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re: What percentage chance would you give Tiger to beat the Nicklaus record?
Posted on 3/11/18 at 2:29 pm to cypressbrake3
Posted on 3/11/18 at 2:29 pm to cypressbrake3
quote:
would say a little higher, maybe 10-15%.
10-15% to win five more? Hell no. 5 majors by themselves make for a VERY successful career.
10-15% is what I'd give a guy like Spieth to win five more, and even that might be high
1
Posted on 3/11/18 at 2:54 pm to castorinho
If anyone can do it, it’s Tiger. Most people don’t want it to happen though. Me, I can’t wait until it happens.
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:00 pm to cypressbrake3
Under 10%. I will say 75% chance he wins another major.
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:01 pm to cypressbrake3
0 %
Age has just caught up with him. He may put together another major, possibly two if the stars align correctly.
How many majors have been won by 40+ year olds combined?
Age has just caught up with him. He may put together another major, possibly two if the stars align correctly.
How many majors have been won by 40+ year olds combined?
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:01 pm to cypressbrake3
Can he win a tournament first ?
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:07 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
How many majors have been won by 40+ year olds combined?
I googled it Looks like the 10 oldest are all 43+, Woods is 42 now. The most recent was Hale Irwin in 1990. 1 was from 1867 and 2 others before 1921, so pretty rare for someone his age win 1 let alone 5.
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:10 pm to cypressbrake3
1%
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:23 pm to cypressbrake3
Zero
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:26 pm to rolltide32
After the age of 41 or older 22 players have won a major. No repeat winners since some old Britt in the 1800's. That's a big sample. So zero
This post was edited on 3/11/18 at 3:27 pm
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:28 pm to cypressbrake3
quote:
I think you would lose your shirt on that one.
He'll win another major.
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:30 pm to cypressbrake3
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/9/20 at 4:24 pm
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:37 pm to cypressbrake3
I want him to break the record but think he will win 2 more and come up short.
Win One- 85%
Pass Nicklaus- 15%
Win One- 85%
Pass Nicklaus- 15%
This post was edited on 3/11/18 at 3:39 pm
Posted on 3/11/18 at 3:54 pm to Pelican fan99
quote:
3%
way too high
Posted on 3/11/18 at 4:18 pm to moneyg
I don't see him getting more than 15 or 16 total. There are two things that will keep him from catching Nicklaus (besides his health and injury proneness).
1. Today's top golfers (Spieth, Johnson, McIroy, Thomas, etc.) will not shite their pants at the first sign of Tiger on the leader board. Tiger won't have the intimidation factor he had from 2000 to 2008.
2. The depth on tour is much deeper than in Tiger's hey day. When Tiger was in his prime only Mickelson, Els, Singh, and (for a short time) Duval could reach his level. Today you have Spieth, McIroy, Johnson, Thomas, Day (when healthy), Muriyama, Fowler, Stenson, Rose and Rahm just for starters.
1. Today's top golfers (Spieth, Johnson, McIroy, Thomas, etc.) will not shite their pants at the first sign of Tiger on the leader board. Tiger won't have the intimidation factor he had from 2000 to 2008.
2. The depth on tour is much deeper than in Tiger's hey day. When Tiger was in his prime only Mickelson, Els, Singh, and (for a short time) Duval could reach his level. Today you have Spieth, McIroy, Johnson, Thomas, Day (when healthy), Muriyama, Fowler, Stenson, Rose and Rahm just for starters.
Posted on 3/11/18 at 4:25 pm to cypressbrake3
Bigger chance that his next wife hits him with a short iron as he tries to explain the side piece stalking him..
Posted on 3/11/18 at 4:37 pm to cypressbrake3
If he can play at a similar level as Jack until he is 50 he still could fail to win even one.
47 yr old Mickleson has several top 10s this year.
Furyk might hold his game together for 4 rounds. He can.look like the 2nd coming of Ben Hogan for 68 holes. Maybe he gets up so far he can put one in the woods and win anyway.
Speith might get his A game back.
Tiger is not the only major winner with another major in his sights without being delusional.
Rose and Garcia finally won one.
Thomas will be there.
The competition is fabulous.
47 yr old Mickleson has several top 10s this year.
Furyk might hold his game together for 4 rounds. He can.look like the 2nd coming of Ben Hogan for 68 holes. Maybe he gets up so far he can put one in the woods and win anyway.
Speith might get his A game back.
Tiger is not the only major winner with another major in his sights without being delusional.
Rose and Garcia finally won one.
Thomas will be there.
The competition is fabulous.
Posted on 3/11/18 at 5:47 pm to cypressbrake3
5% to win even one major. Less than one percent to break the record.
Posted on 3/11/18 at 5:48 pm to cypressbrake3
Less than 0
Posted on 3/11/18 at 5:55 pm to cypressbrake3
Better than most
Posted on 3/11/18 at 6:19 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
0 %
Age has just caught up with him. He may put together another major, possibly two if the stars align correctly.
How many majors have been won by 40+ year olds combined?
would venture to guess it's at least 20 or so ... nicklaus won 2 in 1980 after his "comeback", so it's not farfetched to think tiger could win 5 more ... he's in better shape than jack was and has a short game jack never had ... his back is the only question ... always has been ...
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