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re: UF -6.5 @ A&M

Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:02 pm to
Posted by boXerrumble
Member since Sep 2011
52279 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:02 pm to
There is some frickery with this line.

I don’t think UF has players out for COVID. Something is just wayyyy off.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112312 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:07 pm to
This is gonna be the game A&M finally pulls off an upset

The world has finally buried A&M, which is exactly when Mond will turn into Peyton Manning for a couple hours
Posted by athenslife101
Member since Feb 2013
18557 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:11 pm to
I’ve listened to two different podcasts that predicted A&M to win
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
1987 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:12 pm to
There isn’t. This happens every single week. Public sees point spread and are all over it bc of XYZ reasons other team sucks.. then the sharps come in Friday and make their play on it.

Y’all need to read Wayne Allyn Root The Zen of gambling. he came out with another book with the same info.
Posted by Corporal Beavis
Member since Aug 2013
1206 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:12 pm to
I get that theory for sure. Basically it puts more weight on original prediction rather than most recent data points. And yes, I think I will put more down. Put 3.5u on UF already. Thinking another 3.5
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
1987 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:15 pm to
The closing line was 15, they won by 14. I don’t always consider that an ATS loss when doing research.
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160104 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:23 pm to
I’m going to bet this over
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
1987 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:28 pm to
I’ve won a lot of money just following Wayne Allyn Root’s theories on NFL, CFB, and NFL playoffs. Been betting on football for 19 years. Learned the hard way by taking point spreads exactly like this. That’s when I started studying the shite.

I put my own 75% chance of covering the spread. If I was still betting I would put 5 unit play on A&M. UF is a sucker bet. Even if they lose, A&M is still the right play. There’s a reason Vegas and everyone else moved the line 1.5 points. Big money.

I LOVE the downvotes by the way. The masses.
Posted by Corporal Beavis
Member since Aug 2013
1206 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:39 pm to
I always thought Florida was going to be a title contender coming into the year. Sucker bet means nothing to me. Vegas's goal is to guarantee they win money so they want the money roughly 50-50 on each team. As stats oriented as the spreads are, they are risk avoiding. Give me the team with title hopes vs a team who barely handled Vanda.

My best guess why line is so low is game time. This gonna be an early start with traveling and all the covid procedures for florida
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112312 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:41 pm to
quote:

Vegas's goal is to guarantee they win money so they want the money roughly 50-50 on each team


Oh boy
Posted by Gatorbait2008
Member since Aug 2015
22953 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:45 pm to
Maybe Vegas assumed weather issues? Would make sense because that usually favors more run based teams. Other than that..I really do not get what they see. Worries me but is what it is. I have faith in Trask to perform enough to put us in position to win.
Posted by Corporal Beavis
Member since Aug 2013
1206 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:54 pm to
Never thought of that, but I'd be pretty damn sure thats the reason why.
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
1987 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 12:09 am to
Post your UF bets
Posted by GoldenBoy
Winning!
Member since Nov 2004
42010 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 12:16 am to
Texas A&M has enough offense to score on Florida. I know Pitts is great, but there's something that seems fluky about Florida's offense. I don't totally trust Trask.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53274 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 1:42 pm to
Posted by Corporal Beavis
Member since Aug 2013
1206 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 2:08 pm to
Don't give up

Don't ever give up
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11220 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 2:09 pm to
Had Florida at -6 and the over at 59.5

just gotta hold now
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53274 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 2:17 pm to
Gators fumble at midfield. Not looking good.
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11220 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 2:18 pm to
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112312 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

his is gonna be the game A&M finally pulls off an upset

The world has finally buried A&M, which is exactly when Mond will turn into Peyton Manning for a couple hours


I AM A GENIUS
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