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Message

re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Increasing chances of ice/light snow flurries Tuesday afternoon

Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:26 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

Are you SKYSUMMIT?


No.

quote:

What did the cmc just do?


The opposite of the GFS. Rains. No snow. Dries out fast. So the waters muddy again late.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40594 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:27 pm to
It's setting up good for Shreveport. It's drizzled a time or two, but not much so it's holding off. Temp dropping. From what I'm seeing on local news, national news and models etc., there's a diamond between Tyler, TX, Texarkana,AR, Eldorado, AR and Shreveport that has the best potential for actual snow in decent measurable amounts for the area. It's going to freeze, ice sleet and snow over a large area, but timing and moisture amounts will dictate what happens. The slightest icing will mess up bridges and overpasses and I think the whole state is in that possibility.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
14636 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

quote:
Everyone turn on WBRZ to watch Eachus (or whoever) shite himself again!!
Or will they get on board??



Well if they say we get nothing, they're at least riding the NWS. Which I can't fault them for


But, but Josh Eachus is a Dr. Who uses,a modern methodology that includes Sociology to create a "better" forecast....bullshite. The guy is wrong , more than right and totally whiffed at the last snow. Needs to turn in that hood and go back to school. He's gonna whiff it again this time...just watch... the Rant is my go to weather forecaster.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23515 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

But, but Josh Eachus is a Dr. Who uses,a modern methodology that includes Sociology to create a "better" forecast....bullshite.



The sociology shite is where he really loses me. He’s trying to change the profession, and it’s fine the way it is. Did his dumbassery “help” people on 12/8 when he said absolutely no road accumulation?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

The sociology shite is where he really loses me.


Wait what?

Meteorology is pretty much straight physics. How the F does sociology play into it at all? Does he mean statistics?
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
43187 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

The sociology shite is where he really loses me


Look what it did to Tom Cruise. Sociology is a cult.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23515 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:38 pm to
I’ll try to find a tweet...
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:39 pm to
quote:


Look what it did to Tom Cruise. Sociology is a cult.




For the model watch, got NAM and more importantly the Euro left to roll. GFS comes in strong for BR with a good 1" of snow. Canadian drops the moisture and is a nada for BR. Who's going to break the tie?
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
65637 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:41 pm to
Is josh eachus the guy who held out to the end that there wouldn’t be any snow? And kept downplaying it until it was literally a snowstorm outside?
Posted by lsucoonass
shreveport and east texas
Member since Nov 2003
69721 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:42 pm to
Yeah I left Shreveport earlier this evening and now in Tyler
No work for me tommorrow
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10109 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

Is josh eachus the guy who held out to the end that there wouldn’t be any snow? And kept downplaying it until it was literally a snowstorm outside?


Indeed
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23515 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:46 pm to
quote:

In lieu of continuous Lloyd Christmas memes about #BatonRouge area snow, here are "chances" for snow. It's better to approach a forecast like this in probabilities rather than definitives. Most likely scenario is no accumulation, less than 25% chance of 1-2 inches | #LaWX #MsWX -
Eachus on 12/7


Not only did the fricker downplay it, by 9:30 AM he said it was ALL over and would be melting soon, when any sum bitch with EYES could have looked at a radar and known it would snow well past noon
This post was edited on 1/15/18 at 10:48 pm
Posted by lsucoonass
shreveport and east texas
Member since Nov 2003
69721 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:46 pm to
Still raining here but my weather app says snow
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146564 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:47 pm to
from NWS Lake Charles about an hour ago

quote:

There is some question with regards to overnight lows tonight as
they will be highly dependent on the exact timing of the front,
but the exact values are less important than stressing that the
daily highs will occur before sunrise in most locations as the
cold air advection in the wake of the FROPA will result in
steadily dropping temperatures through the day.

Light rain along and behind the front is still expected to
transition to sleet and snow across interior east Texas and
central Louisiana by around 12Z based on the latest forecast
soundings. Accumulation is still expected to be minimal with
widespread amounts around 1 inch. Locally higher amounts of up to
2 inches will be possible.

The transition line will gradually work its way south
through the morning into the early afternoon. Along the I-10
corridor, forecast soundings continue to indicate a warmer layer
aloft through much of the early afternoon indicating that winter
precip will likely fall in the form of sleet or freezing rain.
Forecast soundings do indicate that this layer will eventually
cool allowing for a brief period of a transition to snow sometime
during the late afternoon into the early evening before the
precipitation comes to an end. Once again, any sleet/snow
accumulation will be generally an inch or less. Freezing rain
accumulation is expected to be under 0.05 inches. Historically,
this is not usually enough to result in widespread power outages,
but preparations should be made for potential power outages in the
event that ice accumulations are higher than forecast.
This post was edited on 1/15/18 at 10:48 pm
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
14636 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:49 pm to
quote:


Wait what? 

Meteorology is pretty much straight physics. How the F does sociology play into it at all? Does he mean statistics?


Exactly....however, sociology might be used to gauge just how pissed people get when Eachus is wrong and EBR schools listen to him....maybe he should publish a paper on that...
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23515 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

Is josh eachus the guy who held out to the end that there wouldn’t be any snow? And kept downplaying it until it was literally a snowstorm outside?


And THEN took credit for displaying professionalism by altering the forecast as it was happening!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23515 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:57 pm to
FWIW the Weather Channel app shows quite the NE flow and looks to be quite saturated.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
65637 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

And THEN took credit for displaying professionalism by altering the forecast as it was happening!


What a douche waffle. Without seeing a pic of him, I bet he has a very smug and punchable face.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23515 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 11:01 pm to
You tell me...

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146564 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 11:04 pm to
FWIW I'm happy to see WBRZ get slammed for anything and everything

ETA: due to personal reasons
This post was edited on 1/15/18 at 11:16 pm
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