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Message
Saints +180 to beat Green Bay
Posted on 9/6/11 at 6:44 pm
Posted on 9/6/11 at 6:44 pm
Means if you bet $100 on the Saints to win and it hits, you win $180 (for a total return of $280).
Great value IMO. Mathematically speaking, if this bet hits 3 out of 10 times it's worth pulling the trigger on. I think all of us diehard Saints fans realize that we probably win this game 4 or even 5 times out of 10, making it a great value bet.
Anybody thinking about pulling the trigger? The LSU/Oregon game was a similar opportunity / value play and I am happy that I took the risk.
Great value IMO. Mathematically speaking, if this bet hits 3 out of 10 times it's worth pulling the trigger on. I think all of us diehard Saints fans realize that we probably win this game 4 or even 5 times out of 10, making it a great value bet.
Anybody thinking about pulling the trigger? The LSU/Oregon game was a similar opportunity / value play and I am happy that I took the risk.
5
Posted on 9/6/11 at 6:56 pm to AlejandroInHouston
I don't bet on the Saints to win or lose. I learned lesson some time ago.
But yeah, go for it
But yeah, go for it
Posted on 9/6/11 at 6:58 pm to AlejandroInHouston
Being in Green Bay makes this a disadvantage. I don't like to bet teams I support. Thank god this game isn't in December.
This post was edited on 9/6/11 at 7:00 pm
Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:00 pm to Brageous
yeah, I never have bet on the Saints or LSU(outside of sig bets and friendly wagers). Usually, I only bet on big games I have no real interest in.
Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:06 pm to saintsfan92612
The rationale I gave to my GF over the LSU bet (she didn't want me pissy on our vacation in California) was "Babe, I'm gonna be pissy no matter what if LSU loses.... so I might as well have money on it and be a little extra pissy."
Same goes for Saints.
Same goes for Saints.
Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:07 pm to AlejandroInHouston
home team is 6-0 since they started the kickoff game.
Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:08 pm to AlejandroInHouston
I guess if they're the underdog it's OK. I would just hate to be like "God DAMNIT we only won by 3 
"
"Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:09 pm to AlejandroInHouston
quote:
my GF
bullshite
Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:09 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
home team is 6-0 since they started the kickoff game
No team has ever lost the last 3 games of the season and won the superbowl
Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:10 pm to saintsfan92612
It's certainly a good value bet. Barring serious injuries, they won't be underdogs too often this year. It makes sense that GB would get a lot of action considering the way they finished last year and the early playoff exit for the Saints. And that'd be the case on a neutral field, which Lambeau clearly isn't.
Having said that, the Saints have been excellent on the road under Payton, the weather in GB should be good, and the Saints should have an advantage in preparation (since GB didn't bother to get together at all during the lockout). They also are one of only a handful of teams that have comparable firepower on offense and the running game could prove to be a decided advantage for the Saints. In short, I can see why the odds are where they're at, but this is essentially a toss-up and that makes +180 a nice line.
Having said that, the Saints have been excellent on the road under Payton, the weather in GB should be good, and the Saints should have an advantage in preparation (since GB didn't bother to get together at all during the lockout). They also are one of only a handful of teams that have comparable firepower on offense and the running game could prove to be a decided advantage for the Saints. In short, I can see why the odds are where they're at, but this is essentially a toss-up and that makes +180 a nice line.
Posted on 9/6/11 at 7:32 pm to saintsfan92612
quote:
No team has ever lost the last 3 games of the season and won the superbowl
which is totally irrelevant to this
do you bet on sports at all?
Posted on 9/6/11 at 8:12 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
which is totally irrelevant to this
I believe what he is saying is that shite happens.
The 6-0 record for home teams in the opening kickoff game have ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to do with this game.
See how that works?
This post was edited on 9/6/11 at 8:13 pm
Posted on 9/6/11 at 8:14 pm to AlejandroInHouston
Posted on 9/6/11 at 8:16 pm to Jamohn
Did Alejandro just figure out what MONEYLINE was?
And secondly your return is 180 not 280............
And secondly your return is 180 not 280............
This post was edited on 9/6/11 at 8:17 pm
Posted on 9/6/11 at 8:22 pm to L S Usetheforce
so only 80 dollars profit?
Posted on 9/6/11 at 8:29 pm to saintsfan92612
No if you RISK 100 bucks.........you can win 180 bucks...........YOUR return on investment is 180.............
Posted on 9/6/11 at 8:44 pm to L S Usetheforce
+180 wager 100 win 180
total profit 80 with 100 risked
-180 wager 180 to win 100
Total profit 100 with 180 risked
total profit 80 with 100 risked
-180 wager 180 to win 100
Total profit 100 with 180 risked
Posted on 9/6/11 at 8:46 pm to L S Usetheforce
What he means is that when it is all said and done you will have $280.
Posted on 9/6/11 at 9:15 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
home team is 6-0 since they started the kickoff game.
The home team never faced Drew Brees as its opponent.
ETA: Actually Indy did. oops. Hopefully Brees learned from that experience!
This post was edited on 9/6/11 at 9:18 pm
Posted on 9/6/11 at 9:29 pm to jembeurt
quote:
The 6-0 record for home teams in the opening kickoff game have ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to do with this game.
ehh, it kind of does. Home team won who just so happened to be the super bowl champs the year before every time.
Actually the defending SB champs are 7-0 in kickoff games, not 6-0.
Im not saying the Saints lose, but its not a game I am putting money on straight up.
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