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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:00 am to
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89137 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:00 am to
quote:

science say this:

40-70% of the US population will be infected over the next 12-18 months. After that level you can start to get herd immunity. Unlike flu this is entirely novel to humans, so there is no latent immunity in the global population.

[We used their numbers to work out a guesstimate of deaths— indicating about 1.5 million Americans may die. The panelists did not disagree with our estimate. This compares to seasonal flu’s average of 50K Americans per year. Assume 50% of US population, that’s 160M people infected. With 1% mortality rate that's 1.6M Americans die over the next 12-18 months.]



Again, so 1,600,001 US deaths on or before 3/13/21, right?

Quit being a bitch and acknowledge the terms.
Posted by SHOtime Tiger
Member since Aug 2019
1361 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:00 am to
quote:

Science also said we’d be out of oil in the 90’s and by now, there should be no polar ice caps. Among other things.

Are you a lib?


I don't think trusting in science is a criteria you want to use to separate republicans and democrats.
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
9041 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:01 am to
If the weather stuff posted late last night is true then then we should see a pretty steep drop in infections come summer. And in the South starting pretty much now.

Although the crazy thing about this, and the crazy thing about the all the cancellations, is this thing will still be here come next late fall/winter. If no one is ok with anyone catching this virus at an event are we just not going to have events for the next year and a half until a vaccine is rolled out?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:01 am to
quote:

Mr Perfect
Are you applying that to the entire world too?

That means over 3 billion people will be globally affected and there will be anywhere from 150 million to hundreds of million dead.

Scruffy isn’t sure who you are reading, but they aren’t scientists and those aren’t facts.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:02 am to
quote:

guesstimate


GUESStimate.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:02 am to
what terms you said under 1.6 mill I said over.

you're the one now trying to put time stamps on it
This post was edited on 3/13/20 at 9:03 am
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:03 am to
quote:

We used their numbers to work out a guesstimate of deaths
quote:

The panelists did not disagree with our estimate.
quote:

Assume 50% of US population
And
quote:

With 1% mortality rate
is another estimate.

Nowhere close to a million Americans will die from this. I would be shocked if the number approaches 50k in the next 12-18 months.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22973 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:03 am to
quote:

With 1% mortality rate


The mortality rate is no where near 1%.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89137 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:03 am to
quote:

what terms you said under that under 1.6 mill I said over.

you're the one now trying to put time stamps on it


quote:

here's two facts for ya

A. between 40-70% of all USA will get it
B. 1.6 milli of us will die in next 12-18 months


Did you forget about part of the "facts" you posted?
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:04 am to
not responding to anyone who uses thier name in a third party type of way.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:04 am to
quote:

I prefer cash app $mrperfectgucci
Great. Bookmarked and reminder set to check back in 18 months.

How certain are you of the projected deaths? $100? $1k? $10k?
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:04 am to
why you fighting me on thier estimates.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:04 am to
quote:

estimate
Mr. Perfect used the word “fact” and all that Scruffy sees are words like “assume” and “estimate”.

Just another person addicted to apocalypse porn.

Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89137 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:05 am to
quote:

why you fighting me on thier estimates.


@mr perfect is being a pussy and quickly backing down
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:06 am to
quote:

guess what dude.. read expert panel if you're capable.. this where I go because media lies

here's two facts for ya

A. between 40-70% of all USA will get it

B. 1.6 milli of us will die in next 12-18 months
Those aren’t facts.

quote:

why you fighting me on thier estimates.
So, you now agree.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51746 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:07 am to
Drive-thru COVID-19 testing available in Birmingham:

Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:07 am to
quote:

How certain are you of the projected deaths? $100? $1k? $10k?
You could rob this clown dry.
Posted by GeauxTime9
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2010
7039 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:07 am to
So, how many people are now dead from this? I was told this is going to kill thousands.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:07 am to
quote:

why you fighting me on thier estimates.


Oh, and you even quoted the word "guesstimate". Real science talk.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89137 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:08 am to
quote:

So, how many people are now dead from this? I was told this is going to kill thousands.



In the US? 40
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