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re: Deep South Severe Weather Thread (Enhanced)

Posted on 10/25/21 at 7:19 pm to
Posted by tigerbutt
Deep South
Member since Jun 2006
24868 posts
Posted on 10/25/21 at 7:19 pm to
“Severe”


GTFOH
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
63964 posts
Posted on 10/25/21 at 7:26 pm to
That South Boston , VA tornado not far from my old stomping grounds.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
58359 posts
Posted on 10/25/21 at 7:39 pm to
NWS St. Louis confirmed two tornadoes so far and their preliminary damage survey showed EF2 and EF3 damage:


I've said before that we have a whole lot to learn about debris on radar. I believe radar capability has progressed much faster than our understanding of it. I would love to see these two tornadoes lead to research into debris signatures and radar presentation of Correlation Coefficient during tornadic storms during the Fall.

Thinking over the amount if debris fallout that was clear in both of those tornadoes, not just the TDS, but the fallout as what was lofted descended to the ground, I believe leaves and other vegetation could be part of the radar presentation we saw. The way it was scattered gave more of a signature than we usually see. Dry fall leaves and other dry/dead vegetation weighs less than green vegetation like we see in the Spring. It could very well be lofted higher and kept aloft longer to be distributed over a greater distance. Hopefully, last night's tornadoes lead to some good research.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
58359 posts
Posted on 10/25/21 at 7:42 pm to
It had a pretty good couplet off and on. You could see the Meso really take off with couple of big bursts of lightning.
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
15713 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 6:29 pm to
Any updates on this? Or nothing to worry about
Posted by tigerbutt
Deep South
Member since Jun 2006
24868 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 7:29 pm to
Ummm nothing to worry about. Ground might get a little wet. Move on.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36167 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

Any updates on this? Or nothing to worry about


Watching for storms in front of squall line tomorrow for tornado potential in the high shear environment. Squall line could be a little extra spicy but doesnt look like a widespread big deal.
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
117940 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

Squall line could be a little extra spicy but doesnt look like a widespread big deal.




Gone B bout 10 tuh 15 minutes fuh da extra spicy squaw line…you wonna wait? K baby pull up fuh me
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
35113 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 11:45 pm to
Someone remind me… when you see the front start to bow out, that’s when we can expect high winds? Watching the radar for this line that’s going to move through overnight and seeing a real bow forming out front.
Posted by Bullfrog
Institutionalized but Unevaluated
Member since Jul 2010
57093 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 1:19 am to
It’s ok. Im still wondering how Trump Denial Syndrome (TDS) and Rural Free Delivery (RFD) have anything to do with a tornado.

And if MESO is supposed to be a flat-top geologic mountain formation that creates tornados as well.

The showing off of industry acronyms make this stupidly hard to follow what’s going on.

And watch for that hook! Might duck and weave before you counter punch.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
59287 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 1:35 am to
quote:

Someone remind me… when you see the front start to bow out, that’s when we can expect high winds


It’s not 100% but generally yes
Posted by Kay
Member since Mar 2011
1944 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 5:15 am to
Seems to be a bit upgraded now. Find when they project this it’s usually nothing, but random storms kick our arse. Hope it’s the same.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
13662 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 7:17 am to
HRRR seems to be doing a good job right now on timing, and shows discrete cells developing in the designated enhanced risk area
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
142796 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:22 am to
Tornado warning for Houston


Tornado watch includes Lake Charles, Lafayette, & Alexandria
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1029 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:44 am to
Storms are starting to rotate near the Houston area and they are under a slight risk. As the storms move into Acadiana around 1-4pm look for more severe storms that produce tornados as the line moves into the Enhanced risk area. Keep an eye to the sky
Posted by Geaux23
Member since Sep 2012
5840 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:47 am to
but will they close the schools?!?
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
12025 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:49 am to
10% tornado probability and hatched area for possible strong tornadoes only happens a few days a year in Louisiana - especially in south Louisiana. Stay safe out there.



Also 30% chance of damaging winds - just what areas recovering from Ida really need

This post was edited on 10/27/21 at 8:55 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
44612 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:51 am to
Here is the current tornado watch:



There have already been several tornado warnings this morning in SE Texas.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
142796 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Meteorologist Nick Mikulas
Lots to talk about, so I’ll skip the fun stuff. A tornado watch has been issued for a large part of the area until 4:00 PM. SPC has increased the tornado risk to 10% in our area, and thrown in a “hatched area”. That means there is a 10% chance for a strong tornado of EF 2 or greater strength within 25 miles of a point. The main issue is that we are seeing isolated supercells develop ahead of the main line. This is what we don’t want. I’ve heard the great James Spann say that the first storms of the day will “talk to you”. In today’s case, there are now tornado warnings along the main line, and one tornado warning on a supercell ahead of the main line. That tells me we are looking at a busy day, as it should get worse through the morning and into the early afternoon. I’m not sure on my plan for the day, but I’ll probably end up on the road at some point. I’ll keep you posted.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
44612 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:55 am to
Current tornado warning for the Port Arthur area:

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