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Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:24 am to KLSU
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:24 am to KLSU
quote:In general at point do the professionals “switch” from the NHC and over to the radar or what’s happening in real time?
The “official” track shows this but if you run a future run on any of the weather apps (weather channel, WBRZ, WAFB) all showing it going over NO. I don’t get it.
Or are the two usually in better agreement by this point?
1
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:24 am to BilJ
quote:
I’ve always advocated for one thread of just the select few can post in and another for people to ask if the hurricane is going to hit them or give their predictions of mass destruction
This won’t happen for the same reason we won’t get a weather board
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:24 am to BilJ
I guess I’m not allowed in said thread.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:24 am to KLSU
quote:
The “official” track shows this but if you run a future run on any of the weather apps (weather channel, WBRZ, WAFB) all showing it going over NO
The NHC doesn’t use those models to track hurricanes
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:25 am to doublecutter
3 streets north also, my power was just restored @10:15am
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:25 am to KLSU
quote:they want it to hit NOLA because it’s more ‘interesting’
I don’t get it.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:25 am to MorbidTheClown
quote:
hat angelcam in grand isle looks pretty calm
This is a Grand Isle cam. I don't know if it's the same one. Nothing going on.
LINK
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:25 am to dukke v
Nope
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:26 am to cajunandy
Weather Track US
@weathertrackus
Tropical Depression #Seven (07L) has formed in the Eastern MDR this morning, and is expected to become Tropical Storm Gordon later today.
07L will move mostly WNW over the next few days. It’s too early to know whether it’ll continue its westward track or eventually recurve. Either way, looks to be a high advisory count system if it survives the full Atlantic journey.
@weathertrackus
Tropical Depression #Seven (07L) has formed in the Eastern MDR this morning, and is expected to become Tropical Storm Gordon later today.
07L will move mostly WNW over the next few days. It’s too early to know whether it’ll continue its westward track or eventually recurve. Either way, looks to be a high advisory count system if it survives the full Atlantic journey.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:26 am to BilJ
quote:
just the select few
and who decides on the "select few"?
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:26 am to OU Guy
One at a time champ!
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:26 am to MOT
quote:
In general at point do the professionals “switch” from the NHC and over to the radar or what’s happening in real time?
At this point, you could extrapolate current motion and just about nail it.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:27 am to OU Guy
this thread is for a storm making landfall today, bro. we don't care about that rn
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:27 am to OU Guy
quote:
OU Guy
Not exactly what I needed to hear this morning
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:27 am to Snow
quote:
Yep. Snow, RDS, Duke, Boat and Peej.
Two of these are not like the others
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:27 am to MorbidTheClown
Peej
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:27 am to dukke v
quote:
I guess I’m not allowed in said thread
Why not? I could argue that nobody on this board has provided more dependable predictions than you have.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:28 am to bubbz
The opposite of Peej's predictions are almost as valuable as the real expert's predictions.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:28 am to bubbz
quote:
Two of these are not like the others
we like varying levels of opinions
Posted on 9/11/24 at 10:28 am to slackster
Latest recon fix from about 40 minutes ago
Elliptical eye shape of 55 x 32 miles wide that is open on the south side.
Strongest winds are about 40 miles to the SE of the center.
Pressure rose to 979 mb.
Elliptical eye shape of 55 x 32 miles wide that is open on the south side.
Strongest winds are about 40 miles to the SE of the center.
Pressure rose to 979 mb.
quote:
556
URNT12 KWBC 111508
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062024
A. 11/14:47:15Z
B. 27.96 deg N 092.74 deg W
C. NA
D. EXTRAP 979 mb
E. NA
F. OPEN S
G. E10/48/28
H. NA
I. NA
J. 085 deg 87 kt
K. 347 deg 20 nm 14:42:09Z
L. NA
M. NA
N. 244 deg 91 kt
O. 145 deg 37 nm 14:55:44Z
P. 15 C / 2437 m
Q. 19 C / 2450 m
R. 19 C / NA
S. 1234 / NA
T. 0.01 / 1 nm
U. NOAA2 1306A FRANCINE OB 22
SLP EXTRAP FROM 8000 FT PA
MAX FL WIND 91 KT 145 / 37 NM 14:55:44Z
MAX FL TEMP 20 C 344 / 6 NM FROM FL CNTR
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 10:31 am
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