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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:25 pm to OldSouth
quote:
Does anyone ever recall a storm approaching the LA coastline from the South West?
Didn't Carmen do that?
Just checked. No. Came essentially straight from the south and then turned NW right before landfall.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 1:28 pm
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:26 pm to BigB0882
Yea normally I wouldn't be too worried but since it is the Euro and the EURO has been damn locked in with this kind of a solution which is not good since Euro is the best model basically.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 1:27 pm
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:26 pm to CptBengal
Bengal, it's still just a model. Yeah, it's a terrible run this go round but this is the first time it's stalled off the coast for any run.
The trend toward La looks correct with all the agreement but a few miles will make a big difference.
The trend toward La looks correct with all the agreement but a few miles will make a big difference.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:26 pm to BigB0882
quote:
The Euro has been crazy consistent for 2-3 days now.
This is probably the most concerning part.
The only good news for folks in Texas is that the Euro is moving it out of the area much faster than it did 24 hours ago.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:27 pm to lsuman25
not only the Euro but now ALL major models agree with this back track into GOM and into LA. This is the scariest part.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:27 pm to deuce985
Allison was a tropical storm
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:27 pm to Duke
quote:
Bengal, it's still just a model. Yeah, it's a terrible run this go round but this is the first time it's stalled off the coast for any run.
considering I actually do computer modelling simulations, I know what this means.
this is not good, and things will look worse next run as well, watch.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:27 pm to Duke
quote:
The trend toward La looks correct with all the agreement but a few miles will make a big difference
This 100%
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:27 pm to udtiger
quote:No idea
Didn't Carmen do that?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:28 pm to slackster
I've been saying that for 2 days now that's the most concerning thing about the models is Euro has stayed relatively consistent. When they start agreeing with the Euro it's time to get out.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:28 pm to OldSouth
-moves quickly so thats good but 987 that far inland? what would it be at at land fall? 945 or lower?
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 1:29 pm
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:28 pm to tke857
Euro @ 144 hours:
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:29 pm to CptBengal
quote:
considering I actually do computer modelling simulations, I know what this means.
preaching to the priest here then. quote:
this is not good, and things will look worse next run as well, watch
I'm worried you're right fwiw.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:29 pm to tke857
The last run of the Euro is unimaginable. I can't imagine the rainfall totals before it hits La, plus most of the available recovery resources will be in Texas by that time.
For instance, electricity could be out for a lot longer than it would typically be because crews will be unavailable to assist because they would already be in Texas
For instance, electricity could be out for a lot longer than it would typically be because crews will be unavailable to assist because they would already be in Texas
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:29 pm to deuce985
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:29 pm to Dire Wolf
quote:
I do not like that one for Houston
Ditto that run is no bueno
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:29 pm to wfallstiger
quote:
not like this, no. don't know if I remember a 'cane throwing it into reverse
there was Ivan... not exactly what you're looking for but...
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:29 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:
953
Not that it makes a difference but it's 951 on the South Central US map.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:30 pm to tke857
987 in Monroe. Wow.
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