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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:03 am to
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:03 am to
Currently the number of people infected in the US increases 10 times every 9 days, with the number of people dead from it increasing ten times every 14 days. That rate has held basically constant since March 1st.

Granted that will change based on a number of factors like social distancing and outside temperature but that is the current trend.
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 9:04 am
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:04 am to
the tail end when the graphs have shown zero signs of curving downward?

LINK
Posted by rondo
Worst. Poster. Evar.
Member since Jan 2004
77515 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:05 am to
Can someone explain to me why we have never reacted this way to a virus ever in the history of ever? Why now?

Why is this one any worse than Bird Flu or Swine Flue or SARS?

I genuinely don't know and to this point have just assumed it was a mixture of social media and 24 hour news cycle.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:10 am to
quote:

The population density in Italy is also much higher at 515 people per square mile. The population density in the contiguous US is only 105 people per square mile.



This is very disingenuous.

Italy has ~60m people.

We have ~60m people in a small cohort of our largest cities. For example, New York has ~8m people and 26,000 people per square mile. Los Angeles is 7,500 per square mile. Yeah, we all know this won't be a big deal in Montana and Wyoming, which are in your numbers.


This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 9:14 am
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:11 am to
quote:

quote:

, is going to see approximately 3,500 deaths out of 60M people, or 0.0058% of their population.
please stop lying

Don't make it so obvious that you're rooting for millions to die.
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:11 am to
quote:

Remdesivir is the antiviral that is making headlines right now.


Isn’t that the HIV drug? I was thinking that one was still a little “meh” with results?
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Don't make it so obvious that you're rooting for millions to die.



I am not defending Mr. Perfect really, but I hate this line of thinking.

Just because people think something will happen, doesn't mean they hope it does. That is some serious bullshite.

I think we'll have millions of cases (mostly minor symptoms) in the US, but that doesn't mean I want that to happen.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:13 am to
quote:

Isn’t that the HIV drug? I was thinking that one was still a little “meh” with results?


News this morning said it was Ebola I think and there have been some big success stories of people getting out of the ICU because of it.

Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9924 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:13 am to
quote:

Not my stats my guy...I think it is an aggressive model, but it is not out of the realm of possibility.



Yea, I was meaning to make the point that it was irresponsible of Goldman to put out that doomsday letter.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22972 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:13 am to
quote:

the tail end when the graphs have shown zero signs of curving downward?



The "Total Cases" graph is never going to "curve downward." Neither is the "Total Deaths" graph. However, both the daily new cases and daily deaths decreased yesterday, which is what sparked my initial question of whether Italy was turning the corner. They may not be. Maybe new cases and deaths spike again today. My post was based on the assumption that they are going to start trending down.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88021 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:13 am to
There are definitely people here hoping the death toll goes high so they can be right
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

There are definitely people here hoping the death toll goes high so they can be right



No there aren't.

Stop making shite up. You've looked like an arse this entire thread and should just leave.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

I am not defending Mr. Perfect really, but I hate this line of thinking.

Just because people think something will happen, doesn't mean they hope it does. That is some serious bullshite.

I think we'll have millions of cases (mostly minor symptoms) in the US, but that doesn't mean I want that to happen.

Mr Perfect bet me a thousand dollars that 1.6 million Americans will die from covid19 within 18 months.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Mr Perfect bet me a thousand dollars that 1.6 million Americans will die from covid19 within 18 months.



Did he say he wanted that to happen?

But yes, he's an arse, but still I hate that line of thinking.
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 9:16 am
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29691 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:16 am to
quote:

There are definitely people here hoping the death toll goes high so they can be right


No, but there are people in this thread that hypothesize this could all be a conspiracy to sell Netflix subscriptions.

Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89137 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:16 am to
I don't think he ever accepted. That was a fun part of the thread.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Did he say he wanted that to happen?
When someone suggested that deal tolls wouldn't be nearly that high, he told them to stop lying.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

I don't think he ever accepted.
LINK
quote:

@korkstand. bet on..no cap. you better not weasel away
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22972 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

This is very disingenuous.

Italy has ~60m people.

We have ~60m people in a small cohort of our largest cities. For example, New York has ~8m people and 26,000 people per square mile. Los Angeles is 7,500 per square mile. Yeah, we all know this won't be a big deal in Montana and Wyoming, which are in your numbers.


Are you under the impression that Italy's population isn't congregated in their two largest cities as well?

Rome has a population of 3 million and 6,400 people per square mile.

Milan has 1.35 million people and 19,300 people per square mile.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41114 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:20 am to
quote:

ell_13


Still having a melt I see
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