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Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:09 am to lsupride87
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:09 am to lsupride87
quote:
Feeling somewhat ok, then dropping dead in your home is absolutely not normal with this virus and would lead most to beleive something else causes the sudden death. Does that mean it isn’t “impossible” for coronavirus to suddenly kill you? No. But that is absolutely not in the norm
She had flu-like symptoms for a week. It wasn't that she felt fine; it's that she didn't feel bad enough to seek medical attention. That's pretty scary.
LINK
quote:
The same day, a mammogram technician at Piedmont Newnan Hospital was found dead in her Coweta County home. Laboratory tests confirmed the woman had COVID-19
quote:
The woman, 42, had been dead 12 to 16 hours when the police, checking on her welfare, discovered her body, Hawk said.Her child, apparently 4 or 5 years old, was in the home at the time.
quote:
In Newnan, the 42-year-old technician had exhibited flu-like symptoms about a week before she died, said Hawk, the county coroner. She had no underlying health problems, Hawk said, and did not get tested for the coronavirus.A friend of the woman’s called the police when she didn’t answer telephone calls for several days. When officers entered the home, they found the woman’s body — and her child, unattended.
2
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:09 am to Lsut81
Or maybe not. Sudden cardiac rhythm disturbance and death.
Unusual but lots of ICUs are reporting cardiac involvement with covid
Unusual but lots of ICUs are reporting cardiac involvement with covid
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:12 am to S1C EM
quote:once again, extremely extremely rare for covid to do this without something else going on, which we don’t know
She had flu-like symptoms for a week. It wasn't that she felt fine; it's that she didn't feel bad enough to seek medical attention. That's pretty scary.
I would not spend any headspace time on thinking of these cases. But that’s up to you
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:25 am to AcetylCoA
quote:
California numbers
About as accurate as China's
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:25 am to BillyBobfan24_7
quote:
So we went from 0 patients at my nursing home
Where?
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:28 am to Lsut81
There are several efforts underway around the country to do random sampling of the population. Ohio is working on one, albeit limited to 100 people. Hopefully we will see these efforts all around the country.
The efforts are limited so far by testing capacity, but it would seem to be super helpful to those making decisions to have a better picture of what is going on in the population.
Apparently a separate CDC team is also going out to more rural areas to do some testing.
Both of these are great ideas, although I am curious how quickly this data can be turned around.
The efforts are limited so far by testing capacity, but it would seem to be super helpful to those making decisions to have a better picture of what is going on in the population.
quote:
During Saturday’s daily COVID-19 briefing, Ohio Department of Health Director Dr. Amy Acton announced a team will be made up of amateur epidemiologists, equipped with technology, to take on the effort. They’ll start with a random sample of 100 asymptomatic people.
Apparently a separate CDC team is also going out to more rural areas to do some testing.
quote:
Acton said that the state effort is separate from discussions she’s having with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which will send a team to rural Ohio -- where testing capacity is limited, to get population data.
Both of these are great ideas, although I am curious how quickly this data can be turned around.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:32 am to MadDogs
quote:
During Saturday’s daily COVID-19 briefing, Ohio Department of Health Director Dr. Amy Acton announced a team will be made up of amateur epidemiologists, equipped with technology, to take on the effort. They’ll start with a random sample of 100 asymptomatic people.
frickING YUGE
People don't realize how huge this is.
If we get widescale antibody testing, we'll be able to really get a grip on the breadth of this thing and be able to prioritize risk based on populations/geographies.
This and an effective antiviral treatment are the two absolute game-changers people need to focus on now that testing for COVID19 has caught up with demand (obviously vaccine, but that is a ways out)
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:37 am to lsupride87
New York holding steady with 599 reported deaths today (below the UW curve but in the band = 4,758 total).
nCFR now essentially identical to LA (3.64% to 3.66%). Per capita case and fatality rates much higher in New York.
nCFR now essentially identical to LA (3.64% to 3.66%). Per capita case and fatality rates much higher in New York.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:37 am to Commander Data
quote:
Commander Data
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:39 am to BRIllini07
FYI GOLF IS BACK MOTHERfrickERS
The world is seeing the light at the end of this tunnel.
The world is seeing the light at the end of this tunnel.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:50 am to S1C EM
quote:
it's that she didn't feel bad enough to seek medical attention. That's pretty scary.
I think that if I'm a nurse and exposed to covid and start feeling bad, I'm going to seek medical attention.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:08 pm to tiger91
quote:
I think that if I'm a nurse and exposed to covid and start feeling bad, I'm going to seek medical attention.
She was a mammography tech and I don't think she knew she had been exposed. Had I developed flu-like symptoms in early March, I probably would have sought testing, too, but at that point it was hard to come by.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:09 pm to tiger91
This is a follow-up to my earlier posts where I began to track the World Health Organization’s COVID-19 daily situation reports.
The number of global cases and fatalities about doubled this week as the number of cases went from 635,000 to 1,133,000 and fatalities grew from 30,000 to 63,000. However, the rate of increase has slowed.
The stat I think is the most important to watch is the daily percentage change in the number of new cases. This is the rate that determines whether the increase is geometric or arithmetic.
After the outbreak in Europe began in earnest the increase in new daily cases grew over 12% on March 23. But since, the daily percentage increase has declined, coming in just a little over 7% yesterday.
At a 7% daily compounding rate, over a billion people would be infected in a matter of months. But in Europe, which is much further along in the outbreak, the number of new cases was nearly flat last week and in Asia new cases have slowed to a trickle. Conversely, a serious outbreak in a country with a large population, say India, would result in a dramatic increase in the rate.
The US daily increase averaged 9% last week. However, that may not be comparable to other countries because testing here is now ramping up much more quickly than anywhere else in the world.
Here are some of the other key metrics from the week:
*According to the COVID Tracking Project, the US has continued to substantially ramp up testing. As of yesterday, almost 1.76 million tests have been completed. Almost half of those tests were completed last week. Since testing began about 19% of patients have tested positive.
*As of yesterday, there is still no country in the world where the confirmed infection rate has exceeded three-tenths of one percent (0.3%) of that country’s population.
*The New York state health department is tracking fatalities by age. According to its latest data, 82% of all fatalities have been over 60. Only 3% have been under 30.
The total COVID-19 fatalities yesterday (5,798) likely represents about 3.5% of all global fatalities for the day.
The number of global cases and fatalities about doubled this week as the number of cases went from 635,000 to 1,133,000 and fatalities grew from 30,000 to 63,000. However, the rate of increase has slowed.
The stat I think is the most important to watch is the daily percentage change in the number of new cases. This is the rate that determines whether the increase is geometric or arithmetic.
After the outbreak in Europe began in earnest the increase in new daily cases grew over 12% on March 23. But since, the daily percentage increase has declined, coming in just a little over 7% yesterday.
At a 7% daily compounding rate, over a billion people would be infected in a matter of months. But in Europe, which is much further along in the outbreak, the number of new cases was nearly flat last week and in Asia new cases have slowed to a trickle. Conversely, a serious outbreak in a country with a large population, say India, would result in a dramatic increase in the rate.
The US daily increase averaged 9% last week. However, that may not be comparable to other countries because testing here is now ramping up much more quickly than anywhere else in the world.
Here are some of the other key metrics from the week:
*According to the COVID Tracking Project, the US has continued to substantially ramp up testing. As of yesterday, almost 1.76 million tests have been completed. Almost half of those tests were completed last week. Since testing began about 19% of patients have tested positive.
*As of yesterday, there is still no country in the world where the confirmed infection rate has exceeded three-tenths of one percent (0.3%) of that country’s population.
*The New York state health department is tracking fatalities by age. According to its latest data, 82% of all fatalities have been over 60. Only 3% have been under 30.
The total COVID-19 fatalities yesterday (5,798) likely represents about 3.5% of all global fatalities for the day.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 12:30 pm
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:11 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
FYI GOLF IS BACK MOTHERfrickERS
The world is seeing the light at the end of this tunnel.
Played 36 at Hermitage yesterday and didn't come within 20 feet of anyone.
Pay online, yell your last name, hop in a clean cart and go.
Kind of selfish and stupid but I'm going pretty crazy after 3 weeks of solid quarantine discipline.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:17 pm to OWLFAN86
Good stuff, thanks for gathering and sharing.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:26 pm to STLhog
Nothing wrong with outdoor activities. It's the large-scale indoor activities that spread the virus.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:38 pm to Unknown_Poster
We really are in crazy times. Atlantic article giving Orange Man credence? What the hell is happening.
Great read BTW
LINK
Great read BTW
LINK
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:38 pm to Unknown_Poster
quote:
Nothing wrong with outdoor activities. It's the large-scale indoor activities that spread the virus.
*Add in comically packed outdoor activities (Mardi Gras). Looking at New York small scale group activities (subways/public transportation) may be questionable too.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:50 pm to STLhog
quote:
Played 36 at Hermitage yesterday and didn't come within 20 feet of anyone.
Played 18 at Hermitage yesterday!
It was a glorious day for golf.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:51 pm to BRIllini07
Anyone hearing reports from LA parishes that they have been overcounting coronavirus cases?
Essentially double counting cases.
Iberia Parish’s government put out a press release in that regard.
Essentially double counting cases.
Iberia Parish’s government put out a press release in that regard.
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