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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:45 pm to
Posted by Motorboat
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
23482 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:45 pm to
Frick
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8595 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:46 pm to
Later when there is more information we will have an idea who will be fricked.
Posted by LSUKTR
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2005
1489 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

We’re about 4 days out. NHC misses by 50 nautical miles or less about 20% of the time this far out.


So 80% of the time, they’re at least 50mi off this far out. I guess it is good to be in the center of the cone right now.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67186 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Can y’all give a “I don’t know shite about weather, but willing to listen” level update about this one?

Not one of your requested contributors, but:

Delta will continue to move into an increasingly better environment over the next couple of days. Currently, it has all the signs of a storm that is getting its act together and intensifying rapidly. It will make it's way west/north westward before making a northern turn. Where it makes that turn is largely dependent upon positioning of a high pressure ridge building over the Southeast US. Delta's ceiling is pretty high with the chances of reaching Major substantial. The best hope for limiting its strength is the cooler waters just off the cost of LA/MS. Those cooler waters do not guarantee that Delta will fall apart or weaken significantly upon approach to landfall. It would not be unprecedented if it doesn't. Models have been surprisingly tightly clustered over the past 24-36 hours on potential track, and the NHC seems to have a good grasp on general steering patterns.
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 6:49 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
144379 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Delta
...DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT DELTA HAS BECOME A HURRICANE...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Oct 5
Location: 16.5°N 79.6°W
Moving: WNW at 8 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:48 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

Moving NNE in the last few hours so far.


Down to 930mb a few frames before that.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67186 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:49 pm to
Yep. That's the one that will get you. Turning out the lights.
Posted by Hydrilla Gorilla
North Shore
Member since May 2017
1445 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:50 pm to
If I had a choice put me on the west side of the cone
Posted by georgia
445
Member since Jan 2007
9139 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:50 pm to
Heeey! That’s some shite I understand. THANK YOU!
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
86750 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:50 pm to
I’ve got a sinking feeling about this one NOLA baws...
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 6:53 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:50 pm to
Gotta say, not liking what I'm seeing tonight.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
17935 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:51 pm to
That gif looks like she just inhaled sharply and hugged her babies close.
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10695 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:51 pm to
No shite?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67186 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

Gotta say, not liking what I'm seeing tonight.

Not at all. And you don't have to even see a loop or any data. Just check reactions on Twitter.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

Moving NNE in the last few hours so far.
quote:

Moving: WNW at 8 mph


who is right here guys @slackster or NOAA ?
Posted by Elleshoe
Wade’s World
Member since Jun 2004
143780 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:54 pm to
I hate the nerdy cocksuckers in these threads who downvote every legit question just because it’s from someone that’s not a regular
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Anyone suggesting this will certainly NOT be a major at landfall is wishcasting hard. As our resident experts have suggested at, it’d take shear and dry air intrusion to significantly disrupt the storm and fill i


There’s a clear difference between having a major hurricane at some point in the gulf and having a major hurricane at landfall. Anyone suggesting otherwise is idiotcasting.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
26126 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

who is right here guys @slackster or NOAA ?



im waiting for peej to weigh in
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:55 pm to
Delta shaping up to be a big one.
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