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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:40 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:40 am to
quote:

The last model run you should had 5" for the Houston area . Is that a current model or from yesterday ?


That was the most recent run from the HRRR.
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
31030 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:41 am to
quote:

I realize everyone is gun shy after the flooding last year and what not, but this thing is not strengthening given its setup. Dry air is consistently infiltrating the core of Harvey. It takes more than just warm water to strengthen a storm.


My family is still going up north but happy to hear this.
Posted by tigersownall
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2011
17166 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:43 am to
How you baws in Houma making out? I'm thinking of calling it a day already. Can't make calls in this shite. If this rain keeps up main roads will be under water soon
This post was edited on 8/29/17 at 7:44 am
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:44 am to
Those models take it just NW of the Lafayette area. Seems like it means that get a bit hairy the next day or two.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14561 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:44 am to
103-hour storm rainfall totals...several over 40 inches...

STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 13 FOR TROPICAL STORM HARVEY RAINFALL AND WIND
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 29 2017

...TROPICAL STORM HARVEY OBSERVED RAIN TOTALS AND WIND REPORTS...

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 AM CDT...THESE ARE THE MOST RECENT RAINFALL AND WIND
REPORTS FROM TROPICAL STORM HARVEY. PLEASE REFER TO NHC FOR THE
LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HARVEY.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 PM CDT THU AUG
24 THROUGH 300 AM CDT MON AUG 29...

...LOUISIANA...
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 12.80
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 12.68
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 11.69
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 11.50
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
GILLIS 4 WSW 10.94
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 10.78
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.44
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 10.43
LAKE CHARLES 4 SSW 9.94
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 8.90
FORT POLK 8.19
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 7.68
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 7.13
BON WIER 2 ENE 7.12
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 7.12
TOPSY 4 NNW 7.12
VERNON - FTS 6.83
IOWA 0.9 ESE 6.80
KAPLAN 1 SSE 6.29
PITKIN 7 NNW 6.09
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 2.98
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 2.08

...TEXAS...
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 42.11
MARYS CREEK AT MELODYWOOD 41.56
BAY AREA BLVD AT HORSEPEN CR 40.64
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 40.32
BERRY B FOREST OAKS 40.28
CLEAR CREEK NEAR FREINDSWOOD 39.44
VINCE BAYOU AT PASADENA 39.29
PASADENA 2 ESE 39.08
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT JACKSON 39.00
CLEAR CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 37.96
TURKEY CK AT FM 1959 37.96
LEAGUE CITY 2 W 37.92
MIDDLE BAYOU GENOA RED BLUFF 37.76
AMAND BAYOU AT NASA ROAD 1 37.68
JACINTO CITY 37.60
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 37.32
TELEPSEN 36.60
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 36.23
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HUNTING BAYOUR AT LOOP 610 EAST 35.29
DAYTON 4 NW 33.01
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 30.53
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 28.79
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 25.54
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 24.70
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 14.20
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
VICTORIA 2 SW 9.37
CORPUS CHRISTI 5 W 3.82

Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
116772 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:47 am to
quote:

I realize everyone is gun shy after the flooding last year and what not, but this thing is not strengthening given its setup. Dry air is consistently infiltrating the core of Harvey. It takes more than just warm water to strengthen a storm.


Thanks.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25927 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:49 am to
Just made it to work and ditches are swollen some minor street flooding but if it keeps up all day we are in for some problems. Locks are closed and this is making it rise quick as the water had no where to go
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:50 am to
quote:

HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 42.11


How convenient they're the top readout.
Posted by QuietTiger
New Orleans
Member since Dec 2003
26256 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:51 am to
Any updates will be appreciated, thx.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:51 am to
quote:

I'm more worried about more rain


As you should be, but the totals shouldn't be insurmountable over any widespread areas.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42558 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:56 am to
quote:

As you should be, but the totals shouldn't be insurmountable over any widespread areas.


New Orleans drainage system says hold my beer
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:56 am to
quote:

Anyone hear anything about the condition of the reservoirs and dams near Houston? Are they holding?

Supposedly there is a presser later this morning.




No updates on the integrity of the reservoirs - all seems sound so far. Flooding continues as Addicks is now overtopping and/or going around the spillway as the elevation has reached 108.01'.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:57 am to
quote:

New Orleans drainage system says hold my beer


Yeah that fear is understandable. Hoping for the best for NOLA.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25927 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:57 am to
Still lots of rain falling north of those reservoirs ....
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14561 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:57 am to
quote:

How convenient they're the top readout


Looks like someone snuck to the gauge and poured a water bottle into it

ETA: It's also strange that the 2 official readings at IAH and HOU airports are near the bottom.
This post was edited on 8/29/17 at 8:00 am
Posted by Olive
Houston
Member since Jan 2006
194 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 7:58 am to
Does anyone know if 249 is passable at cypress creek (around louetta)? If not, is there any good way to cross cypress creek?
Posted by tigersownall
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2011
17166 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 8:00 am to
I drove through a foot on Hollywood by 311
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 8:00 am to
Read that the Addicks will overtop and that a press conference on it was supposed to happen at 8 am local time.
Posted by tLSU
Member since Oct 2007
8690 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 8:02 am to
If you're referring to the track, yes. The Euro also had it exiting Texas at 980ish mb and at 950mb in its current position.

Nothing supports it strengthening.
Posted by QuietTiger
New Orleans
Member since Dec 2003
26256 posts
Posted on 8/29/17 at 8:05 am to
Check the Petit C. locks on their site 10 minutes ago it was open(green), 5 minutes later it was (yellow) thinking about it I guess.
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