re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

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The preseason forecast was correct just last year.

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You know better than this....they're dug in, and their minds will never be changed.

"They always say that!"

Wont end up that way unless October is huge.

Until those egg heads at NOAA have to face the music for their hyperbolic predictions nothing will change. We’ve allowed the big money to come in and corrupt what used to be a scholarly pursuit of truth. Most of those people are more concerned now with fame than accurate forecasting of weather patterns.

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Until those egg heads at NOAA have to face the music for their hyperbolic predictions nothing will change. We’ve allowed the big money to come in and corrupt what used to be a scholarly pursuit of truth. Most of those people are more concerned now with fame than accurate forecasting of weather patterns.

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At least 20 different well known groups/outlets/entities issued pre-season Atlantic hurricane season forecasts this year. The average forecast called for 24 Named Storms, 11 Hurrianes, 5 Major Hurricanes, and 207 ACE (only 8 of the 20 made an ACE forecast). NOAA's pre-season forecast came in as the 15th highest of the lot with them calling for 21/10.5/5.5.

NOAA was by no means the most bullish for this Atlantic hurricane season. There are far more deserving targets for you to bash.

I've seen that argument being made, and I don't really care either way, mainly because I know that if they didn't issue a forecast and shite went sideways like 2005 or 2020 the line would be long of people crying and casting blame because they weren't warned about the possibility of a terrible hurricane season.

It is a lose/lose situation.

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I've seen that argument being made, and I don't really care either way, mainly because I know that if they didn't issue a forecast and shite went sideways like 2005 or 2020 the line would be long of people crying and casting blame because they weren't warned about the possibility of a terrible hurricane season.

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Honestly for most people it doesn’t make much of a difference.

Every season those who face the consequences of a storm should be aware of their situation depending on where they live. They should prepare accordingly ever year for the worst.

The number of storms predicted should not matter.

No preseason polls until week 3!!!

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Climate change isnt just warmer oceans May cause upper level winds, saharan dust and other shite to change making it more hostile to hurricane formation

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They kept saying over and over that warmer and warmer ocean temps would cause more and stronger hurricanes when it’s obvious that hot water alone doesn’t guarantee a hurricane.

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12Z Euro and GFS Ensembles

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Conditions might become more favorable for development in the Gulf beyond Day 5-7 when the remnants of this wave interact with a stalled frontal boundary.

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They kept saying over and over that warmer and warmer ocean temps would cause more and stronger hurricanes when it’s obvious that hot water alone doesn’t guarantee a hurricane.

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NOAA has released studies stating 'global warming' would cause LESS hurricanes and storms. Not sure who you mean by 'they' but the actual experts have said repeatedly that's not the case. Media, however, sure. But they're idiots.

Hot, dry, stable, air and Saharan Dust usually don't support formation.