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Message
FWIW: Peak in BR on 4/14
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:41 pm
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:41 pm
Surge in cases expected between now and then. Sauces that I consider reliable.
8
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:43 pm to JudgeHolden
Fwiw I don’t believe that
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:43 pm to JudgeHolden
That covid model website? It’s all off for Louisiana numbers.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:44 pm to JudgeHolden
quote:
Sauces that I consider reliable.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:44 pm to JudgeHolden
Get out of here with that. I have no confidence that anyone's "sauce" can predict this with any reliability.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:44 pm to JudgeHolden
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:45 pm to crewdepoo
quote:
Fwiw I don’t believe that
I can’t vouch for it, except to say that it comes from people involved deeply in public health.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:46 pm to JudgeHolden
That makes me believe it even less. Their “predictions” have been completely wrong from the jump
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:46 pm to JudgeHolden
Makes sense, because we are always 2 weeks from the peak. Always
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:46 pm to SloaneRanger
quote:
Get out of here with that. I have no confidence that anyone's "sauce" can predict this with any reliability.
You may be right. The sauce is reliable. Can’t say whether methodology of the model is. Guess nobody knows that.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:48 pm to JudgeHolden
Party at Twin Peaks for the peak
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:49 pm to JudgeHolden
CDC models have it as April 10-11 but that’s the median projection. Decent probability is lands on April 14.
The good news (if you can call it that) is that LA has the earliest peak of any state other than NY so we may be able to get back to work sooner.
The good news (if you can call it that) is that LA has the earliest peak of any state other than NY so we may be able to get back to work sooner.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:49 pm to crewdepoo
quote:
Fwiw I don’t believe that
TD 101
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