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re: Beta - Downgraded to TD - Now Short Break in Storms or Season Over?

Posted on 9/19/20 at 7:44 am to
Posted by mctiger1985
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
3695 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 7:44 am to
Really like the image on weather channel that starts this video comparing the path to the storm
[url=LINK ] [/url]
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
72875 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 7:47 am to
quote:

Starting to see the slowdown and veering to the left as forecast in the last few frames...
Back and to the left?



Nature imitating art imitating history...
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100548 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 7:58 am to
quote:

That would be pretty far NE of the NHC track


Outside of the cone? No way











Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100548 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:02 am to


Well ain’t that a cock sucking bitch
Posted by Clockwatcher68
Youngsville
Member since May 2006
7709 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:06 am to
quote:


Well ain’t that a cock sucking bitch



At this point, maybe the comet should just hit now instead of December 31st.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:12 am to
If that path holds true, at least it looks to be moving through the LC area pretty fast. So much uncertainty on this storm, though.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
11595 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:16 am to
quote:

Well ain’t that a cock sucking bitch


That track is not a cone.

It looks like one of Tom Brady’s deflated footballs.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:17 am to
Just let me know where ground zero is. I want to be there.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
11595 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:30 am to
I just checked the water levels in Terrebonne.

So far looking good. Winds are still coming out of the North.

You can check the levels at the levee district’s website: https://www.tlcd.org/mobile/.

The Bubba Dove Floodgate was still at 1 foot.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:39 am to
Sunrise over a naked swirl



Through 90hrs, the 06z HWRF and Euro are basically the same and take Beta inland to near Austin.

Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40009 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:41 am to
Oh Rummey will get rain!!
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:46 am to
And the 06z GFS

Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:47 am to
Will the rain stay inside the cone?
Posted by 3oliv3
Member since Aug 2016
753 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:48 am to
Based on the radar this morning these rainfall projections are way underestimated.
Posted by LSUlefty
Youngsville, LA
Member since Dec 2007
28276 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:51 am to
So much uncertainty
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32208 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Philip Klotzbach
@philklotzbach
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season has now generated 90 ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy). That’s more than the ACE generated in 34 full Atlantic #hurricane seasons since 1950. ACE is integrated metric accounting for intensity and duration of storms:
#Teddy #Wilfred #Beta
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:57 am to
The GFS is nuts.
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9479 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:58 am to
quote:



Download Google Earth

Type in Coordinates


Unless you have zero knowledge of 3rd grade southern US geography, that’s the way to go.

Here’s your one time example

.

Thank you Sir. I had tried that on Google Maps but it wouldn’t let me compute distance to a point in the middle of GOM. ( or more likely it was my lack of knowledge )

Google Earth made it easy. I’m going to start using it more than GoogleMaps.

I actually have a very good understanding of world geography. I got a world globe for Christmas when I was five. Spent many enjoyable hours spinning that thing. Then I would look up the place’s in our encyclopedias. I would do the same with National Geographic magazines. I have read every National Geographic that was printed.

I really enjoy having all the stuff at my fingertips on an iPad. Thanks again.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
72875 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 8:58 am to
quote:

quote:

Philip Klotzbach @philklotzbach The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season has now generated 90 ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy).

The 2020 Hurricane Season: Mother Nature Shows Her ACE Good
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4176 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 9:06 am to
GFS is on a bender. HWFR and HMON have been much better with these whacky storms this years. Euro and GFS not so much.
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