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re: Elon Musk outlines his master plan 2.0

Posted on 7/23/16 at 5:42 pm to
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51896 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

With the advent of autonomy, it will probably make sense to shrink the size of buses and transition the role of bus driver to that of fleet manager. Traffic congestion would improve due to increased passenger areal density by eliminating the center aisle and putting seats where there are currently entryways, and matching acceleration and braking to other vehicles, thus avoiding the inertial impedance to smooth traffic flow of traditional heavy buses. It would also take people all the way to their destination. Fixed summon buttons at existing bus stops would serve those who don't have a phone. Design accommodates wheelchairs, strollers and bikes.



If they can pull this off, it is a HUGE lifestyle game changer for urban residents.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68464 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

Tesla reportedly offered to pay half of the $3,100 repair bill for a customer whose 2013 Model S suspension failed at just 70,000 miles, 


How often does this happen? I mean a lot of cars need shite done at 70k miles. Across all brands.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68464 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 5:58 pm to
Exactly, most accidents are cause by the user, not car failure.

Every single day I have to be aware of other drivers. I would be in a wreck a couple of times a week if I didn't.
Posted by AlonsoWDC
Memphis, where it ain't Ten-a-Key
Member since Aug 2014
8760 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

What does that make you?


Someone who doesn't actually believe in Hyperloop.

Dumbest idea ever. I wonder how much money he's cost himself wasting time on this idea when he could be making money doing whatever else he's known for.
Posted by Bootyrich
Mandeville
Member since Jan 2015
1189 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 6:28 pm to
Waiting for lifted tesla pick up with truck nuts
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28703 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

Someone who doesn't actually believe in Hyperloop.

Dumbest idea ever. I wonder how much money he's cost himself wasting time on this idea when he could be making money doing whatever else he's known for.

He put the hyperloop out there into the world and basically said "build it", and I believe several companies are doing just that. And one day lots of people will use them, I have little doubt.

If world-changing ideas are a waste of time to you, then you are entitled to your opinion I guess. But I don't consider them a waste, and I don't think Musk wastes much of his time at all. He has accomplished more in 20 years than most of us could dream of doing in 20 lifetimes.
This post was edited on 7/23/16 at 7:04 pm
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 8:06 pm to
I respect musk, he's a brilliant visionary but what if say trump wins and he isn't as green as the current president. Will that hurt a company like Tesla? Trump already has said Amazon is a monopoly and he hates bezos so I might have to sell my amazon is trump wins. I just worry that this current administration is incredibly good to Elon and his companies and the next administration may not be......if its trump
Posted by FrenchJoe
H 861
Member since Aug 2006
1031 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 8:25 pm to
Elon Musk in a dreamer. All this talk about AI, solar energy and driverless cars will never work.
Just go back in history and read about the many failures.

The horse is here to stay, but the automobile is only a novelty—a fad.
- Advice from a president of the Michigan Savings Bank to Henry Ford's lawyer Horace Rackham. Rackham ignored the advice and invested $5000 in Ford stock, selling it later for $12.5 million.

That the automobile has practically reached the limit of its development is suggested by the fact that during the past year no improvements of a radical nature have been introduced.
- Scientific American, Jan. 2, 1909.

A new source of power... called gasoline has been produced by a Boston engineer. Instead of burning the fuel under a boiler, it is exploded inside the cylinder of an engine.
The dangers are obvious. Stores of gasoline in the hands of people interested primarily in profit would constitute a fire and explosive hazard of the first rank. Horseless carriages propelled by gasoline might attain speeds of 14 or even 20 miles per hour. The menace to our people of vehicles of this type hurtling through our streets and along our roads and poisoning the atmosphere would call for prompt legislative action even if the military and economic implications were not so overwhelming... [T]he cost of producing [gasoline] is far beyond the financial capacity of private industry... In addition the development of this new power may displace the use of horses, which would wreck our agriculture.

- U. S. Congressional Record, 1875.

This `telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a practical form of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.
- Western Union internal memo, 1878

And more LINK
Posted by Honky Lips
Member since Dec 2015
2828 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 9:29 pm to
Thank God people like Elon Musk are leading the charge into the future. If some of the OT were in charge we'd still be riding around on horses and using DC power in our homes.
Posted by CaptainBrannigan
Good Ole Rocky Top Tennessee
Member since Jan 2010
21644 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:00 pm to
Elon Musk plan for ruining the economy of the future.
Posted by LakeViewLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
17730 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

Thank God people like Elon Musk are leading the charge into the future. If some of the OT were in charge we'd still be riding around on horses and using DC power in our homes.


See poster above .
Posted by cattus
Member since Jan 2009
13418 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:22 pm to
OT CSB

Drinking a beer staring out the window and a yellow Tesla taxi goes by..wtf?
Posted by minimal
Member since Feb 2007
754 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:22 pm to
All your many failure are belong to us
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61134 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

Ambitious but at least he is trying to make the world a better place and people hate him for it.


What?

He's applauded and praised everyday everywhere as far as I can see.

I praise him for his desire, but we all want that, its simply NOT realistic given the state things are in...at least its not realistic right now. He wants to do this now...but he (understandably) seems unable to understand the socio-political forces at work preventing wholesale changes on the scale he wants.
Posted by LakeViewLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
17730 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

I praise him for his desire, but we all want that, its simply NOT realistic given the state things are in...at least its not realistic right now. He wants to do this now...but he (understandably) seems unable to understand the socio-political forces at work preventing wholesale changes on the scale he wants.


He has to start now to see success later. If he started later he wouldn't see success until much later.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61134 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

I respect musk, he's a brilliant visionary but what if say trump wins and he isn't as green as the current president. Will that hurt a company like Tesla? Trump already has said Amazon is a monopoly and he hates bezos so I might have to sell my amazon is trump wins. I just worry that this current administration is incredibly good to Elon and his companies and the next administration may not be......if its trump



Honestly...and maybe this is a response meant for the Poli board, but I can't even imagine Trump winning. I personally don't like hilary, she seems like a two-faced liar looking for her and only her, but I just can't see a person like Trump winning. I don't even have a clue if thats good or bad. I just dont see it. Maybe its because theres never been a Trump even run.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61134 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

I would be shocked if 100% adoption of self driving happens in our lifetimes. Maybe generations from now no one will drive, but I don't think anyone alive today will live in a time where the option to drive is prohibited.



Agreed.

Frankly, the automated driving seems like an all-or-nothing thing. If there is a significant portion of human drivers on the road, it inevitably effects the automated drivers, which can still result in collisions/accidents. Besides, its not like the automated vehicles are going to be top performing right out of the box. They're likely going to have many iterations before it works as the idea now suggests. At least that's how I've seen technology evolve up to this point.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

Someone who doesn't actually believe in Hyperloop.
and PayPal, SpaceX, Tesla... Nothing? Still an idiot?
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 11:29 pm to
quote:


Frankly, the automated driving seems like an all-or-nothing thing. If there is a significant portion of human drivers on the road, it inevitably effects the automated drivers, which can still result in collisions/accidents.


Humans + Humans = dangerous
Humans + Automated = less dangerous
All automated = negligible danger

The 'out of the box' comment may not apply.. because the software behind these automated vehicles actually learns. It learns in two major ways: first, it watches how humans drive successfully to plot the ideal course of the road (best fit line based over thousands of trials). then it also learns from it actually driving.

as of may 2016 Tesla has 373,000 net reservations ($1,000 deposit) each. they are being marketed between $35,000-$45,000 prior to any government incentives.

the size of the fleet learning currently is about ~100,000.. and it's going to quadruple within the next few years.

This post was edited on 7/23/16 at 11:30 pm
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61134 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 11:38 pm to
quote:

He has to start now to see success later. If he started later he wouldn't see success until much later.


I understand, but he's pretty aggressive on these things...or at least it seems like he is. From my perspective I see headlines all the time about him coming up with the latest and greatest...etc. , and I just don't buy into everything he says.

I agree with what he's trying to do, but I feel like he's skipping steps. For instance, automated driving, why can't he just get the electric car ball rolling and then move on to his automated driving idea? If everyone is rolling around in electric vehicles, wouldn't that make it easier to transition to automated vehicles?

Looking at the list of cheapest electric cars

quote:

2016 Mitsubishi i-MiEV - $23,845.
2015 Smart Fortwo Electric Drive - $25,750.
2016 Chevrolet Spark EV - $25,995.
2016 Nissan Leaf - $29,860.
2015 Fiat 500e - $32,780.
2015 Ford C-MAX Energi - $32,645.
2016 Chevrolet Volt - $33,995.



Why isn't Tesla on that list? Why doesn't Elon Musk want to be on that list? What's he doing with his vehicles that he can't make them affordable to the average American?
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