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re: OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:55 pm to
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25638 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:55 pm to


Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82043 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:03 pm to
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:04 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175683 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:31 pm to
Everyone taking Georgia Tech...

Miami's pounded Georgia Tech the last three seasons. Is this Miami team so much worse than last year?
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82043 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

Is this Miami team so much worse than last year?
Yes
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:35 pm to
Thoughts on Vandy/Georgia?
Posted by TotallyTigers
Champagnionship
Member since Nov 2004
2891 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:55 pm to
quote:

Thoughts on Vandy/Georgia?


I really like Vandy +16, but waiting to see if it somehow gets to +17.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82043 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 10:56 pm to
No opinion on it really.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 6:51 am to
tonight.. on Wednesday Night SMACkdown

Buffalo -3, they always play tough at home and Kent St. is pretty bad this year
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 7:06 am to
1 unit each

Virginia Tech -19
LSU -21
Wisconsin -17 (Bought 1/2 point)
Kansas State +14
Oregon -24
USC -16
Notre Dame -5.5
UNLV +10
Baylor -7

2 units

Kentucky +24

Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 8:19 am to
Feel good about that one?
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 8:52 am to
Just a heads up on the LSU game.

Blue is out
Craig Loston is possibly out
josh dworaczyk will play, but he is nursing a calf injury

there were a couple of other injuries, but I can't remember who they were. Heard it on espn radio while in my truck.

If that Auburn line gets high enough, it may be worth a look. Gonna be focused after sweating ULM, at home and Mett Starting his first SEC road game (this is a big factor for me)
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 8:54 am to
Please take Auburn. If not, the people in this thread will be on suicide watch.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 9:06 am to
quote:

ease take Auburn. If not, the people in this thread will be on suicide watch.


If I do make a play on that game, I'm not posting it on here.
Posted by AZTiger7072
Tucson
Member since Oct 2011
2783 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 9:23 am to
Anyone got any insight on the game tonight? Let's all start the week off right. I like Buffalo -4. Kent st. Struggled against Towson and got their doors blown off by Kentucky.
Buffalo hung some points on Georgia and hung tough for a while. Playing at home I like them to win pretty easily. The over/under has me confused. Normally these teams have low scoring games and it currently is at 51. However they also normally play in November which generally means colder weather and lower scores. What's everyone like?
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
36778 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 9:24 am to
quote:

Maybe Oregon 1st Half as well when that comes out. They tend to cover that a lot more than the game spread this year as they let off the gas in the 2nd Half


They've been playing cupcakes and had to for the most part. Unless they put up 50 in the 1st half this'll be a 4 quarter game. A lot of times they are a second half team.

Tbh...I'd stay away from this Oregon game until we see them against a decent opponent. Then use that info going forward. If anything bet the O/U and I still not sure which way I'd go.



Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93136 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 9:32 am to
Anyone have any thoughts on Ole Miss vs Tulane?
Tulane is a mess and losing Walker to that neck injury sends shocks threw a locker room

I think Ole Miss can rebound. Lines off the board cause they might have to start that true frosh

There is a Trend from Marc Lawernece that's putting them in a situation where they are 17-4 lifetime ATS
Posted by LSUTigKyl
Nashville
Member since May 2009
1897 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 9:54 am to
quote:

tonight.. on Wednesday Night SMACkdown

Buffalo -3, they always play tough at home and Kent St. is pretty bad this year


If I am understanding Tots "public percentages" link, then 91% of the public bet Buffalo at -4 and it went down to -3.5. I believe that is a red flag if there ever was one, but I am kinda new to the public/reverse line movement thing. Anyone care to chime in?

If I understand it correctly, then Kent St might be the play.

Edit: The 91% was from yesterday, it is now at 78%, and the line opened at -2.5, not 4. So I am not sure.
This post was edited on 9/19/12 at 9:57 am
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 10:04 am to
quote:

The over/under has me confused. Normally these teams have low scoring games and it currently is at 51


Vegas Runner has this game @ U52 FWIW. Said a lot of sharps are on the under because each team has had 2 weeks to prepare their defenses.
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7267 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 10:10 am to
I'm back. Just reloaded the account for round 2. Staying away from the NFL. Getting back to the money.

LSU -18.5 & again at -20.5

Bout to look up some more.

to a good week gentlemen
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