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re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Increasing chances of ice/light snow flurries Tuesday afternoon

Posted on 1/15/18 at 9:58 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

Will the latest GFS and HRRR be enough to convince NWS New Orleans to extend the Winter Weather Advisory to the greater EBR area? That GFS would shut us down through Wednesday and depending on accumulations it could lower our high on Wed and leave us stuck below freezing.


If the Canadian and Euro keep the trend, yeah they'll have us under a winter weather advisory by morning.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108344 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:00 pm to
Muh wintry mix advisory
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41326 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:03 pm to
Snow falling in Dallas. Should hit Shreveport by 11:15
Posted by tigerfan247365
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2017
535 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:04 pm to
Latest per Steve Cap on twitter

quote:

Latest GFS rolling in w/ somewhat higher snow potential...showing 1/2" to 1"+ from Baton Rouge northward. So many mixed signals tonight but snow very much in play for tomorrow.


Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24743 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:05 pm to
What is the HRRR based on?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

What is the HRRR based on?


Pretty sure it says for High Resolution Rapid Refresh. So it shows a high resolution (smaller blocks of atmosphere considered) and pulls recorded soundings and radar data like the other models do.

Yeah though, it's trying to get the most accurate short term (next 18 hour) picture.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24743 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:11 pm to
Gotcha so it’s not a compilation of models but more of a “future cast” model in itself.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:12 pm to
Yeah, it's a high res short term model.

Also, LIX just released a new discussion and they're sticking to the advisory picture as it stands currently. We'll see how the rest of the globals come in and see if they will want to budge it south.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40817 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

Snow falling in Dallas. Should hit Shreveport by 11:15


I'm ready...

Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24743 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:13 pm to
Everyone turn on WBRZ to watch Eachus (or whoever) shite himself again!!
Or will they get on board??
Posted by JonTheTigerFan
Central, LA
Member since Nov 2003
7133 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:14 pm to
TWC and WeatherUnderground apps just went to 40% chance of snow. :itshappening:
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:14 pm to
quote:

Everyone turn on WBRZ to watch Eachus (or whoever) shite himself again!!
Or will they get on board??


Well if they say we get nothing, they're at least riding the NWS. Which I can't fault them for.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41326 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:17 pm to
Gonna be messy in the morning. Rain now falling hard at my house. Going to be a lot of ice.

Tow truck companies are going to make a killing tomorrow
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24743 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:17 pm to
Are you SKYSUMMIT? What did the cmc just do?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24743 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:18 pm to
Nah, Pat essentially quoted NWS. Good by me. It’s the younger guys who piss me off.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147132 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

0z GFS coming in much wetter.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147132 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

quote:

but uh...I'm not sure exactly what's driving that change.



Willpower

all the TD Weather Board wishcasting worked




Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24743 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:21 pm to
Holy shite that was a weak arse futurecast from WBRZ. That’s the driest projection I’ve seen in two days!
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
7576 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:24 pm to
WAFB was pretty similar. So we've definitely got some conflicting info out there tonight.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41326 posts
Posted on 1/15/18 at 10:25 pm to
Accuweather radar showing snow falling in Caddo Parish
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