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re: Beta - Downgraded to TD - Now Short Break in Storms or Season Over?
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:17 am to bayoubengals88
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:17 am to bayoubengals88
the reason Im asking is I'm supposed to be moving my camp and right now my camp is in a safe harbor dont want to move it if we have a storm coming this way
1
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:20 am to tgrbaitn08
I think it’s too early to tell, basically wait & see which is getting tiresome for everyone
Going to GI?
Going to GI?
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:26 am to WinnPtiger
quote:
my bet is somewhere between the mouth of the Rio Grande and Nova Scotia
With this screwball you still could.be wrong
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:27 am to LSUJML
quote:
I think it’s too early to tell, basically wait & see which is getting tiresome for everyone
Going to GI?
no this is my floating camp that we're taking down to the marsh to the duck and deer lease
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:28 am to tgrbaitn08
quote:
no this is my floating camp that we're taking down to the marsh to the duck and deer lease
Give it a week
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:32 am to Dire Wolf
quote:
Give it a week
thats what we're thinkin
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:35 am to rds dc
blocking high pressure systems show now be called "gandalf highs"
This post was edited on 9/17/20 at 9:38 am
Posted on 9/17/20 at 9:42 am to DVinBR
It's dry like white dog shite in south texas right now
This post was edited on 9/17/20 at 9:43 am
Posted on 9/17/20 at 10:19 am to Dire Wolf
Teddy looking stout this morning. Second major of the year.
Posted on 9/17/20 at 11:17 am to DVinBR
quote:
blocking high pressure systems show now be called "gandalf highs"
I like it.
Posted on 9/17/20 at 11:20 am to rds dc
The Temptations song "Ball of Confusion" comes to mind while looking at that...ball of confusion.
This post was edited on 9/17/20 at 12:34 pm
Posted on 9/17/20 at 11:33 am to GeauxTigers80
quote:
Seems to be the trend for NOLA lately. Models have the cone smack dab over southeast La.
This does seem to be a recent phenomenon at least, where a lot of early models show theoretical landfalls in the same general area in Louisiana.
Is there a technical reason for this, or is it just random? In the Sally thread yesterday, LegendInMyMind stated:
quote:
Nearly every commercial airliner you see flying has weather instrumentation on it. If they are flying, they are constantly gathering data. That data is fed into global models.
The travel bans and decline in commercial travel due to Covid has taken a considerable number of planes out of the air.
[...] global models are operating at a handicap, missing a considerable chunk of real time, important data that would be gathered by commercial airlines around the world.
Does a current lack of real-time data have something to do with it, or are the early models just not good at accounting for future troughs or other steering mechanisms, like rds illustrated?
Why do they lately seem to default to the same general area?
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:05 pm to paperwasp
Bump
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:31 pm to X123F45
Just don’t see how anyone even has a clue where this is going until Sunday
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:35 pm to paperwasp
quote:
Does a current lack of real-time data have something to do with it, or are the early models just not good at accounting for future troughs or other steering mechanisms, like rds illustrated?
This is another example of a messy system that is just now getting organized. The NHC may be doing itself a bit of disservice by putting out earlier long range tracks, particularly before a true center has formed or is fixed.
This post was edited on 9/17/20 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:43 pm to Duke
I wonder if they were looking for something in particular in the eye wall of Teddy?
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:43 pm to LegendInMyMind
Can we at least get some shear in the gulf to slow this thing down on development? By the time it hits land it would’ve been in the gulf almost 2 weeks. I mean Jesus how unlucky you gotta be for a system to sit in a single spot right by land for a week. This hurricane season fricking sucks. This coming right after Laura cripples SW LA and now Sally pissing on whoever she can. Worst yet it doesn’t even look like this season is close to slowing down soon.
This post was edited on 9/17/20 at 1:45 pm
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:45 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
I wonder if they were looking for something in particular in the eye wall of Teddy?
frickers are clearly joy flying.
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:46 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
This is another example of a messy system that is just now getting organized. The NHC may be doing itself a bit of disservice by putting out earlier long range tracks, particularly before a true center has formed or is fixed.
It’s all these models that become public long before they really mean much. Folks see lines heading in their direction and they start worrying.
Posted on 9/17/20 at 1:46 pm to Duke
RIP Bermuda
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