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Started By
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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:02 pm to alduckhunter
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:02 pm to alduckhunter
quote:
I was able to get them on a flight for early Wednesday morning instead. From what I can tell, Wed. AM. should be ok so far, correct?
Yeah, like I said, i think Wednesday afternoon and def Thursday morning is where its going to get iffy.
Trying to see if anyone has seen anything else discussed to give further ocnfirmation around convection/winds reaching MCO earlier
0
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:02 pm to USEyourCURDS
quote:
Man frick that guy
Yeah, that dude can eat a bag of dicks.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:02 pm to tigerbandpiccolo
quote:
Supposed to be flying into destin for a 30A weekend on Thursday morning. I’m guessing best case for my plans to come to fruition would be a Tampa turn?
Yes, Picc...a turn to a more populated area, thus potentially causing much more death and destruction, would allow for you to have your girls weekend on 30A happen with potentially less weather interruptions.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:03 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
Which hospital? My wife works at Sarasota Memorial Venice
That's funny, I work at the main SMH campus, what a small world.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:04 pm to Wulfgar
For sure. Update, not closed but about to be
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:04 pm to RummelTiger
I did not ask for your sass. Just your expertise. 
TBH I asked because I’d like to just go elsewhere if needed, but making sure I am thinking the right thing.
TBH I asked because I’d like to just go elsewhere if needed, but making sure I am thinking the right thing.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 6:07 pm
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:05 pm to RummelTiger
A Tampa hit would be catastrophic. I love Tampa and the wife and I have actually talked about retiring in South Tampa or Hyde Park.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:05 pm to tigerbandpiccolo
quote:
I did not ask for your sass. Just your expertise.
Lucky for you, it's 2 for 1 Monday!
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:07 pm to RummelTiger
18Z Hafs B is about 50MB weaker at 51 hours from it's 12Z run
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 6:08 pm
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:08 pm to tigerbandpiccolo
quote:
TBH I asked because I’d like to just go elsewhere if needed, but making sure I am thinking the right thing.
Hey, Austin will be warm and dry...everyone seems to like visiting here!
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:09 pm to RummelTiger
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:10 pm to RummelTiger
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 3:05 pm
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:10 pm to lsuman25
quote:
18Z Hafs B is about 50MB weaker at 51 hours from it's 12Z run
High end potential is still there but doomcane is on hold for now.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:11 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
Highest wind velocities in association with Helene will be acvross North Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina on the east side of the circulation.
Winds across Southeast Alabama (places like Dothan) could gust to 40/45 mph Thursday night, but for the rest of Alabama gusts should be in the 25-30 mph range Thursday night and early Friday. (GFS map attached to this post show potential wind gusts 10 meters off the ground, not at the surface)
Tornadoes are not expected in Alabama at this point.
In addition to wind, the impacts involving storm surge, flooding, and isolated tornadoes will be on the east side of the circulation.
The Central Gulf Coast (Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach) is on the good, west side of the circulation center with an offshore flow. The main concern is from around Carrabelle to Cedar Key on the coast. But wind and storm surge issues are likely down to Tampa Bay as well.
As always, understand this could change, so watch for updates!
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Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:11 pm to tigerbandpiccolo
quote:
Supposed to be flying into destin for a 30A weekend on Thursday morning. I’m guessing best case for my plans to come to fruition would be a Tampa turn?
You sound like a delightful person. Let’s wish destruction on one of the most densely populated portion of the state so your travel plans don’t get interrupted. But figuring that you are going to 30A and having to tell everyone about it already spotlights what type of person you are. Enjoy your trip.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:13 pm to slackster
Hafs A 18Z run is showing Future Helene coming in Gulf way weaker
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:17 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Hey, Austin will be warm and dry.
We know.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:18 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
We know.
Look, that was a long day of working in the yard...have some empathy!!!
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:19 pm to lsuman25
What day/time should one be out of Atlanta to avoid this
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:19 pm to Oates Mustache
That's about what I looked like when I got off the lawnmower about an hour ago. Damn, we're dry and dusty here.
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