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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread

Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:11 am to
Posted by JS87
Member since Aug 2010
16697 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:11 am to
Too early to make a call.
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:14 am to
Based on that link yes. It's still along way out though anything can happen.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:14 am to


What the hell, I can play weatherman too





Posted by goldenbadger08
Sorting Out MSB BS Since 2011
Member since Oct 2011
37902 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:15 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:15 am to
quote:

omebody who knows help me out. But if I am reading this right, the GFS has a weak tropical system hitting just east of New Orleans in a week. Right?


way too early to put stock into one model run, there's no consistency with the GFS. Also the one you linked is the full res which doesn't do well with storms near land, which this run has passing over a ton of land.
Posted by LoneStarTiger
Lone Star State
Member since Aug 2004
15964 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:15 am to
quote:

The same trailer you were going to put me up in



No, I have a travel trailer for a camp now, I can just bring it with me
Posted by LSU1NSEC
Member since Sep 2007
17243 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:21 am to
looking at the google earth wind maps which uses GFS model information to forecast out a few days. I can see why some people think this has potential to get into the GOM. Just my unprofessional opinion.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:47 am to
OMG





OMG




OMG









OMG

OMG











OMG
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17692 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:56 am to
Damn, this thread has blown up since yesterday. All the meteorological insight is very interesting to me, except there seem to be way too many variables at this point to really focus on anything.
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 10:59 am to
God grant me the serenity
to accept the hurricanes I cannot change;

the courage to prepare for hurricanes best I can;

and the wisdom to know that only You know where these dang things are headed, and that You have not divinely revealed that to anyone on the OT.
This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 11:00 am
Posted by Kramer26
St. George, LA
Member since Jan 2005
6407 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 11:35 am to
This doesn't look good for Labor Day weekend.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41899 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 11:52 am to

Well that doesn't look good. All of them clustered together like that this early usually means there's a lot of certainty in the track.
Over the last few years, tropical forecasting has become much better. Unless something drastic changes in the atmosphere soon, it's likely to take a track very similar to this.


This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 11:55 am
Posted by 633tiger
Member since Jun 2007
1230 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:00 pm to
If it tracks over Cuba as a week system, shouldn't it break up pretty good?
This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 12:02 pm
Posted by LSU1NSEC
Member since Sep 2007
17243 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:04 pm to
wonder if hurricane hunters are going to investigate anytime soon
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41899 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

If it tracks over Cuba as a week system, shouldn't it break up pretty good?

If it goes over Cuba, we're good.
Posted by Last call
On the lake
Member since Oct 2012
992 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:10 pm to
Posted by saltybulldog
MS Gulf Coast
Member since Aug 2007
1144 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:10 pm to
Due to funding constraints and an increase in the internet community forecasting reliability, we of the hurricane hunters have decide to just use the OT forecast.

Prediction: Tropics staaaaaaacked. LSU game fuuuuucked
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

wonder if hurricane hunters are going to investigate anytime soon



It's pretty far out

quote:

Current Position: 10.7N, 55.0W
Geographical Reference: 450 miles east of Grenada


Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
25311 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:19 pm to
No expert but it really blew up in that last few radar images on the news
This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 12:20 pm
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:24 pm to
quote:


wonder if hurricane hunters are going to investigate anytime soon
they're going check it out tomorrow. two flights scheduled.
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