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re: 4/3 Corona Numbers - UPDATE

Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:41 am to
Posted by SoFla Tideroller
South Florida
Member since Apr 2010
41888 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:41 am to
And if we had tabulated deaths from earlier outbreaks to the same degree we have this "pandemic", how much out of line is the Chinese flu? Because 10 years ago if Aunt Mary had emphysema and caught a bug and died, chances are cause of death was attributed (rightly so) to emphysema. Now? If a decedent so much as read a headline with the words "Covid" or "coronavirus" in it the previous 30 days it's another death to the pandemic total. We are not talking apples to apples here when the death cultists throw out these numbers comparing this outbreak to earlier ones. There's already been numerous instances where deaths initially said to be Covid related weren't; and you're naive if you think those were isolated, anecdotal cases.
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:44 am to
quote:

It will peak in about 5-7 days


LA yes, USA:

This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 11:46 am
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86736 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:45 am to
Good thing this thread is about LA numbers then
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:47 am to
Do you think we'll have 2100 more deaths by April 16??
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:47 am to
quote:

salmon


you reply negatively to every thread regarding this.

is this is your way of dealing with the pandemic or something else?
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86736 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:48 am to
How are any of my replies negative?

Telling people to “get mad” and “ this won’t peak for weeks” is far more negative than anything I’ve typed in any of these threads
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 11:49 am
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Do you think we'll have 2100 more deaths by April 16??


no less...because we've had aggressive measures for the weeks leading up to that date
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:50 am to
quote:


no less...because we've had aggressive measures for the weeks leading up to that d


I'm hopeful that it's way less. I'm also hopeful that with the curve flattened, we'll be able to at least somewhat resume "normal".
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:51 am to
quote:


Telling people to “get mad” and “ this won’t peak for weeks” is far more negative than anything I’ve typed in any of these threads


my get mad comment was that people are getting impatient and becoming assholes on their posts

if Im wrong about your posts, my apologies

theres more than a few that feel like this is all bs and lets get back to normal when the infections havent even peaked yet.
Posted by HueyP
Lubbock
Member since Nov 2008
3155 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:52 am to
I’d guess at current rate of doubling 1200- 1600.
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:57 am to
quote:

There's already been numerous instances where deaths initially said to be Covid related weren't; and you're naive if you think those were isolated, anecdotal cases.


agree. deaths are actually lower in the US than expected based on other countries

Higher in Lousiana
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:58 am to
numbers in
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
10128 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 11:58 am to
quote:

I’m going with 10,300 cases and 350 deaths



10,297
370
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:00 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51639 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

quote:
I’m going with 10,300 cases and 350 deaths


10,297
370

So close!
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36806 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:01 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 12:04 pm
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:04 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/18/21 at 4:57 pm
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

quote:
get mad, but this shits happening and wont peak for a few weeks still



quote:
Update: 10,297 / 370






13% increase in cases

19% increase in deaths

funny
Posted by Fat Batman
Gotham City, NJ
Member since Oct 2019
1628 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Big jump yesterday.

10900 total cases / 350 deaths

get mad, but this shits happening and wont peak for a few weeks still


Wouldn't you expect a parabola to increase more on the y axis for less travel on the x as you get closer to the peak? i.e. more cases per day. So couldn't you argue a big jump doesn't necessarily mean that it won't "peak for a few weeks". What method are you using for your predictions other than hyperbole?
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
12017 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Posted by Message
lsutiger2010


actually i said at this rate and you pointed out it was doubling every 2 days not every one

but by all means go for with that story
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 12:08 pm
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