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re: Beta - Downgraded to TD - Now Short Break in Storms or Season Over?

Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:18 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:18 pm to
quote:

I thought that thing was moving southwest?


If you track it back to the disturbance from last week? It moved from the far eastern Gulf to south of Louisiana and then down into that area. I'm not sure if this will be remnants of that or just another homebrew system. It will be tricky setup.



The system looks to potentially be in the vicinity of the yellow circle in the 6-10 day range, if it forms. That could be an area of weak steering. Models are showing a ridge over the top and the Atlantic ridge nosing into the WCAB. Will there be any small disturbances under the northern ridge to lift a system out? Will the ridge in the WCAB be strong enough to push this into Mexico? For this time of year, climo is sort of a mixed bag with some systems coming out of the BOC and others getting pushed into Mexico.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43187 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:22 pm to
This year just needs to die.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

This year just needs to die.


Unfortunately, the pattern looks to support multiple October systems in the WCAB/Gulf. Climo does trend to those systems tracking towards Florida. It starts to get really hard to get systems to stay far enough west to impact Texas & Louisiana as we move into October.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:37 pm to
It figures we'd have an extremely active hurricane season in 2020.
Posted by Junky
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2005
9074 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:40 pm to
Like some poster mentioned a while back...

This thing is still look for, and determined to, find Grand Isle.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 8:41 pm
Posted by Rza32
Member since Nov 2008
4320 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:44 pm to
Are schools cancelled yet?
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5417 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:53 pm to
My only worry is that if this comes to fruition that with it being so far west that any trof coming though may pick it up and it could impact our area. Could also end up in Florida, but so far west depends on many situations. The models have been total shite with genesis so I won’t hold my breath until we have something.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 8:54 pm
Posted by Legion of Doom
Old Metry
Member since Jan 2018
5616 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:00 pm to
Well that thing can just eat a bag of dicks
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:32 pm to
Posted by lsufan4lifeMiles
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
746 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:34 pm to
What happens when we complete the Greek Alphabet with names storms this season? What alphabet is next!
Posted by jpggpj
Chair
Member since Oct 2005
4035 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:49 pm to
But the cone is so far off and the weather girl is so fine.

Oh and edited to add that why don’t we have school or damnit school should he cancelled.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 9:51 pm
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
26917 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 6:04 am to
Oh joy the chances went up
Posted by Armymann50
Playing with my
Member since Sep 2011
21956 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 6:12 am to
dis
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:19 am to
Looking at models the steering features look to be super weak for awhile now too. That thing is just going to sit around and become sentient by the time it hits land.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146395 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:19 am to
quote:

and the weather girl is so fine.

Posted by lsurulz1515
Member since Mar 2007
8003 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:26 am to
eta:frick 2020
This post was edited on 9/16/20 at 9:28 am
Posted by MsGarrison
Steele Town LOL
Member since Nov 2009
22387 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:28 am to
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30413 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:47 am to
quote:

May your track fall within the Cone all of your Days


Posted by Tbonepatron
Member since Aug 2013
8462 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:52 am to
Hurricane A - A - ron.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129442 posts
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:53 am to
quote:

It figures we'd have an extremely active hurricane season in 2020.


This was known before 2020 became a meme
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