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$200 Million ‘Joker’ Sequel Is a Box Office Bust - Update in OP, lower than expected $37M

Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:55 pm
Posted by Major Dutch Schaefer
Location: Classified
Member since Nov 2011
39006 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:55 pm
LINK

quote:

The opening weekend of “Joker: Folie à Deux” was nothing to sing about.

The highly anticipated musical sequel to the 2019 hit “Joker” from Warner Bros.’s movie studio delivered just $40 million at the domestic box office in its opening weekend. That performance fell short of already modest industry projections that it would gross between $50 million and $60 million.

Its box-office sales are a far cry from the original’s nearly $100 million opening. The first installment went on to gross more than $1 billion globally.

With a production budget in the $200 million range—more than three times what the original cost—“Joker: Folie à Deux” is looking like a critical and financial disappointment for Warner Bros. Discovery. That figure doesn’t include the tens of millions spent on marketing.

“The movie didn’t land with audiences the way we wanted it to,” said Jeff Goldstein, Warner Bros.’s president of domestic distribution.



UPDATE


‘Joker: Folie à Deux’ Lower In Opening With $37M+ After ‘D’ CinemaScore – Box Office

quote:

The opening for Warner Bros‘ Joker: Folie a Deux was even lower at $37.8M this weekend versus the $40M that the studio reported yesterday morning. Sunday came in at $6.2M, -45% off Saturday’s $11.3M. The movie cost $190M+ before P&A.

Overseas was better as we told you yesterday with a $81.1M take, however, just like domestic, prospects aren’t bright. More on what went wrong with this film under the David Zaslav led Warner Bros. Discovery conglom here. As we told you, the studio gave filmmaker Todd Phillips to make the movie he wanted, but at a much higher greenlight price of $190M+, a that’s 171% above the original 2019 movie’s $70M, which had two co-financiers, Village Roadshow and the then Bron. Joker 2 only had one co-fi partner, Domain at 25%.
This post was edited on 10/7/24 at 1:10 pm
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71135 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:59 pm to
I'm not surprised. It's a movie no one asked for nor wanted.
Posted by MemphisGuy
Germantown, TN
Member since Nov 2023
14654 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

I'm not surprised. It's a movie no one asked for nor wanted.


And it just looks stupid. Ridiculously stupid.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60082 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

The movie didn’t land with audiences the way we wanted it to,” said Jeff Goldstein, Warner Bros.’s president of domestic distribution


Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
70574 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:22 pm to
WB should change its name to Hold My Beer
Posted by StansberryRules
Member since Aug 2024
5180 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:28 pm to
Word of mouth is also going to destroy it. Gonna drop like a stone next week.
Posted by Kinderman
Member since Oct 2023
1506 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:36 pm to
A few box office guys on Twitter saying the actual numbers may actually fall into the 30s. It would fall under Morbius’s opening weekend if so.

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This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 1:38 pm
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60082 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:42 pm to
Actuals will be 37-38 mil
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
14798 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

With a production budget in the $200 million range


I don’t see how they spent this much. Phoenix got $20m. Gaga got $12m. There’s no way you need $168m for an asylum and a courtroom.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60082 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:02 pm to
Phillips has said it's bullshite, so we have to wait and see who's telling the truth
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
77116 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

I'm not surprised. It's a movie no one asked for nor wanted.
I think saying nobody wanted it is a bit off but the moment they announced it was a fricking musical it cut any interest fans of the original had in half. Just a colossal frick up. It’s like someone had their heart set on Lady Gaga playing Harley Quinn and she would only come on if it was a musical. So they did it.
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
14798 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

Actuals will be 37-38 mil


And estimated around $120m worldwide. For a movie this divisive and poorly reviewed, it still made more drastically underperforming in its opening weekend than Civil War did in its entire theatrical run. Civil War is A24’s second highest grossing movie ever after EEAAO. This is why the big studios don’t want to take risks with new IP.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71135 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:32 pm to
Civil War also cost only $50 million to make and ended up being a mediocre film with poor word of mouth. Had the audience actually enjoyed it word of mouth likely would have allowed it to make more cash. But with movie tickets being so expensive these days, no one wants to pay $12 a pop to see a bad movie.

They'll wait for streaming and save money.
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 2:33 pm
Posted by Bama Bird
Pittsburgh, PA
Member since Mar 2013
22847 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:43 pm to
People already didn't want a sequel, and then they went and made a retarded sequel. No one has any interest in this... I'm legitimately confused who the market for this film is
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
14798 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Civil War also cost only $50 million to make and ended up being a mediocre film with poor word of mouth. Had the audience actually enjoyed it word of mouth likely would have allowed it to make more cash.


A24’s highest grossing movie, Everything Everywhere, only made $144m worldwide and it won Best Picture. Joker will have that beat by next weekend. Unless a big studio can get Nolan, there is no incentive to risk telling a new story when rehashing old IP has such a high floor, even when the audience knows for a month that it’s going to be complete arse. Until the big studios can get their accounting under control, the top 20 highest grossing are all going to be sequels or reboots unless it’s a Nolan year. With Disney paying $200m just to get RDJ and the Russos back, I don’t see this getting fixed any time soon.
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 3:14 pm
Posted by sqerty
AP
Member since May 2022
8458 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:45 pm to
They didnt, hollywood accounting.

If they really did, I would love to see an actual itemized breakdown.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71135 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

Everything Everywhere, only made $144m worldwide and it won Best Picture.


It also only cost around $20 million to make. Therefore movies like that don't require much to turn a profit. Joker 2 needs to make at least $400 million just to break even on its $200 million budget.

This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 3:51 pm
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
47053 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 4:01 pm to
This was such an unforced error. They never intended for there to be a sequel. This is looking more like self-destructive behavior on the part of the studios, it makes no sense. What the hell were they even thinking?

If I didn’t know better, I would say they went out of their way to throw away a bunch of money so people could just do something and get paid while also unraveling the success of the first movie.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95622 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

Joker 2 needs to make at least $400 million just to break even on its $200 million budget.


There's no way to make a profit on a $200m production with $400m worldwide receipts. The entire marketing spend would be a loss in that case.

Spend $200m? You need about $500m in receipts to get back to zero and then you can talk about profit.

This is simplistic as it does not factor in things like secondary market (which streaming has neutered and especially for a movie that is no particularly popular), merch, etc., of which this film will have little.

Simplistic but still fairly accurate.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95622 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

This was such an unforced error. They never intended for there to be a sequel. This is looking more like self-destructive behavior on the part of the studios, it makes no sense. What the hell were they even thinking?


I like the "meta" nature of it a METAphor if you will - it is sort of like the Joker character from the first film was the director of the sequel. And instead of seeing it as a steaming turd, he thinks he made the new Citizen Kane or 2001.

#Meta
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