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Message

re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/4/24 at 9:05 am to
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44882 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 9:05 am to
quote:

What bothers me is we have meterologists who mention there is an area to watch, but when that area fizzles, they never come back and let everyone know it's done. It's like they pretend it was never there, that they didn't mention it.


Thank you. They are notorious for not standing behind their calls.

"Here's a cone, if you aren't in it you should be good"

3 days later:

"Oh, btw, now you're in the middle of the cone. Good luck"

Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11932 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 12:30 pm to
Local meteorologists seem to be busier talking than thinking.
We don't need you to read the temperatures on your map, we can do that.
Your forecasts include rainfall predicted to three digits. That's so stupid and misleading as to approach insanity.
Likewise the future maps showing scattered showers as if there was any reality hoped for.
I really hate the abuse of significant digits. (And tropical tidbits shows us getting no rain in September.)
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17135 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 4:21 pm to
Posting this just to show that the season isnt over as many on here have claimed. Hopefully none of these amount to anything but we still need to keep an eye on things.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

They are notorious for not standing behind their calls.

"Here's a cone, if you aren't in it you should be good"

3 days later:

"Oh, btw, now you're in the middle of the cone. Good luck"


This is just dumb. Don't be dumb.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Weather never ceases to amaze me.

Whether you're talking about large synoptic scale features or the mesoscale setup in a given area......it all works together.
Posted by kc8876
Member since May 2012
3714 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Posting this just to show that the season isnt over as many on here have claimed


People are saying the season is a bust, not that it’s over. Learn to read Alabama boy
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

Posting this just to show that the season isnt over as many on here have claimed. Hopefully none of these amount to anything but we still need to keep an eye on things.


We're not saying the season is over, only that the high end of pretty much every pre-season forecast seems out of reach at this point. I fully expect conditions to improve at some point over the next few weeks, leading to more activity. We may even have just enough activity to end the season slightly above average, but that would still mean the forecasts for a hyperactive Atlantic hurricane season were a bust.

That said, all it takes is one. To the areas impacted by that one it wouldn't matter that the overall forecast was a bust.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
55972 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 7:24 pm to
Rita was same year as Katrina and came early October
It only takes one

The nasty storms always seem to be late August so thankfully we got through that hurdle
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44882 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 7:40 pm to
Posted by DirtyE
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2008
2595 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 7:46 pm to
quote:

Rita was same year as Katrina and came early October It only takes one


Rita’s lifespan was Sep 18th to Sep 26th.
Posted by Suntiger
STG or BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
36218 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 7:50 pm to
I feel like the last few years, hurricane season has extended later than it used to. I feel like if you got to the end of September we were good. Now we have to keep watch out until November.

Maybe that’s just me though.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
55972 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 8:11 pm to
Yeah but by late Oct Nov the temps come down and the storms move a lot faster
I think mid October is usually the worst of it
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102715 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 8:15 pm to
The Atlantic is a big lemon basket right now
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102715 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 8:17 pm to
You don’t have to worry about storms in the MDR reaching the gulf in October normally due to frequency of cold fronts.

The only gulf threats in October usually come from spin ups in the Caribbean off the CAG
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131565 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 8:20 pm to
Whole lotta yellow nothingburgers
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 8:45 pm to
It’s kinda wild that over the next 10+ days my highest forecasted high temperature is 84° with some 50’s mixed in. Early September is usually still blowtorch weather here

Seems more like an October pattern
This post was edited on 9/4/24 at 8:53 pm
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12702 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 8:45 pm to
quote:

I feel like the last few years, hurricane season has extended later than it used to. I feel like if you got to the end of September we were good. Now we have to keep watch out until November. Maybe that’s just me though.


It just depends on where you are, but the latest storm I can remember dealing with was Zeta in 2020 which came around October 29th. That one was a fast mover unlike the previous latest storm which was Juan in 1985. He hung around SELA like rash for a week during last week of October. It made landfall in Morgan City on October 29th and then went back offshore before making another landfall near Pensacola on October 31st.



Of course for Juan, I was 4 at the time and remember having to get into a boat to get home in South Lafourche. Luckily we did not flood, as we were elevated above the flood waters.

As far as Zeta, when it came ashore, the backside of the storm had dried out and was clear. I can remember the nice golden sunset that afternoon after a terrible day of strong wind and rain.
This post was edited on 9/4/24 at 8:48 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177322 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 8:46 pm to
Must be time to make the 2025 budget. NHC doesn’t want to lose funding and needs an active September.
This post was edited on 9/4/24 at 8:53 pm
Posted by GCTigahs
Member since Oct 2014
2522 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

As far as Zeta, when it came ashore, the backside of the storm had dried out and was clear. I can remember the nice golden sunset that afternoon after a terrible day of strong wind and rain.


I'll never forget that next morning after Zeta cooking eggs and sausage on the flat top on the back porch wearing a jacket! It was beautiful weather for the cleanup.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216467 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 9:13 pm to
My son was born on oct. 28th in 1985. We were in hospital when Juan was zig zagging sround… crazy storm.
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