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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:10 am to
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26632 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:10 am to
Mr Perfect is sad mah buddy dude
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
46592 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:10 am to
You end up being positive?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184216 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Just checking in to let y’all know that covid has not killed me.



How about your family and friends? If we are to see 1.6 million dead from this like Mr Perfect said then we should start seeing some results soon
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178249 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:11 am to
Good luck in the battle against your cold
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88269 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:11 am to
Don’t know yet. Just been told to assume I have it in the meantime.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88269 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:11 am to
I feel pretty good today actually. May go to the range later.
Posted by CivilTiger83
Member since Dec 2017
2525 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:12 am to
quote:

The line is from a movie (The Big Short which tried to be pretty accurate) but you can google and see that research supports it even if the numbers from the movie aren't 100% accurate. It's suggested that for every 1% uptick in unemployment an additional 40K deaths for the year can be traced back to it.


No idea if true, but it gives some numbers to start with.

I don't really know the difference between a minimal disruption with simple safeguards approach and the full bore 6 month lockdown approach - but 500k seems like a reasonable number.

Taking the 40k deaths per 1% unemployment at face value. At an 18% unemployment rate (15% change) we are talking about a breakeven tradeoff.

Other question is can we reduce the impact with a surge in funding for medical care/facilities?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88269 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:12 am to
quote:

How about your family and friends? If we are to see 1.6 million dead from this like Mr Perfect said then we should start seeing some results soon
They’re all alive as far as I know.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89335 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:13 am to
quote:

I feel pretty good today actually. May go to the range later.

quote:

Just been told to assume I have it in the meantime.


I guess looking like a moron is something you're shooting for.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 10:13 am
Posted by threeputtforbogie
Addison, TX
Member since Sep 2017
1012 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:14 am to
Would be a tragedy to finally figure out fractions to only pass away a few short days later
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88269 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Taking the 40k deaths per 1% unemployment at face value. At an 18% unemployment rate (15% change) we are talking about a breakeven tradeoff.

Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184216 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Taking the 40k deaths per 1% unemployment at face value. At an 18% unemployment rate (15% change) we are talking about a breakeven tradeoff.


BTW some studies suggest that the majority of those 40K are elderly because their unemployed family no longer has funding to help support them through medically troubling times. By that definition, and if the numbers are true, we are literally talking about a complete trade-off considering the group that Whaun Flu is most dangerous to.

quote:

Other question is can we reduce the impact with a surge in funding for medical care/facilities?


Good question and I would be interested to see if this has been talked about by the ones making the desicions.
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:15 am to
quote:

I bet we get some new bullshite nannystate thing to pay for out of this one.


I hope that our healthcare system gets a reality check. Between sheer lack of testing capacity, the potential for hospitals to be overrun and not able to extend care as needed, etc, we are seeing the chinks in the armor. If this were truly BAD bad, we'd be in deep doodoo. We're not out of the woods, but this virus could certainly be much worse than it is. If ebola were this contagious..........God help us.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88269 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:16 am to
I live on a golf course. Balls are already laid out. I’m on the range plan. Can walk up. Hit. Walk back to my house. And never come within 100 ft of someone.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 10:17 am
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
31030 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:17 am to
CDC just released the Flu deaths for 2020.

FLU= 22,000
Coronavirus= 116





Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
39122 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:17 am to
Subtle
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88269 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:21 am to
I’ll try not to cough on the range balls in case someone picks one up and licks it.
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:21 am to
quote:

I’m on the range plan.


When you said range, I immediately thought about a gun range. As you have clarified, carry on.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52585 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:22 am to
Yeah I mean, I think this is way overblown and will be going to play 18 after I finish working today.

I’m also not sick and being told to assume I have the corona.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 10:24 am to
quote:

we are seeing the chinks in the armor


i c w u d t
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