth me flying down this weekend to secure our porch furniture and cover the koi pond?
Just pull the blowup pool behind the trailer and throw the folding chairs inside. You should be good but I’d def take pictures just in case you need to file a claim.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:20 am to dkreller
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:24 am to Mr Roboto
Well those make everything crystal clear 
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:40 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Well those make everything crystal clear
All we really care about is how many members are showing something. First part of this is figuring out if something will form.
The difficulty to start is that this system will be a small circulation within a larger one initially. Where does it form? Even the Eastern Pacific is an option here.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:40 am to Duke
quote:
Even the Eastern Pacific is an option here.
Wow that's wild
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:50 am to Mr Roboto
All I'm going to say is if you run some models you see a front in them. GFS has it moving NW towards central gulf and then it gets whisked away into Florida from a front. I'm not relying on a front to dig that far south in September this far out.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:51 am to Bobby OG Johnson
One of my favorite all time memes
Posted on 9/18/24 at 10:05 am to friendlyobservation
It also all depends on where this initializes. The closer to Cuba the more of a Florida problem. The closer to the Yucatan the more of a Northern Gulf problem.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 10:25 am to friendlyobservation
quote:
I'm not relying on a front to dig that far south in September this far out.
Smart play, but it wouldn't have to dig as far South as what some models are showing today. You'll have a more complicated setup than just a trough traversing the country. There will likely be a shortwave trough feature associated with it. That would be similar to what we had with Francine. You wouldn't be wholly reliant upon a digging trough sweeping up the storm.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 10:42 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Well those make everything crystal clear
Is this one better?
Posted on 9/18/24 at 10:57 am to alphaandomega
It's going to be a long week and a long thread.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 11:12 am to Mr Roboto
quote:
Consistent tug and turn.
“That’s what she said.”
Posted on 9/18/24 at 11:27 am to Mr Roboto
Behind the scenes look at how that model was initialized:
Posted on 9/18/24 at 11:43 am to Tarps99
Fun fact: The reason Hurricanes and cyclones have human names is that the original meteorologist to name them,Clement Wragge,began naming them after politicians he didn't like. This let him say they were "causing great distress" or "wandering aimlessly"
Posted on 9/18/24 at 11:45 am to alphaandomega
Need to build a Hurricane wall SE of FL
Posted on 9/18/24 at 11:49 am to LegendInMyMind
12z Model runs so far look like that trough is coming into to pick up the storm and slingshot it towards Florida panhandle.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 11:51 am to rds dc
It is still too far out to make any guesses for this kind of setup.
Posted on 9/18/24 at 12:20 pm to WigSplitta22
quote:
Fun fact: The reason Hurricanes and cyclones have human names is that the original meteorologist to name them,Clement Wragge,began naming them after politicians he didn't like. This let him say they were "causing great distress" or "wandering aimlessly"
Were all these politicians females that were "causing great distress" or "wandering aimlessly"?
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