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re: Official Wk 4 College FB Bet Thread (Swiggety Swooty, I'm Commin for that Booty)

Posted on 9/21/15 at 9:00 am to
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
48939 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 9:00 am to
quote:

And probably auburn



Nope nope nope
Posted by Chris Farley
Regulating
Member since Sep 2009
4180 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 9:49 am to
Arkansas moved to +7 on bookmaker. If you want to hop on that wagon, this is probably a good time.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 9:51 am to
quote:

I don't generally like "road faves" but A&M playing in Dallas laying 3 against Arkansas.

Someone talk me out of it.

Wouldn't shock me if it's a close game. shite happens.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16855 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 9:57 am to
Record
5-6-1

BYU+5.5, huge play..write ups later
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77386 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 10:04 am to
Thanks, i may be greedy and wait for a. 7.5
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 10:37 am to
Some are already getting 7.5 on Arky. Would be wise to jump on that.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 10:37 am to
Buried again this past week... definitely need to switch up my strategy, my model just isn't hitting sides, as is always the case for Weeks 2-7. It's doing well on Totals... I went 3-1 on totals last week and am 5-1 on totals for the year.

Last year I faded my model in Week 4 and that was the only week between Weeks 2-7 that it hit over 53%

I think I am just going to be extremely selective until Week 8

With that being said my model is now 13-1 when it gives a side/total greater than an 81.5% chance of covering so I am still going to ride that train
This post was edited on 9/21/15 at 10:40 am
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 10:38 am to
That line will climb BC Arky is a perceived dumpster fire. Just keep waiting.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 10:40 am to
quote:

That line will climb BC Arky is a perceived dumpster fire. Just keep waiting.


My model hasn't been the most successful the past 2 weeks but I ran some games(not all) last night and amongst those it had Arkansas as an outright winner and Texas Tech as an outright winner as well
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1483 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 10:44 am to
Eeeesh took a major bath last weekend after a good start to the year as Cal was my only play last weekend and I was on them heavy.

Looking forward to getting back on track this weekend. Already eyeing Houston -16 and GaTech -9.
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36302 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 10:50 am to
Farley, what sort of reg work do you do?
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77386 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 11:00 am to
I see 7.5, but it looks a little too juicy for me
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 11:05 am to
I feel the same about that Arkansas line as I did the Virginia/Vanderbilt lines 2 weeks ago

A&M is a trap
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77386 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 11:10 am to
Yep. Typical buy low sell high spot
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66413 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 11:21 am to
Early leans

Arkansas
Texas
Wyoming
ECU
Kent
Duke
This post was edited on 9/21/15 at 11:24 am
Posted by FulshearTiger
Member since Jul 2015
5276 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 11:35 am to
I would think ULM +38.5 has to draw some interest.

Bama coming off of Ole Miss loss and have Georgia on the road next week.

Bad situation at QB for Bama.

Saban rarely covers those big lines.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 11:40 am to
quote:

That line will climb BC Arky is a perceived dumpster fire. Just keep waiting.

And the public loves aTm bc they throw it a lot and Johnny Football!!!!11
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30189 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 12:32 pm to
Public may think that but I don't trust arkansas one bit.

Number was on the right side of 7, so I jumped.

I wonder if Texas tech will get to 10
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83459 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

I would think ULM +38.5 has to draw some interest.

Does ULM have a pulse? I almost don't even care. 38.5 will be tough to cover.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

I wonder if Texas tech will get to 10


Depends on how much the media trumpets TCU's injuries.

If Joe Q. Public is aware of the defensive injuries and lack of depth TCU's defense has I don't think so

Otherwise public will pound TCU remembering the 82 last year
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