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Message
re: Cowherd says Kellen Moore will not last four years in New Orleans
Posted on 2/12/25 at 6:42 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
Posted on 2/12/25 at 6:42 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
Nobody would last long in this disaster scenario.
This is why they couldn’t give the job away.
This is why they couldn’t give the job away.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 7:07 am to blueboxer1119
quote:
I can make it work numbers wise WITHOUT touching Carr this year.
2025 Current situation: -54mil cap space
2026 outlook: +58.6mil cap space
Moves:
Cam Jordan: Restructure +9mil
- This is his last year, give him his hoorah and move along. We'll have to eat dead cap, but this at least spaces it over time. There's more lost if we cut him. Accept reality.
Taysom Hill: Restructure +5.8mil
- Last year, last hoorah; move money back. Cutting him gets you nothing, post June 1st saves 10mil. This is the lesser of two evils I guess since he is still a solid scatback player.
Erik McCoy: Restructure +6.7mil
- He is your anchor, accept it and move onto the next problem.
Demario Davis: Restructure +5.6mil
- He is your franchise captain. Last year of his deal. Give him his hoorah as well, I don't want to keep him any longer than 1 year, cutting him does zero for you.
Cesar Ruiz: Restructure +6.4mil
- We need a better OL, but we're stupid to commit to him before this. Cutting him isn't an option til next year. This year: get a damn LG and figure his situation out in 2026.
Ryan Ramczyk: Post June 1 Retirement +1.25mil
- Accelerate the dead cap (11mil), but its time for him to retire and live a happy life. Knee issues for his life before he turned 30 last year is a devastating reality
Carl Granderson: Restructure +5.25mil
- He's a solid rotation. Not the worst. Not the best. Just solid enough that you keep him here.
Tyrann Mathieu: Restructure +4.5mil
- The trio of Jordan/Davis/Mathieu are necessary bodies at this point. All 3 of them are on their last legs, give them their sendoff this year because cutting them brings you nothing anyway. Loose replacements are not the way to go because we need cap space to be compliant. Bring in a young safety for him to help (just like a DE, LB for the other 2)
Pete Werner: Restructure +2.5mil
- easy, move along
Foster Moreau: Restructure +2.0mil
- This is one option, the other is to extend him. He's in his last year, but all 3 years he's been rather productive. Not the worst backup to have and help groom a true #1TE (its not juwan).
Nate Shepherd: Post June 1st Cut +5.3mil (1.7mil dead)
- Seriously this run game is ATROCIOUS and one of he or Saunders has to go. Picking him because he's older, more expensive, and worse.
Rashid Shaheed: Restructure +2.07mil
- Easy decision or give him an extension IMHO. Just see what we can do
Jamaal Williams: Post June 1st cut +3.15mil (700k dead)
- Goodbye
JT Gray: Restructure +1.23mil
- Easy decision for your ST ace
Cedrick Wilson Jr: Cut +2.4mil (1mil dead)
- Such a lackluster pickup, thought it'd be better...young guys need to step up
After all that: +9.3mil over the cap for 2025. Carr can be cut next year to save 32.8mil (with 28.7mil dead, but nonetheless...nothing past that).
This is your projected players before free agency:
Offense:
QB: Carr/Rattler/Haener/Hill
RB: Kamara/Miller/RB3/Hill
WR: Olave/Shaheed/Austin/Means/Mims/Tipton
TE: [TE Starter]/Moreau/Hill/Holker
T: Fuaga/Penning/[Missing backup]
G: [Left Guard Starter]/Ruiz/Saldiveri
C: McCoy/[Missing backup]
Defense:
DE: [Missing Starter]/Granderson/Jordan/Foskey/[Another body]
DT: Bresee/[Missing NT starter]/Saunders/Ridgeway/Boyd/[Another body]
LB: Davis/Werner/[3rd linebacker]/Ford/Jackson
CB: [#1 CB]/McKinstry/Taylor/[Another body]
S: Mathieu/Howden[Another body]
ST:
K: Grupe
P: Hayball
LS: Wood
Really gotta knock this draft out...
Also moving forward
2026: +61.9mil cap space
2027: +187.9mil cap space
No more restructuring. Or make it minimal. That's how we got in this situation to begin with. Hard reset.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 7:28 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
Cowherd is right
Posted on 2/12/25 at 8:18 am to chewstick
Thought y'all didn't listen to Cowherd?
Posted on 2/12/25 at 8:18 am to blueboxer1119
Cowherd also said Mike McDaniels would take over the AFC East.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 8:34 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
Moore will be given grace dt the position ML is putting him in. Good thing fans also realize we will be bad so that pressure is off. Let's support the guy and the players through this rebuild.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 8:36 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
Cowherd does what cowherd does. He doesn’t pay attention to small market teams much and admits it. He genuinely thinks small markets should act as talent feeders for big markets.
He hears a meme about a team he doesn’t follow (they are in cap hell) and then for dramatic purposes takes that opinion to its most extreme conclusion.
Yes, we are in serious cap trouble this year and possibly next. Yes I’m not a fan of Loomis.
But to project 4 years from now when we will be out of that situation and Carr will be long gone is absurd.
He hears a meme about a team he doesn’t follow (they are in cap hell) and then for dramatic purposes takes that opinion to its most extreme conclusion.
Yes, we are in serious cap trouble this year and possibly next. Yes I’m not a fan of Loomis.
But to project 4 years from now when we will be out of that situation and Carr will be long gone is absurd.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 8:37 am to Gifman
quote:
He's right. Kellen is a sacrificial lamb to get New Orleans through what's going to be a rough stretch of years due to cap issues.
They would have hired Rizzi if this was the case.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 8:45 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
quote:
the NFC, as we watched Philadelphia getting in the playoffs, the NFC's getting better really fast.
I don't really agree with this statement.
All Moore has to do is win the NFC South, which is very winnable every year, as there are no true elite QBs in the division.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 9:02 am to htran90
This is the way forward. The only thing I would change would be cut Carr and bring back Jameis to back up Rattler. Give Rattler a season to see what you have. If he ain't it, draft Nuss.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 9:49 am to TigerMan327
It will be 2-3 years before it's fixed unless Loomis tries to find "the missing piece" in FA and overspends on some FAs.
Per OTC, Saints have $58M in cap space in 2026 with about 30 players on the roster. Then you have about $15M for this year's rookie class leaving about $43M. Loomis also needs to park $54M from the 2025 cap somewhere, even if all of it can be spread over 5 years, that is another $11M now; then they have to move more money after the draft to sign this class and other FAs to fill the roster. If there is any cap room in 2026, that is because Loomis screwed the 2027-2029 cap with void years.
2027 will probably be the earliest we see cap relief (if Loomis doesn't go crazy in 2025 or 2026 FA). Only 12 players under contract in 2027 (McCoy, Ruiz, Granderson, Werner & Zach Wood only ones not on rookie deals), so if they don't get too crazy it will be a great time for a complete roster flip
Per OTC, Saints have $58M in cap space in 2026 with about 30 players on the roster. Then you have about $15M for this year's rookie class leaving about $43M. Loomis also needs to park $54M from the 2025 cap somewhere, even if all of it can be spread over 5 years, that is another $11M now; then they have to move more money after the draft to sign this class and other FAs to fill the roster. If there is any cap room in 2026, that is because Loomis screwed the 2027-2029 cap with void years.
2027 will probably be the earliest we see cap relief (if Loomis doesn't go crazy in 2025 or 2026 FA). Only 12 players under contract in 2027 (McCoy, Ruiz, Granderson, Werner & Zach Wood only ones not on rookie deals), so if they don't get too crazy it will be a great time for a complete roster flip
Posted on 2/12/25 at 10:50 am to Weekend Warrior79
I'm not a Cowherd hater by any means, but this is just Colin being Colin. This is the most basic of takes just so he can say he reported on the hiring of the coach.
We just have to determine are we at rock bottom, or is there still a ways to go. Maybe I'm a sunshine pumper, but with a horrible head coach against admittedly not great teams, before losing several vital pieces to injury, we were clicking like world beaters. My personal perspective is that it's less about us lacking talent and more about our GM made us top heavy and
when injuries decimated, our coach wasn't good enough to overcome or course correct. We had more systems problems than components problems. But hey...that's the NFL. Drew Brees in San Diego wasn't the Drew Brees we know. Tom Brady in Cleveland wouldn't be Tom Brady.
Fix the system, then everything else becomes more clear.
We just have to determine are we at rock bottom, or is there still a ways to go. Maybe I'm a sunshine pumper, but with a horrible head coach against admittedly not great teams, before losing several vital pieces to injury, we were clicking like world beaters. My personal perspective is that it's less about us lacking talent and more about our GM made us top heavy and
when injuries decimated, our coach wasn't good enough to overcome or course correct. We had more systems problems than components problems. But hey...that's the NFL. Drew Brees in San Diego wasn't the Drew Brees we know. Tom Brady in Cleveland wouldn't be Tom Brady.
Fix the system, then everything else becomes more clear.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 10:53 am to Sauce Castieaux
quote:
I'm kinda of the opinion we take whatever damage now rather than later. I know most think Carr is untradable but all the cap guys seem to think it's still the best path forward.
There are a few teams that need some more stable QB play that Carr may be able to help with. Indy and both NYs come to mind. May have to take on a portion of his salary to facilitate a trade but it's still better than nothing.
Carr can't be traded until May 12th when the official 2025 League year starts which means a trade of Carr does nothing to help the organization become cap compliant for 2025. The second issue is Carr's no trade clause. Personally, I'm in agreement that trading him is the best option but certain stipulations make this option very complex.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 11:09 am to carrguitar
quote:
our coach wasn't good enough to overcome or course correct
His record last year in games decided by 1 score was telling, 0-3 (0-2 against NFCS) in games decided by 1 score. Rizz then went 2-3 (1-1 against NFCS) in games decided by 1 score. Better coaching could have flipped that 2-6 record, which could* have been the deciding factor in making the playoffs.
*If they beat TB in W18, TB would have been 9-6 overall and 3-3 in NFCS. Saints would have been 9-6 (If they went 6-2 in 1 score games including flipping W18) and at least 3-3 in the NFCS with a shot of being 5-1 in NFCS.
**I do not believe this team had a slim shot of making any sort of noise in the playoffs, just commenting on how close this team can be to being respectable with better game day coaching
Posted on 2/12/25 at 11:12 am to BigBrod81
Trading him only shaves $11M from the cap, and a restructure/extension would go a lot further. But, "IF" he could be traded on 3/12; "could" it be coincided with the beginning of the new year and help with the cap figure, or would it have to occur after cap compliance is required?
Posted on 2/12/25 at 11:14 am to TheBeezer
Skip Bayless is has become an insufferable Scrooge.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 11:45 am to BigBrod81
quote:
The second issue is Carr's no trade clause. Personally, I'm in agreement that trading him is the best option but certain stipulations make this option very complex.
Yea, the first is the real issue. But I don't think you would have a tough time selling Carr on a new situation. I think for a team like the Jets who had initial interest he would waive it.
You could I guess work out the trade details and have everything worked out when that date hits. Make all your moves before hand and then make that your last.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 11:52 am to Weekend Warrior79
quote:
But, "IF" he could be traded on 3/12; "could" it be coincided with the beginning of the new year and help with the cap figure, or would it have to occur after cap compliance is required?
Pretty sure the Saints have to be cap compliant before midnight on March 11th where the date changes to March 12th. Free agency & the trading of players begins 4pm Eastern on March 12th.
2025 Important NFL Dates
Posted on 2/12/25 at 11:53 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
I wasn't optimistic about Moore's tenure until now. Cowherd is notoriously wrong most of the time.
Posted on 2/12/25 at 11:57 am to Mattgobear
quote:
No more restructuring. Or make it minimal. That's how we got in this situation to begin with. Hard reset.
I played with the numbers. For cap compliance, you have to. Just the nature of these contracts right now and how they're structured. We have to take a loan this year. Next year is a different story.
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