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Started By
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Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:10 am to ell_13
quote:
Just checking in to let y’all know that covid has not killed me.
How about your family and friends? If we are to see 1.6 million dead from this like Mr Perfect said then we should start seeing some results soon
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:11 am to ell_13
Good luck in the battle against your cold
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:11 am to More beer please
Don’t know yet. Just been told to assume I have it in the meantime.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:11 am to The Boat
I feel pretty good today actually. May go to the range later.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:12 am to stout
quote:
The line is from a movie (The Big Short which tried to be pretty accurate) but you can google and see that research supports it even if the numbers from the movie aren't 100% accurate. It's suggested that for every 1% uptick in unemployment an additional 40K deaths for the year can be traced back to it.
No idea if true, but it gives some numbers to start with.
I don't really know the difference between a minimal disruption with simple safeguards approach and the full bore 6 month lockdown approach - but 500k seems like a reasonable number.
Taking the 40k deaths per 1% unemployment at face value. At an 18% unemployment rate (15% change) we are talking about a breakeven tradeoff.
Other question is can we reduce the impact with a surge in funding for medical care/facilities?
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:12 am to stout
quote:They’re all alive as far as I know.
How about your family and friends? If we are to see 1.6 million dead from this like Mr Perfect said then we should start seeing some results soon
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:13 am to ell_13
quote:
I feel pretty good today actually. May go to the range later.
quote:
Just been told to assume I have it in the meantime.
I guess looking like a moron is something you're shooting for.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 10:13 am
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:14 am to ell_13
Would be a tragedy to finally figure out fractions to only pass away a few short days later 
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:15 am to CivilTiger83
quote:
Taking the 40k deaths per 1% unemployment at face value. At an 18% unemployment rate (15% change) we are talking about a breakeven tradeoff.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:15 am to CivilTiger83
quote:
Taking the 40k deaths per 1% unemployment at face value. At an 18% unemployment rate (15% change) we are talking about a breakeven tradeoff.
BTW some studies suggest that the majority of those 40K are elderly because their unemployed family no longer has funding to help support them through medically troubling times. By that definition, and if the numbers are true, we are literally talking about a complete trade-off considering the group that Whaun Flu is most dangerous to.
quote:
Other question is can we reduce the impact with a surge in funding for medical care/facilities?
Good question and I would be interested to see if this has been talked about by the ones making the desicions.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:15 am to Tiguar
quote:
I bet we get some new bullshite nannystate thing to pay for out of this one.
I hope that our healthcare system gets a reality check. Between sheer lack of testing capacity, the potential for hospitals to be overrun and not able to extend care as needed, etc, we are seeing the chinks in the armor. If this were truly BAD bad, we'd be in deep doodoo. We're not out of the woods, but this virus could certainly be much worse than it is. If ebola were this contagious..........God help us.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:16 am to LNCHBOX
I live on a golf course. Balls are already laid out. I’m on the range plan. Can walk up. Hit. Walk back to my house. And never come within 100 ft of someone.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 10:17 am
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:17 am to frankthetank
CDC just released the Flu deaths for 2020.
FLU= 22,000
Coronavirus= 116
FLU= 22,000
Coronavirus= 116
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:21 am to beerJeep
I’ll try not to cough on the range balls in case someone picks one up and licks it.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:21 am to ell_13
quote:
I’m on the range plan.
When you said range, I immediately thought about a gun range. As you have clarified, carry on.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:22 am to ell_13
Yeah I mean, I think this is way overblown and will be going to play 18 after I finish working today.
I’m also not sick and being told to assume I have the corona.
I’m also not sick and being told to assume I have the corona.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:24 am to S1C EM
quote:
we are seeing the chinks in the armor
i c w u d t
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