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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:13 am to
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4653 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:13 am to
quote:

I also plan on staying unless it shifts west


In LC, same here. Projected into Vermillion Bay tomorrow morning, I am staying. Anything west, I'm out. Can't take the risk with small kids who hate bad weather. If I waste a night or two of hotel fees and Lake Charles is unscathed, I'm not going to complain.
Posted by AU_251
Your dads room
Member since Feb 2013
12113 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:14 am to
Cypress love wet ground. I would say it will fair better than most other species
Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5635 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:15 am to
quote:

This thing will be a dud


Alright everybody, we can shut the thread down...nothing to be worried about.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:16 am to
quote:

What an a-hole


I’d be cautious but feeling optimistic in SWLA, despite the euro. Obviously want a miss altogether, but the bigger western shifts have stopped.



Models have basically been bouncing around Vermilion Parish for a day or so now. Ideally you’d want the Euro there too, but it’s been a western outlier all year.

Eta- in other news, I probably won’t be posting for the rest of October unless I’m saved by a Marsh Island landfall. Good news for my residence though.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 8:19 am
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
19013 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:18 am to
quote:


In LC, same here. Projected into Vermillion Bay tomorrow morning, I am staying. Anything west, I'm out. Can't take the risk with small kids who hate bad weather. If I waste a night or two of hotel fees and Lake Charles is unscathed, I'm not going to complain.


Kind of where we’re at too. I’m getting tired of moving breastmilk.
Posted by MikeBRLA
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2005
17194 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:18 am to
quote:

She 18?


17 is all you need in LA baw.
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15176 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:18 am to
I wonder if the euro borrows any information from the radar station west of LC since the radar station in town is still jacked up.

Giving it a more western lean.
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:18 am to
How big of a fricking Miss is this by the NHC? If I’m the Yucatán, I would be pissed off big time. I mean, look at the time markers for 2am and 4am Wednesday morning. Jesus NHC, get your shite together.





Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14788 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Does anyone know the worst location of a tree relative to the house? I got a giant water oak and a willow oak east of the back of the house.




its all relative to the wind direction. storm will blow counter closkwise around the eye. if you are northeast of the storm, you will get winds out of the SE, then south once eye is due west of you, then once northwest of you get winds out of the southwest.

with your tree east of the house, you need to look out for wind coning out of the east. a storm landing near due south out you would mean you get east winds until the eye get to you then west winds after it passes
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15176 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:19 am to
Gamma pulled that closer in I believe
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10469 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:19 am to
What’s the latest time I should leave BR? Should I even be evacuating BR?
Posted by htcthc321
Member since Oct 2010
1769 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:20 am to
I believe it was due to the fact the initial center of Delta was found to have formed to the SW. Hard to predict a track on something that was barely even formed at the time
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:20 am to
quote:

slack is the NHC storm surge chart available already or are they waiting for this thing to get closer?? Im not seeing one on the website



I think they wait until warnings are out. Should get warnings at the 10am update.
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
27760 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:20 am to
Slack you think the models are pretty accurate this morning, or will we see more wobbling?

It looks to my untrained eye like we're seeing some consensus on the landfall now.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:21 am to
damn that's pretty bad miss.. can't wait to see how @slackster spins this one
Posted by LSUvegasbombed
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2013
15464 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:21 am to
I dont think you have to evac BR. I have never done that but that is your choice.

I just hope we dont have it as bad as gustav. That shite sucked. gas, ice, grocery stores were nightmares and not having power for a week was terrible
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79846 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:22 am to
Is this thing even a hurricane right now? The fast windspeed found by hunters is 69mph.
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
47751 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:22 am to
quote:

How big of a fricking Miss is this by the NHC? If I’m the Yucatán


Maybe they should follow the Mexican hurricane center instead
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21489 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:22 am to
quote:

frick the euro


They updated it before the season to supposedly improve performance in the tropics by making the pressure to wind relationship more realistic. However, it has been pretty bad at times this season and, if it holds to the seasonal trend, might start adjusting back east over the next few runs.
Posted by Lord_Ford
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
4240 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Kind of where we’re at too. I’m getting tired of moving breastmilk.


I bet! We are in Prairieville with a 6-week old and if we lose power the freezer is getting power before the window unit specifically for the breast milk. Mrs Ford would have a meltdown if we lost it
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