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Started By
Message
re: UF -6.5 @ A&M
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:43 am to Corporal Beavis
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:43 am to Corporal Beavis
Florida gives up points but which Mond shows up? Mond the absolutely terrible or Mond the half arse qb?
0
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:50 am to BananaHammock
A & M has nobody that can cover Pitts..... and if they try to double him it opens up way more options for Trask..... and Mond is NOT a leader and Jimbo looked confused all day Saturday.....
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:52 am to Corporal Beavis
I want to believe but UF's defense is pretty suspect
Posted on 10/5/20 at 1:04 pm to Jorts R Us
Vegas Insiders keep thinking the light bulb will come on with Mond, not understanding that it's either not plugged in or already shattered.
He is pumped up constantly by talking heads when it is clear to anyone that cares that he is TERRIBLE.
He is pumped up constantly by talking heads when it is clear to anyone that cares that he is TERRIBLE.
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 1:05 pm
Posted on 10/5/20 at 1:16 pm to Corporal Beavis
Florida -6/-7 Seems too easy...my gut tells me Florida wins by 10+
which makes me think A&M will keep it very close and/or win
which makes me think A&M will keep it very close and/or win
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 1:17 pm
Posted on 10/5/20 at 2:21 pm to Corporal Beavis
Sucker line... wouldn’t touch that one
Posted on 10/7/20 at 9:16 am to boXerrumble
quote:
You point out that A&M hasn't covered in their 2 games, then UF has, then say you like A&M
When a team goes 3-0 ATS you bet against them. When 0-3 ATS, you bet with them.
Line hasn’t moved from 6.5-7. If the line goes way up Fri night I’ll change my mind. But right now it’s A&M+points.
I don’t like endorsing or promoting gambling, but Aggies is the play unless that line shoots up on Fri night. Could be minimal line change. Lot of bettors on FL, but the money with A&M. That’s my take. Could be wrong, but I would think the advantage is ~65-70% on the home dog covering.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 9:51 am to Arthur Bach
We are not good enough to salt a game away with the lead in either of our games against Ole Miss or Carolina, so even if we do get a lead it won't last for too long. Both of our games the other team was knocking on the door in the 4th quarter to get it to one score after having 3+ TD leads in the 2nd half. We look like the Dan Marino years with the Dolphins. We have to out score you with the passing game and our QB is a statue.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:00 am to DaBeerz
The flip side to taking the obvious bet is trying to get too cute and overthink it.
I'll stick with the obvious bet.
I'll stick with the obvious bet.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:43 am to bigDgator
Trask is a statue?
You don't watch our games do you?
You don't watch our games do you?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:05 am to Arthur Bach
quote:
Line hasn’t moved from 6.5-7. If the line goes way up Fri night I’ll change my mind. But right now it’s A&M+points.
I get what your saying in the first part. But here your saying that if the line sways FL way to FL -8 or something you may go with Florida?
Florida will likely score at will like Bama did. Can A&M keep up? I doubt it. Fwiw I think Scar is a pretty good team. Whole east has gotten better as UT is catching up, and SCAR/UK are competitive. Mizzou and Vandy still blow. So does Mond.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:08 pm to Corporal Beavis
I mean South Carolina was a screw up away from potentially beating UT. They aren't terrible. Just not great. That's pretty much what Aggies seem to be at this point.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:21 pm to Corporal Beavis
What is the O/U?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:55 pm to ehidal1
It was at 57..which is incredibly low I thought. Vegas has to be seeing something others aren't.
Even Late Kick had the over as one of their five best pick of the week.
Florida is averaging 7.8 YPP right now. With a 6.5 spread and an O/U of 57...that's a low score line from what I think most expect. 28-27 type game would not favor UF. We need to put up at least 35 till our defense gets its shite together.
Even Late Kick had the over as one of their five best pick of the week.
Florida is averaging 7.8 YPP right now. With a 6.5 spread and an O/U of 57...that's a low score line from what I think most expect. 28-27 type game would not favor UF. We need to put up at least 35 till our defense gets its shite together.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:00 pm to Gatorbait2008
57 does seem low. Almost like bait low 
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:13 pm to ehidal1
Yea...I do not like it at all
Posted on 10/7/20 at 3:11 pm to ehidal1
Time to make the sucker bet of the year and parlay that over and UF together!
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:55 pm to boXerrumble
quote:
You point out that A&M hasn't covered in their 2 games, then UF has, then say you like A&M
Yeah, it’s a contrarian betting theory. I’m not gloating or anything, but I have won 1st, 2nd in two different ATS pools with hundreds of people in it. I don’t endorse betting at all, but Vegas adjusts lines for teams going on ATS wins or losses in a row. 3 is the rule.
Also, Florida -5 now. That line has gone from 6.5 to 5. Lot of money on A&M today.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:57 pm to Corporal Beavis
You going to put more on UF now that’s it’s -5? I would assume so.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:59 pm to CypressTrout10
It fell two points since you put your bet in
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