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Started By
Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:55 am to LouisianaTigers
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:55 am to LouisianaTigers
New forecast has reaching CAT 3
3
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:56 am to Oddibe
This thing is organizing fast.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:56 am to LouisianaTigers
65MPH now.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:56 am to 50_Tiger
i just watched the video...the fact that the 2 of the points have overlapping time stamps is crazy. meaning its going in and backing right out on the same path. it is also intensifying faster than originally thought. could be come a hurricane in a 4-8 hrs rather than a couple hrs before landfall which was originally thought. This thing is coming together quickly with a lot of warm water and moving slowly. Cat 3 is not out of the realm of possibility.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 9:57 am
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:57 am to Duke
THIS IN RANDOM ORDER AND IS NOT A RANKING
J Rey
Chita
Dominique
Britta
J Rey
Chita
Dominique
Britta
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:58 am to ShaneTheLegLechler
J Rey just dont knooooow
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:58 am to tiger91
People in CC need to start packing their shite now and get out ASAP...they are predicting landfall in 36 hours.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:59 am to LouisianaTigers
quote:
from the looks of it we might be here a while lol, we will have a baby girl this afternoon!!!!
Stormborn.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:59 am to The Boat
quote:
Is the 10 o'clock out yet?
Yeah, and it'd not good.
quote:
With Harvey now strengthening at a faster rate than indicated in previous advisories, the intensity forecast has become quite concerning. Water vapor images indicate that the cyclone's outflow is expanding--indicative of low shear--and Harvey will be moving over a warm eddy of high oceanic heat content in the western Gulf of Mexico in about 24 hours. As a result of these conditions, several intensity models, including the ICON intensity consensus, are now explicit showing Harvey reaching major hurricane intensity. What's more astounding is that some of the SHIPS Rapid Intensification indices are incredibly high. As an example, the guidance is indicating a 70 percent chance of Harvey's winds increasing by 45 kt over the next 36 hours. Based on this guidance, the NHC official intensity forecast now calls for Harvey to reach major hurricane strength by 36 hours, before it reaches the middle Texas coast
SHIPS model suggest 70% chance winds increase by 45kts over the next 36 hours.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:59 am to Oddibe
Mid CAT 2 more than likely, or a weaker CAT 3
Posted on 8/24/17 at 9:59 am to 19
eyewall formation
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:00 am to Oddibe
So for us half-educated folks, how does that affect the flooding potential? Obviously, it will only make it worse but I assume this will bring storm surge more into the equation if it does reach Category 3?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:00 am to tke857
Cat prediction.... if yall are anywhere near this just get out.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 10:02 am
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:02 am to tke857
More from the NHC update.
If the NHC is saying up to 30", it's no joke.
quote:
Life-threatening flooding is expected across much of the Texas coast from heavy rainfall of 12 to 20 inches, with isolated amounts as high as 30 inches, from Friday through early next week. Please refer to products from your local National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information on the flooding hazard.
If the NHC is saying up to 30", it's no joke.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:02 am to Paul Allen
Mark Lemke
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:03 am to tke857
Yeah, whoever has fam or lives in CC you need to be talking them into leaving if they feel like they can ride this one out.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:03 am to tke857
holy crap, i knew i saw a fricking M on that NHC forecast
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:04 am to The Boat
quote:
This thing is organizing fast.
the true weather geeks can correct me if I'm wrong... but I think this storm would qualify under the meteorological definition of "rapid intensification"
ETA: don't know why I'd get downvoted... but "rapid intensification of a tropical cyclone" is a thing in the meteorological world
National Hurricane Center
quote:
Rapid Intensification:
An increase in the maximum sustained winds of a tropical cyclone of at least 30 kt in a 24-h period.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 10:08 am
Posted on 8/24/17 at 10:05 am to The Boat
Sumbitch may get up to 115 mph according to NHC.
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