Started By
Message

re: 2023 Pels NBA Draft Discussion

Posted on 4/24/23 at 4:23 pm to
Posted by Mulkey Man
Member since Apr 2021
19403 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

Reminds me of D'angelo Russell


That's not an endorsement.
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
3123 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

That's not an endorsement.


Russell is a solid player and you would be happy if a 14th pick turned out as good as him. We picked Kira fricking Lewis 13th. I’d sure as hell be happy with D’Angelo Russell at 14
Posted by DLBalla
Member since Jul 2018
171 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:17 pm to
I think the Pels' realistic starting, rim-protecting Center trade wish list (using JV + picks) goes something like:

Turner, Capela, Gafford, Poetl, WCJ

or if they want a discount starting C to free up $ and assets for other positions (shooter), they could try to get:

Hartenstein, Zach Collins

Back to the draft, this dude Bilal Coulibaly is a sleeper-pick whose stock is rising. Coulibaly Highlights
I'd take him at #14, but I could see ORL, OKC, or TOR taking him right before us at #11-13.
Posted by six4lsu
Member since Sep 2009
244 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:45 pm to
I like Bilal Coulibaly's highlights, but there is nowhere for him to play.

You need a shot blocker and 3 point shooting to space the floor.
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
3123 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 11:06 pm to
quote:

I like Bilal Coulibaly's highlights, but there is nowhere for him to play.

You need a shot blocker and 3 point shooting to space the floor.


Agree i like coulibaly a lot but who's minutes does he take? Naji's? does that solve a lot for us?
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
30109 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 11:12 pm to
Right now, minutes that seem obtainable:
2nd PF/C backup (1st or 2nd off the bench)
3rd SF (2nd off the bench)
4th guard (2nd off the bench)
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
3123 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 11:25 pm to
quote:


2023 Pels NBA Draft Discussion
Right now, minutes that seem obtainable:
2nd PF/C backup (1st or 2nd off the bench)
3rd SF (2nd off the bench)
4th guard (2nd off the bench)


I agree, but a PF/C looks like a reach at 14 for this draft, like someone else said, i would love to trade back with the nets for 21 and 22
and take a C and a SF
Posted by six4lsu
Member since Sep 2009
244 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 11:50 pm to
Think about this... there is a very good chance that next year Wemby is in you Conference/ division. Imo that raises the value of a guy like Lively (also he is projected right around 14 in all the mocks). Lively is an elite shot blocker and a can move his feet really well for a guy 7'-1". He is pretty much just a lob guy on offense....but he shot a lot of 3's in hs. That is a big reason he was such a highly rated recruit. Something in his release got jacked up at Duke. He started catapulting the ball.

Anyway his player comp is Capela and he is way cheaper.
This post was edited on 4/24/23 at 11:53 pm
Posted by six4lsu
Member since Sep 2009
244 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 11:58 pm to
Also, we saw the impact Walker Kessler made last year and Lively has a 4" longer wingspan(7'-8" to 7'-4") & is a better athlete than Walker.
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
30109 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 12:06 am to
You take him and hope he becomes that early on 15-20MPG backup center.

At deadline, you either live and die with JV or you trade him for something else
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
3123 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 12:23 am to
quote:

You take him and hope he becomes that early on 15-20MPG backup center. At deadline, you either live and die with JV or you trade him for something else


Yeah I’d rather do that than trade JV + 14 for someone like capela. Capela is decent but damn if that’s what it costs to get a center like him then I’m out. He’s not a difference maker, he’s a slightly better JV at best. If I’m giving up assets like that I better be getting back someone who can shoot 3s like turner. What makes capela all that different than Adams when we acquired him?
This post was edited on 4/25/23 at 12:24 am
Posted by DLBalla
Member since Jul 2018
171 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 12:32 am to
Coulibaly is 18 y/o. You draft for huge upside potential. Imagine if the Bucks said, 'We already have Larry Sanders and John Henson in the frontcourt. Why would we draft this raw Giannis guy who plays the same position?'

But yea, I agree with others that Lively looks like a sensible pick. But no matter who the pick is (unless top 4), any rookie picked at 14 won't get many minutes next season. Even at a position of need like Lively at C. Coach Green doesn't play rookies much unless he absolutely has to.

Guru McNammara was convinced that the Pels will trade the pick on draft night for a veteran. Which makes sense with Murphy and Daniels already developing and the team needing high basketball IQ veteran players.
Posted by DLBalla
Member since Jul 2018
171 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 12:38 am to
Yea would be much better to use a future protected pick (2024 NOP 1st or 2027 MIL 1st) to upgrade at C. But like it or not, Capela is still one of the better rim-protecting / lob-threat Centers and much more mobile than Adams or JV in switching onto perimeter players.

I'd like to see trading for a cheaper option at Center like Hartenstein, then have extra lux tax room to add in a vet shooter like Bojan or Hield. But sure seems like a new starting, veteran Center will be prioritized this offseason, and it will likely cost some pick assets to acquire.
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
3123 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 10:01 am to
quote:

ea would be much better to use a future protected pick (2024 NOP 1st or 2027 MIL 1st) to upgrade at C. But like it or not, Capela is still one of the better rim-protecting / lob-threat Centers and much more mobile than Adams or JV in switching onto perimeter players.



I agree, draft someone at 14 this draft and trade a 24' or 25' pick to upgrade. The 24 and 25 drafts are supposed to be very weak. I would take a guy like lively and keep JV till the deadline then use his salary and kira's plus a pick or two to go get an upgrade somewhere
Posted by Baron
Member since Dec 2014
1645 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

Yea would be much better to use a future protected pick (2024 NOP 1st or 2027 MIL 1st) to upgrade at C. But like it or not, Capela is still one of the better rim-protecting / lob-threat Centers and much more mobile than Adams or JV in switching onto perimeter players.


I’m not sure when this Capela news started, but I am not sure how he happens with his salary. (This applies to Turner too since they make similar amounts).

First, to get him we could get to matching salary with JV and a smaller contract like Billy or Naji, but with how close we are to the tax line, we would most likely have to include Kira/GT. That also means most likely having to renounce Jax and Richardson, which isn’t a huge issue but it would prevent us from getting any value from Jax in a sign and trade (if any exists).

We would then still be extremely limited in what we can do to round out the roster as we are still pushing up close to the tax. If we keep our 1st this year (which I hope we do) then we essentially have less than the full MLE to try and get at least one back up big and more shooting.

Then we run into a bigger problem next year because Capela is still owed $21 and $22 mill the next two years, where as JV is an expiring this year. With our current salary on the books plus Capela’s $22 mill, we are basically capped out and we still need to resign Herb that year, then Trey and Jose the following year. We would have their Bird rights, but again we are extremely limited in what we can do. That probably means either letting Capela walk or hoping he takes a discounted extension.

To me, if we are dead set on Capela, this is probably the best case, realistic scenario for us:
-Trade JV, Kira, future protected first for Capela
-Renounce Jax
-Cut GT
-sign Liddell to roster
-Draft Lively
-Sign cheap stretch big with part of MLE (Niang/Miles Leonard/Lyles).
-Sign cheap shooting with part of MLE (Watanabe).

If we are convinced that we have to make the move for a new C, I’d rather just bite the bullet and go get Turner rather than Capela.

If we go cheap on a new big and keep JV, I’d like to try and pull a defensive first big like Paul Reed from the 76ers. They are already a tax team and will probably prioritize resigning Shake Milton over Reed.

Long post short: if we get Capela, this is basically the team you are rolling with.
Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
10381 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 12:53 pm to
Cheapest and most viable way to get rim protection is by drafting Lively. You get to keep JV for another year and slowly phase him out while working Lively into the rotation the same way Utah did with Kessler. When the transition is completed, you trade JV at the deadline or let him walk after the season.

Shooting can be had for cheap. We don't need a regular rotation shooter. We just need a vet who can absolutely shoot it and use him strategically when we need to insert him into the lineup for spacing. At the end of the day, the top 8 guys are pretty much set in the rotation. And the path to playing time is probably at center where JV's minutes are continually reduced as the season progresses.
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
3123 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

I’m not sure when this Capela news started, but I am not sure how he happens with his salary. (This applies to Turner too since they make similar amounts).

First, to get him we could get to matching salary with JV and a smaller contract like Billy or Naji, but with how close we are to the tax line, we would most likely have to include Kira/GT. That also means most likely having to renounce Jax and Richardson, which isn’t a huge issue but it would prevent us from getting any value from Jax in a sign and trade (if any exists).

We would then still be extremely limited in what we can do to round out the roster as we are still pushing up close to the tax. If we keep our 1st this year (which I hope we do) then we essentially have less than the full MLE to try and get at least one back up big and more shooting.

Then we run into a bigger problem next year because Capela is still owed $21 and $22 mill the next two years, where as JV is an expiring this year. With our current salary on the books plus Capela’s $22 mill, we are basically capped out and we still need to resign Herb that year, then Trey and Jose the following year. We would have their Bird rights, but again we are extremely limited in what we can do. That probably means either letting Capela walk or hoping he takes a discounted extension.

To me, if we are dead set on Capela, this is probably the best case, realistic scenario for us:
-Trade JV, Kira, future protected first for Capela
-Renounce Jax
-Cut GT
-sign Liddell to roster
-Draft Lively
-Sign cheap stretch big with part of MLE (Niang/Miles Leonard/Lyles).
-Sign cheap shooting with part of MLE (Watanabe).

If we are convinced that we have to make the move for a new C, I’d rather just bite the bullet and go get Turner rather than Capela.

If we go cheap on a new big and keep JV, I’d like to try and pull a defensive first big like Paul Reed from the 76ers. They are already a tax team and will probably prioritize resigning Shake Milton over Reed.

Long post short: if we get Capela, this is basically the team you are rolling with.


Its wild the amount of assets that Griff has blown on the center position. 8th pick(jax), 2 2nds (favors), Kenny hustle + a 1st + 2nds (adams) + whatever we spent on JV. Now its year 5 of griff and he's probably going to blow even more assets on the position.
Posted by Giantkiller
the internet.
Member since Sep 2007
20302 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 1:46 pm to
Trade the pick for cash and then go give it to some shaman somewhere who can pray for Zion to stop eating.
Posted by six4lsu
Member since Sep 2009
244 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Cheapest and most viable way to get rim protection is by drafting Lively. You get to keep JV for another year and slowly phase him out while working Lively into the rotation the same way Utah did with Kessler. When the transition is completed, you trade JV at the deadline or let him walk after the season. Shooting can be had for cheap. We don't need a regular rotation shooter. We just need a vet who can absolutely shoot it and use him strategically when we need to insert him into the lineup for spacing. At the end of the day, the top 8 guys are pretty much set in the rotation. And the path to playing time is probably at center where JV's minutes are continually reduced as the season progresses



Exactly, JV is an expiring contract... you will need his slot to extend Trey and Herb. Capela or any longterm expensive pieces at center is going to cost you Herb or Trey. You can't pay them all.
Posted by PelsRoe318
Member since Apr 2023
34 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 3:47 pm to
I think the pick at 14 should be either Jordan Hawkins or Maxwell Lewis. We haven't had a movement shooter since JJ Reddick so Hawkins could fit that role.

We also could take Maxwell. He's been compared to a shorter Trey Murphy (6'7") except with shot creation and I don't think you can have too many 3 and D wings. Defense is definitely suspect but I believe we have one of the best defensive coordinators in the league along with the fact Maxwell had to be the offensive engine at Pepperdine.

He could definitely learn from Herb and Murphy since defense is mostly a team aspect and Murphy wasn't exactly a decent defensive player when he entered the league.

Maxwell Lewis Scouting Report Youtube

https://nbadraftroom.com/maxwell-lewis/
This post was edited on 4/25/23 at 3:57 pm
first pageprev pagePage 3 of 7Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram