Fermi paradox

Intelligent aliens are almost a certainty. And there are probably many species far more intelligent than us. The issue is that we are a grain of sand compared to the rest of existence. There are so many planets, even highly intelligent aliens that travel to other galaxies might never find us

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even highly intelligent aliens that travel to other galaxies might never find us

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We better hope they don't.

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A while ago I realized all the mathematical formulae for determining how many intelligent civilizations could be out there do not take into account the range of species duration and the span of time since the universe and Earth formed.

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Yea those formulas are equivalent to flipping a coin or guessing a number. We have so little understanding of even the planets in our own solar system, much less the endless amount of other planets out there that are farther. You can’t make an estimate on how much life there is in the universe if you only have one example, and you have a sample size as small as we do

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Kind of like the theory that when we walk by living creatures in the grass we pay them no attention. Other life could be so far advanced from us that they don’t even notice us

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Terrance McKenna

Watched a few videos on this and confirmed my suspicion that we know exactly jack shite about the universe.

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This leads to an even stronger uncertainty about the number of civilizations, drawing us to conclude that there is a fairly high likelihood that we are alone. However, we *also* conclude that we shouldn’t be too surprised if we find intelligence!”

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In the end, the team’s conclusions do not mean that humanity is alone in the Universe, or that the odds of finding evidence of extra-terrestrial civilizations (both past and present) is unlikely. Instead, it simply means that we can say with greater confidence – based on what we know – that humanity is most likely the only intelligent species in the Milky Way Galaxy at present.

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Basically we know ALOT more than we used to, but it's not enough to know whether we are alone or not.

I can't access the link in the op, but it has been suggested that despite us being a grain of sand, organisms with a couple billion years head start on us should have reached us or become obvious to us by now.

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A while ago I realized all the mathematical formulae for determining how many intelligent civilizations could be out there

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1+infinity?

There are way too many factors to even consider guessing that, unless you guess "unlimited"

Love when scientist try to make humans feel super special