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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 8/30/24 at 5:16 pm to tide06
Posted on 8/30/24 at 5:16 pm to tide06
quote:
It’s predicting the conditions will be conducive for a huge storm to occur.
Really going out on a limb predicting favorable conditions for hurricanes in the gulf in September
1
Posted on 8/30/24 at 5:20 pm to deltaland
quote:
Really going out on a limb predicting favorable conditions for hurricanes in the gulf in September
It hasn’t predicted anything close to that event going back to the start of the storm season, including this current wave of storms.
Given that I could throw a rock and hit the GOM believe me I hope it’s wrong.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 5:33 pm to tide06
You need to stop. You are making a fool of yourself.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:05 pm to dukke v
quote:
You need to stop. You are making a fool of yourself.
By presenting a storm convection model? It’s a data point.
If a data model offends you that’s not my issue.
Either way, my post is causing a disruption from the current wave coming in so I’ll let it drop here.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:05 pm to dukke v
Can see the wide range of possibilities with teh GFS from 12Z to 18Z. 12Z Florida Panhandle and 18Z GFS middle texas coast as an absolute monster though. WOuld be a disaster but luckily 13 days away so will change bc the wind field is huge on this run
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:13 pm to tide06
quote:
tide06
Well hello there, copy/pasta guy. Looks like you've found storm2k. Maybe consider researching what you post to learn about it before stealing another poster's content.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:18 pm to Oates Mustache
Bottom line it’s fruitless trying to predict one storm much less a whole season
Even the experts haven’t been close this season
Even the experts haven’t been close this season
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:21 pm to tide06
quote:
By presenting a storm convection model? It’s a data point.
No, they just get angry at any one that comes in here and says something different than what they've decided is the norm.
They seem to feel more entitled to be as incorrect as everyone else for some reason.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:25 pm to tide06
Lawd. I come back and see yall knees deep in a CCKW discussion.
Thats a signal worth watching late month. Thats about all we know, but favorable upper levels and those really warm waters out there... anything that would potentially form has a high theoretical ceiling.
Thats a signal worth watching late month. Thats about all we know, but favorable upper levels and those really warm waters out there... anything that would potentially form has a high theoretical ceiling.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:26 pm to Duke
Need a cone of certainty baws.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:51 pm to rmc
quote:
Need a cone of certainty baws.
There must be an order of possible tracks that take turns to pucker up the sphincter.
Now Texas on the board.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 6:55 pm to Tarps99
Since you showed it on the run got down to 929MB
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:04 pm to Tarps99
Windshield wiper in full effect. Tonight’s 00z run will be Florida
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:05 pm to Tarps99
Blue shed on deck.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:10 pm to tide06
If Peej tells you you’re making a fool of yourself you need to reevaluate your life
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:11 pm to deltaland
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:12 pm to deltaland
Y'all don't worry, the Weatherman has got this:
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:13 pm to lsuman25
quote:
wide range of possibilities with teh GFS from 12Z to 18Z. 12Z Florida Panhandle and 18Z GFS middle texas coast
Just split the difference and take the mean
Louisiana it is
JK baws
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:14 pm to LegendInMyMind
He's probably giddy over the latest GFS. NOTE: This will change just showing for the giggles
This post was edited on 8/30/24 at 7:16 pm
Posted on 8/30/24 at 7:18 pm to SWLA92
quote:
Windshield wiper in full effect. Tonight’s 00z run will be Florida
Nah, tonight’s run will have it dissipate into barely anything and going into Mexico.
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