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Started By
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2
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:24 pm to LegendInMyMind
Hurricane Hunters seem to be playing Whack-a-mole with Beta's center at the moment.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:28 pm to LegendInMyMind
Center reforms be tricky like that.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:31 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Hurricane Hunters seem to be playing Whack-a-mole with Beta's center at the moment.
They don't think it be like it is, but it do
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:46 pm to rds dc
Good thing that there is dry air and some decent shear keeping it in check because the circulation itself is pretty impressive
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:52 pm to NorthEndZone
Awful lot of convergence going on out over the Gulf east of Beta, kinda looking south and SW of Mobile.
Beta also looks pretty damn healthy on radar and IR right now.
Huh
Beta also looks pretty damn healthy on radar and IR right now.
Huh
This post was edited on 9/20/20 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:59 pm to Duke
We're getting some pretty darn good winds here in Abbeville.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:01 pm to rds dc
A few things on visible, this ongoing round of storms has rotated upshear (to the west and now SW, however, shear is weaking), low level cloud deck to the SW is getting thicker (sign of a moistening environment), some developing feeder bands to the north and NE. One negative, low level clouds just to the east are very spars and no signs of developing feeder band (indicating dry air is still very near to the circulation).
ETA: The key this afternoon will be to see if the dry air to the east of the circulation rotates in and chokes off convection or if the ongoing convective burst can wrap around and close off a core.
ETA: The key this afternoon will be to see if the dry air to the east of the circulation rotates in and chokes off convection or if the ongoing convective burst can wrap around and close off a core.
This post was edited on 9/20/20 at 1:04 pm
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:02 pm to rds dc
quote:
(sign of a moistening environment)
sounds like a good Saturday night
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:03 pm to rt3
What’s Houston outlook? Just lots of rain?
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:06 pm to rds dc
FWIW I'm team dry air.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:06 pm to tonydtigr
quote:
Next up: Tropical Storm Jody
Then Tropical Storm Soyboy.
We already had Karen last year.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:07 pm to thadcastle
GFS is a biggun in the gulf 2 weeks out
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:09 pm to TigerNAtux
It is getting that "look".
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:21 pm to DawgCountry
quote:
GFS is a biggun in the gulf 2 weeks out
Got a screenshot?
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:21 pm to rds dc
Such an interesting progression/development with how it has coped with the shear. The persistence in firing convection and trying to rotate it upshear has been an interesting follow.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:23 pm to rt3
quote:
sounds like a good Saturday night
Not as fun as the "naked swirl", however.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:27 pm to LegendInMyMind
TIL:
Tropical Tidbits has an app. I had never seen it before, but it popped up on the screen, and I installed it. Pretty cool.
Tropical Tidbits has an app. I had never seen it before, but it popped up on the screen, and I installed it. Pretty cool.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:30 pm to LegendInMyMind
The Euro is still putting a lot of rain over SELA through Thursday. GFS is showing something similar. Get some enhanced convergence over the region and you get a rain band that kind of pulses in intensity and in exact location but just hangs over the region for days.
Then Beta is trying to cut off the dry air under a little blob of intense convection and make a somewhat improbable run toward hurricane...tropics are such fun.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:30 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Not as fun as the "naked swirl", however.
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