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tadelatt
LSU Fan
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
11314 posts

Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
Based on the hype, and that some analysis are projecting him to average 18 points, 8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game, what do you all actually think he will do in his first year?

For reference, since 1989, only 15 Rookies have averaged those numbers in their first season including Blake Griffin, Luka Doncic, Ben Simmons, Chris Paul, LeBron James, Grant Hill, Chris Webber, and Anfernee Hardaway.


Vanilla Ice
New Orleans Saints Fan
2019 Saints Talk Poster of the Year
Member since Apr 2013
4390 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
16, 8, 4

IMO


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01
Eman5805
LSU Fan
West Bank
Member since Nov 2010
4777 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
Far as numbers, I'm gonna go somewhere around 15/6/3/2(steals)

His personal impact will be greater than his numbers. I feel like the bulk of people just don't get how good a ball handler and defender he already is. He's not going to be asked to even guard other teams' best players. We have Lonzo, Jrue, and even Brandon Ingram for that. Zion will be the guy who gets to switch and aggressively swipe at passing lanes.

He can absolutely feast so long as health doesn't become an issue.

But I can see him having a lot of nights where he's in foul trouble or just isn't getting buckets, whereas I really, really, really feel like NAW has the potential to be a problem. He looked WAY more advanced than expected in summer league. And not in a "he's playing against scrubs" kinda advanced, I mean, he made passes and skilled moves no one except Jrue was pulling.


Sharp85
Member since Jan 2019
518 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
I think he will be 19 and 10 due to our fast pace. Rookie of the year and might sneak into all star game due to such a huge following.


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80
Terrific Tales
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2019
6462 posts
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re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
I think particularly in this fast paced offense he maybe could push 18/19 PPG.


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brmark70816
LSU Fan
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
5205 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
I think he will be at about 14/8/2 at around 28mpg. Lots of highlight dunks and spectacular plays. But they will hold him back a bit and limit his minutes/touches..


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SLafourche07
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Feb 2008
6165 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
22/10


Suntiger
USA Fan
BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
26982 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
I don’t know if the numbers will be all that high because they don’t need to be. Jrue, Favors and Redick are veterans who can do their own damage. Ball and Ingram are young vets who need to have their own breakout seasons. I think Zion will be brought along a little slowly and will have highlight plays but not all star numbers. Probably a 12/5/5 type season is what’s in store IMO.

My hope is he starts coming on at the end of the season showing that he’s starting to learn the NBA game and tricks of the trade.


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BigPerm30
Chicago Cubs Fan
Member since Aug 2011
12988 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
26/14 if I’m being honest with myself.


MrJimBeam
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Apr 2009
2643 posts
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re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
quote:

26/14 if I’m being honest with myself.





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Epic Cajun
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
19425 posts
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re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
quote:

18 points, 8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game
I think this is about right. He's going to get a lot of hustle points, IMO. Transition, offensive rebounds, and free throws will be his "easy" points. I don't know how many offensive sets they are going to run for him, but that shouldn't really matter because he'll score a good amount of points from "easy" points.


FMtTXtiger
Member since Oct 2018
356 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
15P 7R 3A 2 steals


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00
dagrippa
LSU Fan
Saigon
Member since Nov 2004
8250 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
there are a lot of options on this team...i think hes under with points but over on rebs


50_Tiger
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
25621 posts
 Online 

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
quote:

26/14 if I’m being honest with myself.



100%

LETs

frickING

RIDEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE




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southsidedell
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Tampa, FL
Member since Dec 2016
393 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
22 point a game? Yo i wanna know where these 22 points is coming from. Cuz it isn't gonna be all that from dunks....and it takes more than one year to develop a consistent jumper if you don't have one and he don't have one.15 a game. Other phases of his game will be great.


SLafourche07
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Feb 2008
6165 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
quote:

Cuz it isn't gonna be all that from dunks



Of course not.


Dunks, put backs, transition (may be a dunk), occasional 3 pointers, free throws.

How else do people score points?

quote:

and it takes more than one year to develop a consistent jumper if you don't have one and he don't have one.



I think people are falling into the same trap that occurred AD's rookie year. AD didn't have a jump shot either. But guess what? He actually did, he just didn't need to display it often in college. If you're that physically dominant over everyone why settle for a jump shot when you can get to the rim at will?


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60
SLafourche07
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Feb 2008
6165 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
quote:

there are a lot of options on this team



But I think this helps him.

With AD there was no one else.

With Zion there are a ton of options to draw defenders away from him, AND we're supposed to be running the fastest pace ever so there will be points to go around.


ETA: AD was 13/8 playing 29/mpg.
If you compare Zion more to Blake Griffin 22/12 38/mpg, I think that's more likely with probably a few less minutes because we're so deep.
This post was edited on 8/14 at 12:05 pm


htran90
New Orleans Saints Fan
BC
Member since Dec 2012
24274 posts
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re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
quote:

ETA: AD was 13/8 playing 29/mpg.
If you compare Zion more to Blake Griffin 22/12 38/mpg, I think that's more likely with probably a few less minutes because we're so deep.


We also played at the 29th rated pace for AD.

The hard #s will be there for zion if we're gonna play at a top 5 pace


Epic Cajun
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
19425 posts
 Online 

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
quote:

We also played at the 29th rated pace for AD.

The hard #s will be there for zion if we're gonna play at a top 5 pace
Right, last season the Pelicans averaged 106.8 possessions per game. If the Hornets played at that pace his rookie season, and he played the same amount of minutes and kept the same efficiency he would've scored ~16 points per game.

I don't see Zion scoring less than AD in his rookie season.


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20
A Menace to Sobriety
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Jun 2018
5541 posts

re: Honest Opinion on Zion's Rookie Year
I think OP hit the nail on the head. I think he averages 18/8/4. I could see him getting more points too.


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